Election Night 2016: Donald Trump/Jim Webb vs. Marco Rubio/Nikki Haley

[OBD]

I decided I really wanted to do an election night for my earlier timeline. In addition, I don't have time to post detailed updates for my earlier timeline due to real life obligations. So here goes!

(Also, I replaced Tim Kaine with Jim Webb, who Trump would be more likely to select as VP)

[OBD]

Hello folks, and welcome to tonight's Election coverage. In just seconds, polls in the highlighted states will be closing, and in a few minutes, we will be getting results from most of them. Here's a map.

[OBD]

The 7:00 polls have just closed, and we have some calls to make. The state of Vermont has been called for Trump. Vermont, one of the bluest states in the Union, has been solidly Democratic since the 90s, and despite this year's expanded swing state map, Rubio did not contest it. 3 electoral votes to Trump early on.

VERMONT 0% REPORTING Called for Trump
Donald Trump 0%
Marco Rubio 0%
Other 0%

Meanwhile, we have called South Carolina, Nikki Haley's home state, for Rubio. Even though Trump's presence made the South competitive, South Carolina was not one of Trump's targets. Rubio wins 9 electoral votes.

SOUTH CAROLINA 0% REPORTING Called for Rubio
Donald Trump 0%
Marco Rubio 0%
Other 0%

We can make no other calls at this hour, so stay tuned.

[OBD]

Welcome back to Election Night 2016! It's still early on, but results are finally starting to trickle in. In Indiana, Rubio has a sizable lead, however we are not ready to call the state.

INDIANA 23% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Marco Rubio 53%
Donald Trump 44%
Other 3%

In the Bluegrass state, Trump is leading. Even though Kentucky is quite conservative, the pro-coal, conservative Democrat-type Trump has struck a chord here.

KENTUCKY 19% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Donald Trump 48%
Marco Rubio 47%
Other 5%

In Georgia, Rubio is leading. Like South Carolina, Georgia was not one of Trump's priorities and is thus likely to stay GOP. As Georgia as a whole is more liberal than South Carolina, it remains too close to call, but certainly leaning Republican,

GEORGIA 8% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Marco Rubio 51%
Donald Trump 45%
Other 4%

Lastly, Virginia. Virginia is an interesting state, as while Trump will make inroads in Appalachia, NoVa is less than satisfied with Trump's conservative-leaning views and will thus stay home. These two factors combined make Virginia an extremely competitive state.

VIRGINIA 6% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Marco Rubio 48%
Donald Trump 48%
Other 4%

Coming up at 7:30 are poll closings in 3 key states; Ohio, North Carolina, and West Virginia. See you then.

[OBD]

It is now 7:40 PM EST, and polls have closed in Ohio, North Carolina, and West Virginia. We cannot call them yet as no results have come in. However, we can now call Indiana for Rubio, who is leading by 10 points.

INDIANA 40% REPORTING Called for Rubio
Marco Rubio 53%
Donald Trump 43%
Other 4%

Kentucky remains too close to call, though Trump is now up by 3 points.

KENTUCKY 37% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Donald Trump 49%
Marco Rubio 46%
Other 5%

In Georgia, we are close to a call, though we will like some more results to make one. Expect Georgia to be called for Rubio within the hour.

GEORGIA 26% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Marco Rubio 52%
Donald Trump 45%
Other 3%

Rubio is holding on to his narrow lead in Virginia, as moderates are breaking for him across the state. However, Appalachia has lurched left, and is thus keeping Trump in contention.

VIRGINIA 6% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Marco Rubio 48%
Donald Trump 47%
Other 5%

Coming up soon are results for Ohio, West Virginia, and North Carolina, as well as the 8:00 poll closings.

[OBD]

Oops, I must have accidentally locked this. My bad.

[DPKdebator]

Interesting to see where this will go.

[OBD]

Hello, everyone. Polls are about to close in numerous East Coast States, but before that, we are getting some results from the 7:30 poll closings.

In Ohio, Trump has a solid lead, likely due to the state's urban precincts coming in earlier than it's rural ones. Too close to call.

OHIO 15% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Donald Trump 52%
Marco Rubio 42%
Other 6%

North Carolina is in a similar situation as Virginia. The Appalachian West of the state is moving left, while the suburban regions are shifting right. Currently, Rubio has a narrow lead in NC, and it is too close to call.

NORTH CAROLINA 9% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Marco Rubio 48%
Donald Trump 46%
Other 6%

Trump has a sizable lead in West Virginia, buoyed by strong support from coal miners and conservative Democrats. However, it remains Too Close to Call.

WEST VIRGINIA 14% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Donald Trump 50%
Marco Rubio 44%
Other 6%

Back to the 7:00 poll closings now. Trump continues to widen his lead in the Bluegrass State. We may be making a call soon, but as Kentucky is traditionally GOP we will wait a while to do so.

KENTUCKY 58% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Donald Trump 50%
Marco Rubio 45%
Other 5%

We still have Georgia as too close to call, as we are not confident enough to make a projection.

GEORGIA 51% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Marco Rubio 52%
Donald Trump 44%
Other 4%

Virginia is still a tight race, and the margin is unchanged from the last hour.

VIRGINIA 35% REPORTING Too Close to Call
Marco Rubio 48%
Donald Trump 47%
Other 5%

Coming up soon are results for the 8:00 poll closings.

[Medal506]

Lawrence Lessing was basically the Donald Trump of the Democratic Party in 2016 and he was forced out of the race along with Jim Webb