What's more likely?
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Poll
Question: What's more likely?
#1
Dems take house		  
#2
Dems control majority of governorships		  
#3
about equal		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 47

Author Topic: What's more likely?  (Read 959 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: October 22, 2017, 05:38:56 PM »
I'd say governorships
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2017, 06:18:42 PM »
house by far
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2017, 06:38:26 PM »
House, and it isn't close.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2017, 07:03:31 PM »
House, but only because of how many governorships they lost.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2017, 12:16:02 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on October 22, 2017, 07:21:33 PM
Probably the House (narrowly), but this isn't as clear as some people here seem to think. I could certainly see them winning a majority of governorships (pick-ups in FL, MD, NH, IL, MI, NV, ME, NM and one other state) and failing to win back the House at the same time. Counting Walker as a Dem.

Agreed. You can't gerrymander a state.
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I’m not Stu
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2017, 12:29:16 AM »
Phil Murphy is favored to win the New Jersey governorship.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2017, 03:08:17 AM »
The House. Ten or eleven governorships is hard to gain.

That would require to win OH, IA, AZ, MD or KS. They are possible, but unlikely.

If Dems can edge out a 5% PV victory (better 7-8%), the House is in play.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2017, 11:09:50 AM »
GOP governors can try to separate themselves from our dummy-in-chief. House Republicans are going to have a much harding time doing that.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2017, 01:54:29 PM »
Quote from: Representative Illiniwek on October 23, 2017, 11:09:50 AM
GOP governors can try to separate themselves from our dummy-in-chief. House Republicans are going to have a much harding time doing that.

This, and I think the former are going to do just fine at separating themselves.
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Figueira
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2017, 04:00:23 PM »
House, but it would be governorships if we ignore the potential GOP pickups in places like CT, RI, PA, MN, AK, and CO.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2017, 04:07:30 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on October 23, 2017, 04:00:23 PM
House, but it would be governorships if we ignore the potential GOP pickups in places like CT, RI, PA, MN, AK, and CO.

If there's a D wave like most people expect, only AK would be a possible pickup opportunity for Rs anyway, so I think that's fine.
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Figueira
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2017, 04:09:17 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on October 23, 2017, 04:07:30 PM
Quote from: Figueira on October 23, 2017, 04:00:23 PM
House, but it would be governorships if we ignore the potential GOP pickups in places like CT, RI, PA, MN, AK, and CO.

If there's a D wave like most people expect, only AK would be a possible pickup opportunity for Rs anyway, so I think that's fine.

I wouldn't discount CT and RI flipping even in a D wave. Agreed on the rest though; it would probably have to be a neutral or R year for those to flip.
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