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Author Topic: Gore nominated in 1988  (Read 463 times)
darklordoftech
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« on: November 17, 2017, 09:18:40 pm »
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What if Gore was the Democratic nominee for President in 1988?
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« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2017, 10:20:19 pm »
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What if Gore was the Democratic nominee for President in 1988?
He would have lost but it would have been much closer more like a obama or trump win and less like Reaganís win.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2017, 11:27:56 am »
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What if Gore was the Democratic nominee for President in 1988?
He would have lost but it would have been much closer more like a obama or trump win and less like Reaganís win.
How do the Democrats interpret his loss?
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« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2017, 11:54:59 am »
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What if Gore was the Democratic nominee for President in 1988?
He would have lost but it would have been much closer more like a obama or trump win and less like Reaganís win.
I hate to agree with Greedo, but basically this.
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« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2017, 01:03:21 pm »
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What if Gore was the Democratic nominee for President in 1988?
He would have lost but it would have been much closer more like a obama or trump win and less like Reaganís win.

What does an Obama or Trump win even mean? Their electoral college margins were somewhat similar but Trump lost the PV by 2 while Obama won the PV by 4 (I assume you mean his reelection victory).
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2017, 08:19:05 pm »
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What if Gore was the Democratic nominee for President in 1988?
He would have lost but it would have been much closer more like a obama or trump win and less like Reaganís win.
How do the Democrats interpret his loss?

I think it depends on the margin.  If Gore was closer than Dukakis (which I agree is likely) then it may just be chalked up as a year that was going Republican in any case. 

But if Gore was blown out, it may have worked against the Democratic willingness to move to the center that got Clinton nominated and elected in '92.  So in that campaign probably Jerry Brown does better, and we'll handwave that as a result, he's more prudent and doesn't mention that he'd consider Jesse Jackson as a running mate, which was something that really broke his momentum.

Let's say that Brown wins the nomination.  Presumably Ross Perot still runs, so we have Bush vs Brown vs Perot, with an economy sliding into recession.  This could be fairly interesting.
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« Reply #6 on: November 22, 2017, 10:02:19 pm »
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Gore could conceivably win. People forget, Dukakis led Bush by 17 points at one point in 1988 and Atwater won't be able to dig up dirt on and attack Gore the way he did Dukakis, plus Gore had a center right voting record at that point (environmental issues aside), so you can't smear him as liberal or smear liberalism itself to the extent that it was smeared with Dukakis.

Granted, you could argue 1988 was destined to be a Republican year regardless given the economy and the stability abroad, but low unemployment and stability didn't help Gore in 2000, so it alone might not be enough to carry Bush over the finish line. In either case, a HW Bush vs. Gore election in '88 would be a close one.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #7 on: November 22, 2017, 10:27:39 pm »
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Gore could conceivably win. People forget, Dukakis led Bush by 17 points at one point in 1988 and Atwater won't be able to dig up dirt on and attack Gore the way he did Dukakis, plus Gore had a center right voting record at that point (environmental issues aside), so you can't smear him as liberal or smear liberalism itself to the extent that it was smeared with Dukakis.

Granted, you could argue 1988 was destined to be a Republican year regardless given the economy and the stability abroad, but low unemployment and stability didn't help Gore in 2000, so it alone might not be enough to carry Bush over the finish line. In either case, a HW Bush vs. Gore election in '88 would be a close one.
Crime would certainly be less of an issue if Gore was nominated while the environment may have been more of an issue. I wonder if Gore would have attacked Bush over his oil past and Reagan's environmental record.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: November 24, 2017, 11:17:40 am »
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But if Gore was blown out, it may have worked against the Democratic willingness to move to the center that got Clinton nominated and elected in '92.  So in that campaign probably Jerry Brown does better, and we'll handwave that as a result, he's more prudent and doesn't mention that he'd consider Jesse Jackson as a running mate, which was something that really broke his momentum.

I know the conventional wisdom is that the Dem. primary electorate "learned their lesson" after nominating liberals like Mondale and Dukakis by moving to the center with Clinton, but I don't actually buy it.

I think Clinton won because 1) the big names like Cuomo, Bradley, Gephardt, and Gore sat it out, 2) he was a very highly skilled politician, and 3) he was the only Southern candidate running in a year where the primary calendar favored the South, and he didn't have to deal with Jesse Jackson in the race, siphoning off black votes.  Thus, he cleaned up among both Southern whites and blacks.

So I'm not sure Gore '88 being nominated and losing the GE prevents Clinton from being nominated in '92.  What it might have done though is prompt Clinton to run a somewhat different campaign, that would avoid too many parallels between himself and Gore.
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