VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[Gass3268]

Same for Arlington:

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[GeorgiaModerate]

Same for Arlington:

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(Fixed the tags on the quote.)  Thanks for posting these. 

[Dr. Arch]

Falls Church turnout 2 hours after polls opened

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Nearly a quarter this early?

[The Other Castro]

Fairfax too:

Vote Fairfax City @VoteFairfaxCity
As of 8 a.m. 1,365 voters have marked their ballots in today's election. With absentee, that's more than 15.2% #Election2017

https://twitter.com/votefairfaxcity/status/927885831221719040

I sense a trend...

[GeorgiaModerate]

It would be good to get some reports from outside NoVA as well.

[Gass3268]

It would be good to get some reports from outside NoVA as well.

It would, but I'm only able to post what I see!

[GeorgiaModerate]

It would be good to get some reports from outside NoVA as well.

It would, but I'm only able to post what I see!

When has that ever been an impediment to posting here?

[Hydera]

Falls Church turnout 2 hours after polls opened

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Nearly a quarter this early?

Whole state is going to get rain later in the afternoon so it makes sense.

[heatcharger]

Fairfax too:

Vote Fairfax City @VoteFairfaxCity
As of 8 a.m. 1,365 voters have marked their ballots in today's election. With absentee, that's more than 15.2% #Election2017

https://twitter.com/votefairfaxcity/status/927885831221719040

I sense a trend...

Keep in mind that Fairfax City is tiny in comparison to the county.

[PragmaticPopulist]

Fairfax too:

Vote Fairfax City @VoteFairfaxCity
As of 8 a.m. 1,365 voters have marked their ballots in today's election. With absentee, that's more than 15.2% #Election2017

https://twitter.com/votefairfaxcity/status/927885831221719040

I sense a trend...

Keep in mind that Fairfax City is tiny in comparison to the county.

I'm interested in what the turnout in Tidewater looks like. The race is almost certainly over if Northam does unusually well there for a Democrat.

[Classic Conservative]

Fairfax too:

Vote Fairfax City @VoteFairfaxCity
As of 8 a.m. 1,365 voters have marked their ballots in today's election. With absentee, that's more than 15.2% #Election2017

https://twitter.com/votefairfaxcity/status/927885831221719040

I sense a trend...

Keep in mind that Fairfax City is tiny in comparison to the county.

I'm interested in what the turnout in Tidewater looks like. The race is almost certainly over if Northam does unusually well there for a Democrat.

Never read into early reports of turnout

We did that last year here, and we were dead wrong. I still Northam will easily win though.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Present mood:

[BudgieForce]

Fairfax too:

Vote Fairfax City @VoteFairfaxCity
As of 8 a.m. 1,365 voters have marked their ballots in today's election. With absentee, that's more than 15.2% #Election2017

https://twitter.com/votefairfaxcity/status/927885831221719040

I sense a trend...

Keep in mind that Fairfax City is tiny in comparison to the county.

I'm interested in what the turnout in Tidewater looks like. The race is almost certainly over if Northam does unusually well there for a Democrat.

Never read into early reports of turnout

BUT WHAT R WE SUPPOSED TO DO ALL DAY!? /s

[LimoLiberal]

I have real data from Arlington county. Gigantic turnout, with precincts having 200-300 more votes than the "high target" Arlington democrats set. Probably at least 10% higher than 2013 and 2014.

[Oryxslayer]

NYtimes results pages should show up here when they do:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/us/elections/election-calendar.html

[Gass3268]

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Fairfax County is already at 35.6% of 2013 turnout.

[Gass3268]

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[BigSkyBob]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

[BigSkyBob]

Fairfax too:

Vote Fairfax City @VoteFairfaxCity
As of 8 a.m. 1,365 voters have marked their ballots in today's election. With absentee, that's more than 15.2% #Election2017

https://twitter.com/votefairfaxcity/status/927885831221719040

I sense a trend...

Namely, the early vote was higher.

[BudgieForce]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

[BigSkyBob]

I have real data from Arlington county. Gigantic turnout, with precincts having 200-300 more votes than the "high target" Arlington democrats set. Probably at least 10% higher than 2013 and 2014.

Quite simply, "No!"

Whether a higher pace in turnout is the result of higher turnout, or, merely the cannibalization of the later afternoon vote won't be known until later.

[ltomlinson31]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Yeah, RCP had Hillary up by 5.3% and 538 5.5% and Clinton only won Virginia by....5.4%. So she didn't underperform in Virginia at all, if that is what they were implying.

[BigSkyBob]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Given Tim Kaine was on the ticket, and, Trump pulled out of Virginia while Romney did not, Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia badly.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I have real data from Arlington county. Gigantic turnout, with precincts having 200-300 more votes than the "high target" Arlington democrats set. Probably at least 10% higher than 2013 and 2014.

Quite simply, "No!"

Whether a higher pace in turnout is the result of higher turnout, or, merely the cannibalization of the later afternoon vote won't be known until later.

This happened to some degree in DeKalb county in the GA-06 special election.  Early turnout was good, but failed to meet expectations later in the day.

[GeorgiaModerate]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Given Tim Kaine was on the ticket, and, Trump pulled out of Virginia while Romney did not, Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia badly.

The implication in your post was that she underperformed the polling average in Virginia.  She did not, as others have pointed out.