IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,840
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
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« on: November 15, 2017, 02:30:31 PM » |
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« edited: November 15, 2017, 02:34:23 PM by IceSpear »
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It's hard to see at this point where Trump makes up a ~3 million vote deficit. If anything, he's going to lose net votes in California and Texas. Florida should be very close again as always. Maybe New York, but that's a long shot. And there's only so much more you can milk out of the smaller states, especially when you consider how well he already performed in them in 2016.
Of course, if some type of black swan event like nuclear war caused his approval rating to surge, a strong third party that drew mainly from the anti-Trump pool, or if the Democrats nominated a pedophile or something, that could change. But in most realistic scenarios it's hard to see the Republicans winning the popular vote.
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