VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[MAINEiac4434]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Too bad for the GOP that Virginia doesn’t elect Governors through an electoral college.

[MAINEiac4434]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Given Tim Kaine was on the ticket, and, Trump pulled out of Virginia while Romney did not, Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia badly.

You can't keep on saying things that are not true as if they were true.

[MAINEiac4434]

Massive grain of salt as this guy is a Democratic operative, but:

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I just high-fived everyone around me.

[MAINEiac4434]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Given Tim Kaine was on the ticket, and, Trump pulled out of Virginia while Romney did not, Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia badly.

You can't keep on saying things that are not true as if they were true.

Virginia on Clinton ticket, none on Obama ticket.

Trump pulled out of Virginia.

Romney did not.

Which is untrue?

That Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia.

That is objectively false.

[MAINEiac4434]

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Yup Gillespie gonna win. Minorities aren't voting

For christ's sake it's eleven.

[MAINEiac4434]

Dirty tricks

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Every election someone tries to do this.

They are scared of voters' power.

[MAINEiac4434]

I'm starting a Google docs spreadsheet to better track turnout and compare them against other turnout in other counties.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kwE1_XMLOZy-WWDRS5Jzf1I-anVbT2OH7w1g4QFL_Zs/edit?usp=sharing

Thanks!

[MAINEiac4434]

People with jobs won’t be staying home because of rain.

It's not about staying home, it's about staying in line. At minimum, that cuts into people with jobs who forgot an umbrella.

Standing in outside in line to vote seems like an urban phenomenon and not one that you see in the suburbs. All the NOVA precincts I've been to have the voting booths in the gym or cafeteria of a school, with any lines being inside.

I live in a suburban area (in Maine, natch) and last year the line was out the door. Had to wait outside in 2014, too.

[MAINEiac4434]

^ Why do Gillespie's biggest surrogates have to be so stupid?

You’re definitely first among equals when it comes to bad Gillespie surrogates.

I keep Wulfric on iggy for a reason.

[MAINEiac4434]

42% of actual turnout or of 2013 turnout?

Actual turnout, 42% of registered voters have voted.

That’s fantastic.

HOLY SHIT

[MAINEiac4434]

Judging by Bosse's turnout tracker, turnout is abysmal in GOP areas and better in Democratic areas.

[MAINEiac4434]

Judging by Bosse's turnout tracker, turnout is abysmal in GOP areas and better in Democratic areas.

Not enough reports coming from the rural areas to really know.

Turnout was 15% at 11 in Bristol (was 15.2% in Charlottesville and Fairfax at 9:00) and Isle of Wight County was at only 25% at noon.

[MAINEiac4434]

Can someone please explain to me why a state that voted for Hillary by 6 points has the magnifying class of America on it?

Aside from wanting to see your side win, this is (probably) not at all useful to extrapolate onto 2018 trends

Expect all races in Virginia to get nationalized from now on as the media follows politics like a sports game.

Cuz every Washington-based journo lives in NoVa.

[MAINEiac4434]

Sigh, looks like its going to rain for the rest of the day in Nova.

YES!!! SOME NORTHAM VOTERS STAY HOME, GILLESPIE HAS A SHOT!!!

no one cares. get a twitter for this kinda sh*t

[MAINEiac4434]

turnout being low is #fakenews. gillepsie voters are too busy being hard working americans to vote until later today.

[MAINEiac4434]

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Well that's not good.

[MAINEiac4434]

@fluffypanther19: Can you cut your signature height by about 60% please? There are new rules for sig heights going into effect (read here) but as well as for the election threads and yours is too big for sure (you could solve it easily by removing the first image)

@PittsburghSteel: Can you check your PMs?

Virginia is my sig ok now? I was gonna change it after the election anyway.

[MAINEiac4434]

Y'all I've been hearing nothing but good news for Northam. High turnout in cities and NOVA with decent weather. Depressing turnout in SWVA with crappy weather. I feel like he's going to pull off a 6 point win tonight.

The weather in NOVA is not exactly decent right now lol, but it’s not bad enough to affect turnout significantly.

People who don't vote because of rain probably weren't going to vote if there were long lines - or at all.

[MAINEiac4434]

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This is good for Democrats.

[MAINEiac4434]

Northslide. Murphslide. Demslide.

[MAINEiac4434]

I am physically watching Northam's percentage increase on the Upshot like I saw Hillary's decrease last year.

[MAINEiac4434]

Northam +5.4 on the Upshot. And it keeps climbing.

[MAINEiac4434]

Northam just took a raw vote lead.

[MAINEiac4434]

CONGRATULATIONS MR. GOVERNOR

[MAINEiac4434]

Wasserman just called it on 538.