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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« on: November 19, 2017, 02:51:08 am »
« edited: November 19, 2017, 03:43:31 am by Southern Deputy Speaker/National Archivist TimTurner »

This is a side project of mine. Currently in the process of calculating PVIs.

The map is a fairly mild Dem gerrymander.  This was intended, because I wanted a senate district map that would not result in Dem votes being packed more than Republicans. I went too far though. Oh well. You live with what you have.
(I do not think it would be wise adopting this, for sure. But it is a fun scenario.)
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2017, 02:56:03 am »
« Edited: November 19, 2017, 03:00:12 am by Southern Deputy Speaker/National Archivist TimTurner »

Obama/Trump 10
Obama/Clinton 53

Romney/Trump 29
Romney/Clinton 8

nassau-suffolk 642 t 635 c; 607 o 541 r; 688 o 596 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI EVEN
queens 517 c 149 t; 471 o 119 r; 481 o 155 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+22; 2017 PVI D+28
manhattan-bronx 933 c 103 t; 841 o 119 r; 910 o 132 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+34; 2017 PVI D+37
brooklyn-staten island 715 c 242 t; 682 o 199 r; 683 o 238 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+34; 2017 PVI D+25
westchester 782 t 530 c; 678 o 489 r; 811 o 532 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+6; 2017 PVI D+8
boston 988 c 406 t; 895 o 475 r; 809 o 519 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+7; 2017 PVI D+17
providence 776 c 551 t; 855 o 598 r; 819 o 531 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+7; 2017 PVI D+7
hartford 821 c 561 t; 895 o 475 r; 899 o 518 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+10; 2017 PVI D+9
manchester 820 c 753 t; 900 o 684 r; 953 o 683 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+5; 2017 PVI D+3
newark 823 c 417 t; 751 o 431 r; 777 o 477 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+8; 2017 PVI D+13
paramus 681 c 598 t; 671 o 547 r; 714 o 600 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+1; 2017 PVI D+3
syracuse 620 c 593 t; 679 o 504 r; 750 o 573 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+3; 2017 PVI D+3
trenton 644 c 604 t; 656 o 535 r; 692 o 585 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+3; 2017 PVI D+1
philadelphia 1007 c 436 t; 983 o 427 r; 1028 o 433 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+17; 2017 PVI D+18
reading 707 t 621 c; 632 o 629 r; 701o 611 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI R+3
wilmington 826 c 680 t; 868 o 628 r; 900 o 629 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+5; 2017 PVI D+5
baltimore 1044 c 469 t; 1056 o 495 r; 1017 o 503 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+17; 2017 PVI D+13
harrisburg 809 c 717 t; 780 o 696 r; 797 o 676 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI D+1
pittsburgh 820 t 597 c; 741 r 637 o; 731 o 728 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+4; 2017 PVI R+7
punxutawney 867 t 397 c; 752 r 458 o; 733 m 540 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+11; 2017 PVI R+17
buffalo 659 t 624 c; 677 o 578 r; 759 o 617 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+1; 2017 PVI EVEN
cleveland 763 c 588 t; 904 o 552 r; 930 o 564 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+9; 2017 PVI D+8
columbus 743 t 637 c; 743 o 670 r; 760 o 675 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+1; 2017 PVI R+2
manassas 914 c 644 t; 842 o 698 r; 820 o 548 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+6; 2017 PVI D+5
richmond 658 c 602 t; 676 o 622 r; 665 o 594 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+1; 2017 PVI D+1
fayetteville 711 t 698 c; 734 o 689 r; 732 o 674 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+2; 2017 PVI R+1
raleigh 778 c 672 t; 739 o 666 r; 711 o 609 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI D+2

Current Numbers so far, that I have calculated. Districts are named for prominent cities/towns within them. This is purely for identification within my document in which I keep this data.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2017, 04:20:49 am »

2017 PVIs
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You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
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« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2017, 10:23:14 am »

really cool!
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afleitch
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« Reply #4 on: November 19, 2017, 11:09:56 am »

Wouldn't it be better to do it by apportionment? does anyone have the figures; I'd do it!
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #5 on: November 19, 2017, 12:32:52 pm »
« Edited: November 19, 2017, 01:40:18 pm by Southern Deputy Speaker/National Archivist TimTurner »

Wouldn't it be better to do it by apportionment? does anyone have the figures; I'd do it!
My gerrymander assumes it is permissible to cross state lines. Which isn't common in my experience.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #6 on: November 19, 2017, 03:16:47 pm »

Wouldn't it be better to do it by apportionment? does anyone have the figures; I'd do it!

