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  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  NJ-Quinnipiac: Murphy +12
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Author Topic: NJ-Quinnipiac: Murphy +12  (Read 1005 times)
Polarized MT Treasurer
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« on: November 06, 2017, 03:59:14 pm »

53% Murphy (D)
41% Guadagno (R)

Link.

Was Murphy +20 two weeks ago. Guadagnomentum!
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politicalmasta73
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2017, 04:29:06 pm »

jesus. I just gotta say, props to Guadagno for running such a great campaign. Her percentage is likely to be above 40%.
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superbudgie1582
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2017, 04:36:39 pm »

jesus. I just gotta say, props to Guadagno for running such a great campaign. Her percentage is likely to be above 40%.

NJ republicans have a high floor.
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politicalmasta73
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2017, 04:39:45 pm »

jesus. I just gotta say, props to Guadagno for running such a great campaign. Her percentage is likely to be above 40%.

NJ republicans have a high floor.
a floor that should be shattered by a governor of your own party has a 19% approval.
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superbudgie1582
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2017, 04:52:08 pm »
« Edited: November 06, 2017, 04:58:51 pm by superbudgie1582 »

jesus. I just gotta say, props to Guadagno for running such a great campaign. Her percentage is likely to be above 40%.

NJ republicans have a high floor.
a floor that should be shattered by a governor of your own party has a 19% approval.

It makes more sense than claiming its because of Guadagno's "great campaign". I still live in Bergen County right now and Guadagno is about as invisible as Buono was when she was running against Christie in 2013.
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Hydera
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2017, 04:56:29 pm »

jesus. I just gotta say, props to Guadagno for running such a great campaign. Her percentage is likely to be above 40%.

NJ republicans have a high floor.
a floor that should be shattered by a governor of your own party has a 19% approval.


Considering 2008 where Bush had an approval of mid-20s% but McCain achieved 46%. Republicans are just more resilient electorally. Not always to win but meh.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2017, 04:58:02 pm »

lol Guadagno is not running a great campaign.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2017, 06:39:30 pm »

Absolutely pathetic result for the Dems.
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superbudgie1582
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2017, 07:30:14 pm »
« Edited: November 06, 2017, 07:32:24 pm by superbudgie1582 »

Absolutely pathetic result for the Dems.

Maybe wait for the actual results before declaring it pathetic. I'm feeling very positive Murphy will get to 60%(or close to it) based on what I've seen on the ground.

Edit: Should also be noted Quinnipiac has a history of underestimating democrats in NJ. I remember the freak outs when Quinnipiac showed the race between Clinton and Trump in single digits during 2016. 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2017, 09:29:42 pm »

so the lesson seems to be, if the results go as badly as they could, that no matter what kind of campaign Democrats run, they'll be beat by "GAHHHH SANCTUARY CITIES = THE PURGE, DEMOCRATS LOVE CHILD MOLESTERS" and "muh tax cuts" campaigns.

I mean you couldn't find two different campaigns than Ralph Northam and Phil Murphy - they each took entirely different tacts on handling the sanctuary cities issue (Northam cowering in fear, Murphy actually explaining what a sanctuary city really is and bothering to defend it).
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Badger
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2017, 12:32:57 am »

so the lesson seems to be, if the results go as badly as they could, that no matter what kind of campaign Democrats run, they'll be beat by "GAHHHH SANCTUARY CITIES = THE PURGE, DEMOCRATS LOVE CHILD MOLESTERS" and "muh tax cuts" campaigns.

I mean you couldn't find two different campaigns than Ralph Northam and Phil Murphy - they each took entirely different tacts on handling the sanctuary cities issue (Northam cowering in fear, Murphy actually explaining what a sanctuary city really is and bothering to defend it).

Cut him some slack. They live in vastly different states, ethnically and (thus) politically, and have vastly varying levels of opposition.

People on here were decrying Northam pissing the election away (in typical Atlas over-reaction style, but still), for getting involved in cultural wedge issues like Confederate monuments. Can you imagine what would've happened if he actually tried defending sanctuary cities?? In Virginia?!? Gillespie would currently be the one up by low to mid single digits rather than the other way around.

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politicalmasta73
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2017, 04:26:09 pm »

Absolutely pathetic result for the Dems.
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2017, 06:01:00 pm »

Absolutely pathetic result for the Dems.

They should be leading by at least 20%
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Shadows
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2017, 11:26:32 pm »

Murphy is probably gonna win by 13.5-14% so Quinnipiac are stop on, on the money again !
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