VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 96719 times)
Tartarus Sauce
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« on: November 07, 2017, 06:53:54 PM »

It's worth reminding everybody that NOVA almost always reports last in vote counts. So a modest Gillepsie lead pre-NOVA vote dump isn't that unlikely. That being said, if Gillepsie is leading by a ton before NOVA reports, that's bad news for Northam. On the flip side, if Gillepsie is barely holding on pre-NOVA votes or Northam is actually leading, Gillepsie will almost certainly be underperforming his polls by a significant margin.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2017, 11:29:49 PM »

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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2017, 12:09:42 AM »
« Edited: November 08, 2017, 12:12:50 AM by Tartarus Sauce »


Give it another year of Trump, and those pink districts are slipping right away.

Eh, Districts 1 and 5 would need an incredibly good challenger and possibly an ugly scandal to tar the incumbents, or have them unexpectedly resign at the end of next year so it's an open seat, in order to be competitive in a wave election. And it would need to be a massive wave.

District 7 is definitely on the table at this rate though.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2017, 12:14:00 AM »


He literally won the seat last year.
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