This is my map based on the 2000 Census.



There was an initial apportionment then a combination into multi-state areas, similar what is done for North Carolina legislative redistricting (Whole County Provisions) or Texas House redistricting.

The districts were drawn within those areas.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2017, 06:09:14 am »

The New Orleans seat swung from R+3 in 2008 (One-cycle PVI) to EVEN in 2017. Wow.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2017, 07:17:39 pm »

That Harris County seat was very very close in 2016, within a thousand votes.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #9 on: November 21, 2017, 04:56:28 am »

Very close to having calculated numbers for all the districts.
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #10 on: November 21, 2017, 09:02:46 am »

Really cool stuff.

Although I'm not sure that I would classify 61 Clinton seats as a "mild" Democratic gerrymander, lol
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #11 on: November 21, 2017, 12:38:27 pm »

Really cool stuff.

Although I'm not sure that I would classify 61 Clinton seats as a "mild" Democratic gerrymander, lol
Actually the map still has more R leaning seats than D leaning ones (45-9-46). So in a way its not a insane gerrymander at all.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #12 on: November 21, 2017, 06:09:11 pm »

Have everything calculated. Now it's just a matter of posting the data.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #13 on: November 22, 2017, 04:46:45 pm »

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jimrtex
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« Reply #14 on: November 22, 2017, 07:24:50 pm »

Do you have the populations of your districts?
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #15 on: November 22, 2017, 09:00:18 pm »

not on hand, but it would be easy to produce such figures (via Kevin Hayes Wilson).
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #16 on: December 10, 2017, 05:04:55 pm »

