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  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  VA-CNU: Northam +6
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Author Topic: VA-CNU: Northam +6  (Read 659 times)
Brittain33
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« on: November 06, 2017, 06:44:54 am »

Northam: 51%
Gillespie: 45%
Hydra: 2%

http://bluevirginia.us/2017/11/final-cnu-poll-northam-51-gillespie-45-fairfax-50-vogel-45-herring-49-adams-45
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2017, 06:51:55 am »
« Edited: November 06, 2017, 06:56:55 am by Oryxslayer »

Lt Gov:

Fairfax: 50% (+3)
Vogel: 45% (+1)

Attorney General:

Herring: 49% (+0)
Adams: 45% (+1)

Change in the Gov race is Northam +1, Gillespie +2.

Full pdf: http://wasoncenter.cnu.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Nov-6-Report-Final-1.pdf

But this poll is obviously bogus, because because if we push all undecideds into the R camp, Gillespie isn't winning by 20 points.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2017, 10:06:40 am »

They nailed the presidential election results in Virginia in 2016.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2017, 10:13:28 am »

A result just right or left of 2016 would be pretty inconsequential to morale.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2017, 10:21:49 am »
« Edited: November 06, 2017, 10:25:29 am by Oryxslayer »

They nailed the presidential election results in Virginia in 2016.

For reference, their final poll was 48 Clinton, 42 Trump, 3 Johnson, <1 Stein, 2 McMullin.

Their final projected result (spiting/pushing undecideds) was 50 Clinton, 44 Trump, 3 Johnson, 1 Stein, 2 McMullin. This is scarily accurate, with the only real misstep being McMullin and Trump splitting a percent rather then McMullin have 2.

Doing the same to the above results yeilds:

Northam 52%, Gillespie 46%, Hyra 2%

Fairfax 52%, Vogel 48%

Herring 52%, Adams 48%
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