MA-WBUR: Baker steamrolling Democratic opponents

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So, I was reluctant to say "Safe R" because this is going to be an anti-GOP election and Massachusetts is already an anti-GOP state, and while there has been a history of GOP governors in Massachusetts, there's never been one elected in a Democratic wave year.

Until 2018. Baker is safe assuming he stays scandal-free. It's a shame, I love Setti Warren. He might benefit from name confusion with Liz.

Definitely not Safe. Maybe Likely.

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Anyway, I predict that Setti Warren will win the nomination and improve his numbers through the campaign, and eventually only lose by about 7 points. The map won't change drastically from 2014.

I think Warren can convince most Coakley voters that there are reasons to dislike Baker, but in the end it won't be enough.