PPP: 15 more polls of competitive House districts (user search)
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  PPP: 15 more polls of competitive House districts (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP: 15 more polls of competitive House districts  (Read 7344 times)
mvd10
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

« on: November 14, 2017, 12:13:01 PM »

The NJ Republicans are almost tied with generic D and their districts were basically tied in the gubernatorial election so I think they should be fine in the end. Roskam surprises me, I thought he was too entrenched (he got 60% of the vote while Trump goy 43% in 2016 and Romney got 53% in 2012). Being a key player in tax reform probably has hurt him in a high tax suburb. I'm also surprised they didn't poll TX-23. Hurd is very vulnerable and he also has a lot of potential which should make the Democrats even more eager to take him out in 2018.

Rohrabacher trailing doesn't really surprise me tbh. He's too tied to Trump and it's about time that he will be replaced by a better Republican in 2020 Smiley.
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mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2017, 01:53:05 PM »


Edwards was running in a deep red seat though. Frelinghuysen's seat is R+3 (and as superbudgie already said, Frelinghuysen is an institution).
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mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2017, 01:57:26 PM »


Edwards was running in a deep red seat though. Frelinghuysen's seat is R+3 (and as superbudgie already said, Frelinghuysen is an institution).

I'd argue that Edwards was an instutition as well, given that he was in Congress for 20 years before he lost.

Yeah, I got that but Edwards was in more trouble because his district was much less favourable to his party than Frelinghuysen's (I didn't know Edwards lost by that much though).
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mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2017, 03:09:33 PM »

The thing is that Boucher and Edwards ran in R+20 districts. Frelinghuysen's district voted for Trump in 2016. He could go down in a wave, but I think there are a lot of incumbents who should be more worried than Frelinghuysen (including the other NJ Republicans).
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mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

« Reply #4 on: November 16, 2017, 09:35:44 AM »

:
This thread just proves that sometimes, both sides really do do it.


:

Both sides do it Smiley
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