CA-USC/LA Times: Feinstein +27 over de Leon
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  CA-USC/LA Times: Feinstein +27 over de Leon
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Author Topic: CA-USC/LA Times: Feinstein +27 over de Leon  (Read 1764 times)
Shadows
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« Reply #25 on: November 10, 2017, 10:41:58 AM »

This is absolutely fantastic for De Leon. If he is already at 30%+ with such low name recognition with little campaign, this early, then he has a serious shot at winning. That is if he can run a good campaign.

If I saw De Leon, I would be happy with this. Sanders was at 2% & made up most of it. The campaign, debates haven't even started & De Leon is 30%+.
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Shadows
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« Reply #26 on: November 10, 2017, 10:44:40 AM »


Why would it be close? Even if you assume Democrats split 50-50 (which may be optimistic for De Leon), independents and Republicans are obviously going to back Feinstein. He would've had a chance if California had a regular primary system, but due to the jungle primary his campaign was already over before it even began.

I can see De Leon winning Independents big. I doubt Feinstein gets much independent vote (If De Leon runs a good campaign). I can see many Republicans not voting, writing in someone & I can see De Leon getting some GOP vote to not make it a blowout margin among the Republican voters.

All-in-all, De Leon can win, if he runs a good campaign & can appeal to Democrats & Independents.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #27 on: November 10, 2017, 11:29:20 AM »

Of course it is a weak results for an incumbent who served for what? over 20 years in the senate? But she is still going to win reelection easily.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: November 10, 2017, 04:09:03 PM »
« Edited: November 10, 2017, 04:13:13 PM by Interlocutor »

Crosstabs have been released. Among other findings...


Feinstein favorable: 34%
Feinstein unfavorable: 30%
N/A: 36% (19% hadn't heard of her)


de Leon favorable: 8%
de Leon unfavorable: 11%
N/A: 81% (65% hadn't heard of him)


Feinstein job approval: 38%
Feinstein job disapproval: 30%
N/A: 32%


Among GOP voters
Feinstein: 21%
de Leon: 17%
Other: 16%
No vote: 46%
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Maxwell
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« Reply #29 on: November 12, 2017, 05:30:57 PM »

Feinstein has very high name recognition and has never faced a campaign to her left before. Let's wait and see.
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #30 on: November 15, 2017, 02:09:05 PM »

Darn it, Debbie Wasserman Schultz is rigging this primary election too!
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DrScholl
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« Reply #31 on: November 15, 2017, 02:13:00 PM »

The thing is there are a lot of very liberal voters who see Feinstein as sufficient and moderates see her as being just right. Plus, she's an institution.
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Chief Justice Keef
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« Reply #32 on: November 15, 2017, 02:26:50 PM »

The thing is there are a lot of very liberal voters who see Feinstein as sufficient and moderates see her as being just right. Plus, she's an institution.

If very liberal voters thought DiFi was sufficient, there wouldn't be such a big primary challenge to her left.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #33 on: November 15, 2017, 02:30:14 PM »
« Edited: November 20, 2017, 03:47:12 PM by Invisible Obama »

The thing is there are a lot of very liberal voters who see Feinstein as sufficient and moderates see her as being just right. Plus, she's an institution.

If very liberal voters thought DiFi was sufficient, there wouldn't be such a big primary challenge to her left.

The polling isn't showing that the challenge is successful so far. And to be honest, this challenge is more about de Leon being termed out with no options than anything else at least from his standpoint. Atlas viciously hates Feinstein, but Atlas isn't the real world.

GIVE IT A DAMN REST, ICE SPEAR!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #34 on: November 15, 2017, 02:51:43 PM »

Atlas viciously hates Feinstein, but Atlas isn't the real world.

Hey, that's exactly what I've been saying about Ward and Moore. Wink
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