AL-NRSC: DOUG +12

[heatcharger]

Link.

Jones 51%
Moore 39%

Rats are fleeing the sinking ship.

[Webnicz]

From the NRSC? wow they really don't want anything to do with Moore

[MT Treasurer]

Basically what I'm expecting in the end. But clearly it's Likely or Safe R because reasons.

[Kamala]

B-b-b-but my pro-life candidate would be leading by double digits

[BuckeyeNut]

Teach me how to Doug-ie.

[IceSpear]

An internal from a party that has loads of incentive to push Moore out of the race and contradicts all the public polls. Not buying it. But if this does come to pass, I'll gladly admit I was wrong.

[Gass3268]

Woah!

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Basically what I'm expecting in the end. But clearly it's Likely or Safe R because reasons.

[BudgieForce]

Why is polling so all over the place lately?

[KingSweden]

Teach me how to Doug-ie.

Urrrrbuddy Dougie, urrr-urrrbuddy Dougie

(Sorry)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Why is polling so all over the place lately?

Because the race is in a huge state of flux?

[PragmaticPopulist]

I still have it as Lean R, and I'd need to see a few more polls like this to convince me to change it to tossup.

[mvd10]

Alabamans are God-fearing moral people who will reject the pedophile in the end. Why would you expect anything else?

[BudgieForce]

Why is polling so all over the place lately?

Because the race is in a huge state of flux?

But even Virginia was all over the place.

[Mike Thick]

Hot damn

[Mr. Smith]

Why is polling so all over the place lately?

Because the race is in a huge state of flux?

But even Virginia was all over the place.

Exactly, lots of herding there to inflate Gillespie's chances. To some extent even I was fooled (though I never fully believed he'd win so much as barely lose just before midnight).

Not this time.

[IceSpear]

Why is polling so all over the place lately?

Polling is frequently all over the place when you take internals at face value. When internals are released, they are done so solely to set a narrative. What narrative do you think Gillespie wanted to set? Or Mark Kirk releasing internals showing him tied? And what narrative does the NRSC want to set now? "I can still win, please don't abandon me!" vs. "You have no chance, drop out of the race now."

That said, there does seem to be a pretty interesting bimodal distribution even within the public polls, with some showing a close race and others still showing a modest Moore lead.

[Holmes]

rofl lmao

[The Other Castro]

Lol. I think Jones is favored by maybe a few points, but not this much. Obviously exercise some skepticism here, as IceSpear actually made a good point that the NRSC does have an agenda.

[The Other Castro]

Also, according to the history of this poll provided in the article, it supposedly showed:

Early October: Moore +16
Early November: Moore +9

Plus:

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[Dr. Arch]

#Over50

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

An internal from a party that has loads of incentive to push Moore out of the race and contradicts all the public polls. Not buying it. But if this does come to pass, I'll gladly admit I was wrong.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Sorry, not buying it.

[Sumner 1868]

Junk poll.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Lol. I think Jones is favored by maybe a few points, but not this much. Obviously exercise some skepticism here, as IceSpear actually made a good point that the NRSC does have an agenda.