VA-CNU: Northam +6 (user search)
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  VA-CNU: Northam +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-CNU: Northam +6  (Read 1168 times)
Oryxslayer
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« on: November 06, 2017, 06:51:55 AM »
« edited: November 06, 2017, 06:56:55 AM by Oryxslayer »

Lt Gov:

Fairfax: 50% (+3)
Vogel: 45% (+1)

Attorney General:

Herring: 49% (+0)
Adams: 45% (+1)

Change in the Gov race is Northam +1, Gillespie +2.

Full pdf: http://wasoncenter.cnu.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Nov-6-Report-Final-1.pdf

But this poll is obviously bogus, because because if we push all undecideds into the R camp, Gillespie isn't winning by 20 points.
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Oryxslayer
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Posts: 10,793


« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2017, 10:21:49 AM »
« Edited: November 06, 2017, 10:25:29 AM by Oryxslayer »

They nailed the presidential election results in Virginia in 2016.

For reference, their final poll was 48 Clinton, 42 Trump, 3 Johnson, <1 Stein, 2 McMullin.

Their final projected result (spiting/pushing undecideds) was 50 Clinton, 44 Trump, 3 Johnson, 1 Stein, 2 McMullin. This is scarily accurate, with the only real misstep being McMullin and Trump splitting a percent rather then McMullin have 2.

Doing the same to the above results yeilds:

Northam 52%, Gillespie 46%, Hyra 2%

Fairfax 52%, Vogel 48%

Herring 52%, Adams 48%
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