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October 18, 2018, 01:06:57 pm
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News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Torie)
| | |-+  Which would be most impressive for a Republican?
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Question: Most impressive/difficult?
Losing NY by less than 10%   -3 (7.5%)
Losing CA by less than 5%   -35 (87.5%)
Winning VA by 5%+   -0 (0%)
Winning FL by 10%+   -2 (5%)
Winning GA by 20%+   -0 (0%)
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Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: Which would be most impressive for a Republican?  (Read 444 times)
Arbitrage1980
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« on: November 18, 2017, 04:08:31 pm »

Let's limit this to a generic Republican, not necessarily Trump. Also, let's assume the GOP nominee is not from any of these states, in order to take away the hometown impact.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2017, 04:10:35 pm »

Obviously losing California by less than 5%.
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Pennsylvania Deplorable
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« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2017, 12:00:52 am »

California is 27% foreign born, only 37% white, and has nearly half its population speaking a language besides English at home. A republican staying within 10 points there would require a GOP landslide nationally.
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I endorse: President Donald Trump
Mo Brooks (R-AL)
Paul Gosar (R-AZ)
Tom Cotton (R-AR)
Duncan Hunter (R-CA)
David Perdue (R-GA)
Steve King (R-IA)
Lou Barletta (R-PA)
Dave Brat (R-VA)
Lamar Smith (R-TX)
and literally anyone who runs against John McCain
Arbitrage1980
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« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2017, 12:52:26 am »

California is 27% foreign born, only 37% white, and has nearly half its population speaking a language besides English at home. A republican staying within 10 points there would require a GOP landslide nationally.

W Bush lost CA by 9.96% in 2004. Has CA demographics changed that drastically since then?
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TexArkana
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« Reply #4 on: November 19, 2017, 01:01:22 am »

California is 27% foreign born, only 37% white, and has nearly half its population speaking a language besides English at home. A republican staying within 10 points there would require a GOP landslide nationally.

W Bush lost CA by 9.96% in 2004. Has CA demographics changed that drastically since then?
No, but the Republican Party has. It's went from conservative hero Reagan giving amnesty to millions of illegal immigrants to candidate Trump calling for deporting every single person who is here illegaly. The GOP of Reagan and Bush is dead, and thus, so are its chances of ever competing in California.
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Arbitrage1980
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« Reply #5 on: November 19, 2017, 03:17:31 am »

California is 27% foreign born, only 37% white, and has nearly half its population speaking a language besides English at home. A republican staying within 10 points there would require a GOP landslide nationally.

W Bush lost CA by 9.96% in 2004. Has CA demographics changed that drastically since then?
No, but the Republican Party has. It's went from conservative hero Reagan giving amnesty to millions of illegal immigrants to candidate Trump calling for deporting every single person who is here illegaly. The GOP of Reagan and Bush is dead, and thus, so are its chances of ever competing in California.

Reagan came to regret granting amnesty. His reason for doing so in the first place were mainly geopolitical: he was afraid that if the illegals returned to Mexico, they would vote in a communist government into power.

The GOP is the party of law and order. The notion that we have to pander to Democrats who believe that those who break our laws to enter our country illegally should be rewarded with not just government benefits but also U.S. citizenship, is pretty ridiculous. Thankfully, we now have a President who enforces our immigration laws.

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Beet
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« Reply #6 on: November 19, 2017, 03:31:59 am »

California is 27% foreign born, only 37% white, and has nearly half its population speaking a language besides English at home. A republican staying within 10 points there would require a GOP landslide nationally.

W Bush lost CA by 9.96% in 2004. Has CA demographics changed that drastically since then?
No, but the Republican Party has. It's went from conservative hero Reagan giving amnesty to millions of illegal immigrants to candidate Trump calling for deporting every single person who is here illegaly. The GOP of Reagan and Bush is dead, and thus, so are its chances of ever competing in California.

Reagan came to regret granting amnesty. His reason for doing so in the first place were mainly geopolitical: he was afraid that if the illegals returned to Mexico, they would vote in a communist government into power.

The GOP is the party of law and order. The notion that we have to pander to Democrats who believe that those who break our laws to enter our country illegally should be rewarded with not just government benefits but also U.S. citizenship, is pretty ridiculous. Thankfully, we now have a President who enforces our immigration laws.

http://fortune.com/2017/05/25/greg-gianforte-ben-jacobs-assault-montana-election/
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TexArkana
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« Reply #7 on: November 19, 2017, 12:28:02 pm »

California is 27% foreign born, only 37% white, and has nearly half its population speaking a language besides English at home. A republican staying within 10 points there would require a GOP landslide nationally.

W Bush lost CA by 9.96% in 2004. Has CA demographics changed that drastically since then?
No, but the Republican Party has. It's went from conservative hero Reagan giving amnesty to millions of illegal immigrants to candidate Trump calling for deporting every single person who is here illegaly. The GOP of Reagan and Bush is dead, and thus, so are its chances of ever competing in California.

Reagan came to regret granting amnesty. His reason for doing so in the first place were mainly geopolitical: he was afraid that if the illegals returned to Mexico, they would vote in a communist government into power.

The GOP is the party of law and order. The notion that we have to pander to Democrats who believe that those who break our laws to enter our country illegally should be rewarded with not just government benefits but also U.S. citizenship, is pretty ridiculous. Thankfully, we now have a President who enforces our immigration laws.

http://fortune.com/2017/05/25/greg-gianforte-ben-jacobs-assault-montana-election/
Law and order is largely a dog whistle anyway. Just ask Nixon or George Wallace (although you can't since they're both dead).
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