Which Hillary states would Rubio have won?

[Lord Admirale]

^To add the above point, Dukakis quite literally was up over Bush Sr. by double digits in early polling and had a net favorables margin of 67-10.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1988/05/27/dukakis-takes-early-lead-over-bush/0ed5eed4-7b0e-44e4-8c13-6adff6603e82/

Favorability numbers are not fixed, they change over the course of campaigning. Being disliked is generally just an indictator of how well-known you are.

Obama was more ostensibly disliked than Mccain and Romney. Same goes for GWB v. Kerry & even Reagan vs. Carter & Mondale.

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/the-most-hated-candidate-usually-wins/article/2590520


This article is also actually from December 18, 1987:

http://content.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,145687,00.html

"Dukakis and Paul Simon are the only two with relatively low negatives"

Dukakis had amongst the lowest unfavorables in the entire Democratic field in terms of early favorables.

Uti has some weird hatred of Marco Rubio, especially when someone points out Rubio would win Pennsylvania.

[Lord Admirale]

Minnesota, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Virginia, and New Hampshire

336-202

[Lord Admirale]

I'm going to say that Rubio wins back a lot of white collar whites who voted for Obama --- the Dubya/Obama voters with college degrees and solid income potential.  In many ways, this keeps the Republicans focused on the Sunbelt, but also with big swings in Virginia, Colorado, and Minnesota.  The trio of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania still vote Democrat, while Rubio wins much more sober victories in Iowa and Ohio, and loses Maine-2.

Basically, the Obama/Trump WWC voters still vote Democrat, while Rubio wins back Creative Class white voters and lots of Hispanics for the GOP.  Outcome is a similar electoral vote margin that Trump enjoyed, just with different states and probably with the popular vote going the same way as the electoral vote.  Would have interesting impact on how Democrats proceed to move forward.

I could see CA, MA, and MD being 50% D instead of 60% D, especially California.