VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

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Plus 2 Gillespie is what I think it will show.
Also any word on a new Fox News poll?

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So something we all need to keep in mind is that....
In 2016 for 10 days trump was gaining in polls of course the comey letter helped but the last 4 days Hillary recovered a bit going from a 65% chance of winning to 72% chance of winning on 538.

So while I’m extremely nervous about the race I’m still optimistic.

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If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

Greedo will likely either be going off on everyone or *crickets chirp*

Oh Greedo's reaction will be what I'm looking forward to most tomorrow night

LOL listen northam might win but I think Gillespie will eke it out.

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If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

Greedo will likely either be going off on everyone or *crickets chirp*

Oh Greedo's reaction will be what I'm looking forward to most tomorrow night

Can you guys at least wait until the race is called before you start bragging about your party's victory? It kinda makes the thread unreadable and also has little to nothing to do with the election itself.

Exactly.
By the way the Emerson poll showed Gillespie down slightly but....

Jill Vogel beating fairfax and it showed John Adams beating mark herring.

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30% turnout in Henrico county so far.

https://mobile.twitter.com/VotingGuy/status/927980573750124544

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This guy *supposedly* posted these same polls last year and got Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania right https://mobile.twitter.com/mrbeercrusher/status/927951887369981959

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This guy *supposedly* posted these same polls last year and got Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania right https://mobile.twitter.com/mrbeercrusher/status/927951887369981959

Here’s the tweet showing trump up https://mobile.twitter.com/mrbeercrusher/status/796079698501599232

Now I don’t think this guy is real since he says Phil Murphy is only up 4.
Still he could be right.

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This guy *supposedly* posted these same polls last year and got Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania right https://mobile.twitter.com/mrbeercrusher/status/927951887369981959

Here’s the tweet showing trump up https://mobile.twitter.com/mrbeercrusher/status/796079698501599232

Now I don’t think this guy is real since he says Phil Murphy is only up 4.
Still he could be right.

Probably not. He cited an "exit poll" that was supposedly released 6 hours before the polls closed and didn't cite anything. And the map he gave us is the map showing Clinton winning the state by 5.2 points. He's going off of # of counties like the typical Trump propagandist does.

Okay he seems to be junk.

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https://mobile.twitter.com/VotingGuy/status/927990009394851841

York county turnout so far at 39%

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Powhatan county at 48% turnout

Good or bad for Gillespie?
I knows it’s ultra republican but is that high turnout?

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Powhatan county at 48% turnout

Good or bad for Gillespie?
I knows it’s ultra republican but is that high turnout?

Pretty good

That’s good since central Virginia south of Prince William county to chesterfield then out east to Virginia Beach will decide the race.

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CNN exit poll

49% said trump was not a factor in there vote

16% said they voted to support trump

32% voted because they don’t support trump

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So......I just saw Donald Trump's approval rating in VA is 43% on the CNN exit poll? That seems higher than everyone expected.....

I honestly think trumps approval ratings a few points better then the polls show.
That is great news for Gillespie.

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52% of Virginia voters own a gun.

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Vogel is Winning Virginia Beach by 10 points!

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I can’t believe at how blue loudoun is I thought it would be like 2012/2013

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I apologize for my predictions,I was really wrong I thought for sure that the off year would help Gillespie but it didn’t so I apologize now on to 2018.

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Dang Well Trumpism is DEAD when I said Gillespie would win 48.72%-48.31% I thought that chesterfield would be a 7-11 point victory.
This is just insane!

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Has a Dem ever carried Chesterfield in a statewide race before this?

Warner 2008

Northam 2013

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Dang Well Trumpism is DEAD when I said Gillespie would win 48.72%-48.31% I thought that chesterfield would be a 7-11 point victory.
This is just insane!

Well your Predictions are trash.

Has a Dem ever carried Chesterfield in a statewide race before this?

Warner 2008

What about before that?

Well I thought turn out would be at 2013 levels and that Gillespie would do about the same as in 2014 but a bit stronger in central and southwestern Virginia and a bit worse in Northern Virginia.

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Has a Dem ever carried Chesterfield in a statewide race before this?

In the post-Reagan era Virginia, Northam in 2013 when he won statewide by 12%; Mark Warner in 2008, when he won statewide by 32%; Chuck Robb in 1988, when he won statewide by 41%; Mary Sue Terry twice in 1985 and 1989 when she won statewide by 23% and 27% respectively. Chesterfield was basically Cobb County with the damn finally breaking open. Although, who would've thought it'd be on Ed Gillespie's watch that it finally goes down?

Even trump won chesterfield and Virginia Beach it’s crazy how Gillespie lost both!

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In all seriousness I think the gop will barely hold the house of delegates.