2004 : How the results would look like if Bin Laden was killed before 2004?

[UWS]

Foreign policy and terrorism were the main issues of the 2004 U.S. presidential election between President George W. Bush and Senator John Kerry. How would the results and the Electoral Map have looked like if Osama Bin Laden, the perpetrator of the 9/11 attacks, was killed during George W. Bush's first presidential term, before the 2004 election?

[Goldeneye]

Maybe this map.

George W. Bush/Dick Cheney : 420 electoral votes
John Kerry/John Edwards : 118 electoral votes

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Honestly, probably this.

It really would not have had a huge impact on the race.

[Rookie Yinzer]

This.

The Democrat would have been dead in the water. The nominee probably would have been a second tier candidate who wouldn't get a second look otherwise.

[RC (a la Frémont)]

Maybe this map.

George W. Bush/Dick Cheney : 420 electoral votes
John Kerry/John Edwards : 118 electoral votes

I would probably agree with this map more, except Washington and New York (by a very small margin.) On the other hand, I would undoubtedly flip Connecticut.

[Lechasseur]

This.

The Democrat would have been dead in the water. The nominee probably would have been a second tier candidate who wouldn't get a second look otherwise.

[The Govanah Jake]

Honestly, probably this.

It really would not have had a huge impact on the race.

[NewYorkExpress]

Bush/Cheney 535
Kucinich/Moseley Braun 3

Bush's popularity would've shot right back up to his immediately post 9/11 numbers, leaving Democrats with someone like Dennis Kucinich as the nominee.

Bush wins everything except D.C...though he only wins California, Vermont, Massachusetts and New York by a few thousand votes.

[wxtransit]

Honestly, probably this.

It really would not have had a huge impact on the race.

This plus Maine's 2nd, MI, and MN. And depending on the campaign, possibly even Oregon.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Honestly, probably this.

It really would not have had a huge impact on the race.

This plus Maine's 2nd, MI, and MN. And depending on the campaign, possibly even Oregon.

all I did with this map is increase the Bush margin of victory by 3%.
Also, ME-02 is still Kerry >50%.

[darklordoftech]

Bush/Cheney 535
Kucinich/Moseley Braun 3

Bush's popularity would've shot right back up to his immediately post 9/11 numbers, leaving Democrats with someone like Dennis Kucinich as the nominee.

Bush wins everything except D.C...though he only wins California, Vermont, Massachusetts and New York by a few thousand votes.

I'm sorry, but Nixon/Reagan-style landslides were no longer possible under any circumstances by 2004.

[Mr. Smith]

I don't recall Obama getting YUGE numbers for bin Laden at all!

Anyway, it depends largely on the circumstances under which bin Laden is taken out and the consequences.

I mean, what if ISIS also starts forming too as a backlash?

[Kingpoleon]

352: George W. Bush/Dick Cheney - 50.5%
186: John Kerry/Wesley Clark - 42.9%
Peter Camejo/Davis Cobb - 5.1%
Others - 1.5%

Wesley Clark is then appointed Secretary of Defense, on the advice of Colin Powell, Condoleezza Rice, and John Danforth - the last of these is himself appointed Attorney General. Finally, Christine Todd Whitman was appointed Chief of Staff, and John Kasich was appointed Secretary of the Treasury.