VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[Nyvin]

There's still a real possibility of the Democrats winning a majority in the House of Delegates tonight.

[Nyvin]

Wow,  Northam leading in both Chesterfield and Chesapeake now

[Nyvin]

It's looking pretty secure for dems to pickup 16 seats,  maybe five more.

The seats to watch are 40, 27, 84, 85, 94. 

It looks like the HoD will pretty darn close to 50-50 split.

[Nyvin]

There's a State Senate seat in the Richmond area held by one of the 21 GOP senators that went to Clinton by double digits.    That should be easily flipped in 2019 in time for redistricting.  

[Nyvin]

Aren't all these house of delegate seats up for re-election in 2019?  Wouldn't the GOP be able to take back control then if they lose now?

I thought it was a different set of HoD seats.

No, all 100 seats are up every two (odd) years.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/928111976676511745/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.com%2Flive-blog%2F2017-election-live-coverage-results%2F

^^^ This is what should REALLY scare the GOP ^^^

[Nyvin]

This is where the night appears to be ending for HoD in VA. Will give another update in the morning if anything comes in overnight.

R 47
D 47 (Net: D + 13)

51 needed for majority

Districts called(D):
13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67, 72, 21

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83

Undecided: 27 (recount likely), 40 (recount likely), 68 (recount likely), 84, 85, 94 (recount likely)

It's looking like HD-85 went to Dems.

[Nyvin]

It looks like HD-85 is going to Dems, and HD-84 is going to GOP....meaning the split currently is:

48D - 48R

Too much suspense IMO...let's get this over with!

[Nyvin]

Not sure anybody posted yet.

Wow,  VA-7 was close!

[Nyvin]

will HD-94 have a recount?

https://www.vpap.org/offices/house-of-delegates-94/elections/

Almost definitely.