VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[heatcharger]

Fhtagn is a Stein/Gillespie voter.

[heatcharger]

Northam by 2 is a pretty good result for Republicans - it shows that hard-on-immigration campaigns energize the GOP base but won't significantly alienate the Dem base to the point that it negates the edge.

I think you meant hard-line there...

[heatcharger]

He'd be right though. Anything <5 point Northam win should be considered embarrassing. That said, when would a race that ends up in a Northam blowout (like Kaine 2005) be called? Once he took the lead?

Kaine was projected the winner at 8:20 PM, but Kaine did far better in the rurals than Northam is likely to do, so it's not totally relevant.

[heatcharger]

Fairfax too:

Vote Fairfax City @VoteFairfaxCity
As of 8 a.m. 1,365 voters have marked their ballots in today's election. With absentee, that's more than 15.2% #Election2017

https://twitter.com/votefairfaxcity/status/927885831221719040

I sense a trend...

Keep in mind that Fairfax City is tiny in comparison to the county.

[heatcharger]

People with jobs won’t be staying home because of rain.

[heatcharger]

People with jobs won’t be staying home because of rain.

It's not about staying home, it's about staying in line. At minimum, that cuts into people with jobs who forgot an umbrella.

Standing in outside in line to vote seems like an urban phenomenon and not one that you see in the suburbs. All the NOVA precincts I've been to have the voting booths in the gym or cafeteria of a school, with any lines being inside.

[heatcharger]

It’s been dry all day in the Hampton Roads. Haven’t heard any turnout reports from there.

[heatcharger]

Y'all I've been hearing nothing but good news for Northam. High turnout in cities and NOVA with decent weather. Depressing turnout in SWVA with crappy weather. I feel like he's going to pull off a 6 point win tonight.

The weather in NOVA is not exactly decent right now lol, but it’s not bad enough to affect turnout significantly.

[heatcharger]

Idk who “NotLarrySabato” is, but if he were really a seasoned vet he’d know that there’s a huge surge after 5 pm from people coming back from work. Most people don’t work in the same precinct they live in.

Also PittsburghSteel, stop the hackery for like 4-5 hours, please.

[heatcharger]

Turnout in Fairfax County in 2013 was 46.8%. The current turnout in Fairfax County, including absentees, is 46.8%.

[heatcharger]

Roflmao Enron Ed running behind Trump in Chesterfield County.

[heatcharger]

I just want to reiterate how insane it is that Northam is making Chesterfield closer than Clinton did against Donald Trump.

[heatcharger]

F**k everyone who said Northam was a bad candidate.

[heatcharger]

Tag Greason (R) looks very likely to go down in HD-32.

[heatcharger]

Roem (D) leads Marshall (R) by 1200 votes with 2 precincts left.

[heatcharger]

Carter (D) leads Miller (R) by 2500 votes with 3 precincts left. That one kinda shocks me.

[heatcharger]

Ban bronz right now. Nobody cares.

[heatcharger]

This is the first election night I feel good about since 2012.

This is that election all over again, but going even better. All the concern trolling leftists and overconfident Republicans have their foot in their mouth just like then.

[heatcharger]

Delaney cruising to victory over LeMunyon in HD-67, although a little bit early.

[heatcharger]

Black turnout surged compared to estimates.

[heatcharger]

Black turnout surged compared to estimates.

What were the numbers in Charlottesville?

Well Nate Cohn said it's 7% better than his estimates in black-majority precincts.

[heatcharger]

NBC News calls it.

[heatcharger]

Terry McAuliffe remains the only time the President's party won since 1973.

Well, T-Mac is the goat.

[heatcharger]

HURST WINS!!! I'm really happy for him.

[heatcharger]

LeMunyon got Blanched by Delaney. I really can't believe how well this is going.