Obama/Trump 12
Obama/Clinton 55

Romney/Trump 29
Romney/Clinton 4

all seats are single-member districts unless noted otherwise

nassau-suffolk 642 t 635 c; 607 o 541 r; 688 o 596 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI EVEN
queens 517 c 149 t; 471 o 119 r; 481 o 155 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+22; 2017 PVI D+28
manhattan-bronx 933 c 103 t; 841 o 119 r; 910 o 132 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+34; 2017 PVI D+37
brooklyn-staten island 715 c 242 t; 682 o 199 r; 683 o 238 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+34; 2017 PVI D+25
westchester 782 c 530 t; 678 o 489 r; 811 o 532 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+6; 2017 PVI D+8
boston 988 c 406 t; 895 o 475 r; 809 o 519 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+7; 2017 PVI D+17
providence 776 c 551 t; 855 o 598 r; 819 o 531 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+7; 2017 PVI D+7
hartford 821 c 561 t; 895 o 475 r; 899 o 518 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+10; 2017 PVI D+9
manchester 820 c 753 t; 900 o 684 r; 953 o 683 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+5; 2017 PVI D+3
newark 823 c 417 t; 751 o 431 r; 777 o 477 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+8; 2017 PVI D+13
paramus 681 c 598 t; 671 o 547 r; 714 o 600 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+1; 2017 PVI D+3
syracuse 620 c 593 t; 679 o 504 r; 750 o 573 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+3; 2017 PVI D+3
trenton 644 c 604 t; 656 o 535 r; 692 o 585 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+3; 2017 PVI D+1
philadelphia 1007 c 436 t; 983 o 427 r; 1028 o 433 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+17; 2017 PVI D+18
reading 707 t 621 c; 632 o 629 r; 701o 611 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI R+3
wilmington 826 c 680 t; 868 o 628 r; 900 o 629 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+5; 2017 PVI D+5
baltimore 1044 c 469 t; 1056 o 495 r; 1017 o 503 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+17; 2017 PVI D+13
harrisburg 809 c 717 t; 780 o 696 r; 797 o 676 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI D+1
pittsburgh 820 t 597 c; 741 r 637 o; 731 o 728 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+4; 2017 PVI R+7
punxutawney 867 t 397 c; 752 r 458 o; 733 m 540 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+11; 2017 PVI R+17
buffalo 659 t 624 c; 677 o 578 r; 759 o 617 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+1; 2017 PVI EVEN
cleveland 763 c 588 t; 904 o 552 r; 930 o 564 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+9; 2017 PVI D+8
columbus 743 t 637 c; 743 o 670 r; 760 o 675 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+1; 2017 PVI R+2
manassas 914 c 644 t; 842 o 698 r; 820 o 548 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+6; 2017 PVI D+5
richmond 658 c 602 t; 676 o 622 r; 665 o 594 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+1; 2017 PVI D+1
fayetteville 711 t 698 c; 734 o 689 r; 732 o 674 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+2; 2017 PVI R+1
raleigh 778 c 672 t; 739 o 666 r; 711 o 609 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI D+2
charlotte 736 c 727 t; 727 o 722 r; 713 o 669 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+2; 2017 PVI R+1
charleston 702 t 623 c; 660 r 633 o; 636 m 622 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+4; 2017 PVI R+4
asheville 1076 t 566 c; 969 r 592 o; 933 m 617 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+14; 2017 PVI R+15
atlanta 912 c 440 t; 821 o 497 r; 862 o 495 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+10; 2017 PVI D+13
athens 880 t 466 c; 847 r 405 o; 818 m 422 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+20; 2017 PVI R+18
savannah 613 c 611 t; 649 o 608 r; 655 o 615 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+2; 2017 PVI R+1
ocala 1085 t 489 c; 943 r 519 o; 913 m 545 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+16; 2017 PVI R+18
orlando 814 c 782 t; 740 o 734 r; 728 o 710 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI R+1
fort pierce 725 c 715 t; 684 o 527 r; 703 o 595 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI D+2
tampa 770 t 732 c; 709 o 686 r; 708 o 661 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+2; 2017 PVI R+2
fort lauderdale 819 c 653 t; 760 o 570 r; 765 o 548 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+5; 2017 PVI D+5
miami 704 c 461 t; 613 o 449 r; 575 o 466 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+2; 2017 PVI D+8
chattanooga 985 t 327 c; 901 r 365 o; 895 m 397 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+23; 2017 PVI R+25
pensacola 762 t 587 c; 754 r 616 o; 772 m 625 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+9; 2017 PVI R+7
memphis 579 t 529 c; 593 r 566 o; 630 o 604 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI R+3
knoxville 917 t 301 c; 837 r 356 o; 828 o 419 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+20; 2017 PVI R+24
cincinnati 828 t 573 c; 816 r 631 o; 814 m 661 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+9; 2017 PVI R+9
toledo 787 t 487 c; 712 r 629 o; 717 m 675 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+5; 2017 PVI R+9
bowling green 1052 t 386 c; 922 r 452 o; 877 m 516 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+17; 2017 PVI R+22
indianopolis 692 t 669 c; 686 o 664 r; 776 o 649 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+1; 2017 PVI R+2
gary 921 t 532 c; 827 r 609 o; 777 m 736 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+5; 2017 PVI R+12
detroit 853 c 658 t; 1011 o 575 r; 1121 o 575 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+12; 2017 PVI D+9
lansing 847 c 817 t; 914 o 787 r; 1014 o 756 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+4; 2017 PVI D+1
grand rapids 909 t 644 c; 848 r 725 o; 836 o 809 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI R+8
chicago 1841 c 619 t; 1688 o 691 r; 1858 o 672 m; two member district; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+20; 2017 PVI D+21
elgin 639 c 571 t; 611 o 583 r; 704 o 550 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+3; 2017 PVI EVEN
springfield 823 t 490 c; 742 r 571 o; 694 m 690; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+4; 2017 PVI R+11
milwaukee 780 t 730 c; 851 o 824 r; 875 o 743 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI R+2
madison 774 c 758 t; 920 o 703 r; 965 o 638 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+7; 2017 PVI D+2
hattiesburg 837 t 431 c; 829 r 501 o; 830 m 482 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+17; 2017 PVI R+16
new orleans 675 c 633 t; 697 o 643 r; 676 o 669 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI EVEN
litte rock 685 t 380 c; 648 r 394 o; 638 m 422 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+13; 2017 PVI R+15
st. louis 701 t 615 c; 685 o 660 r; 795 o 644 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+2; 2017 PVI R+3
kansas city 894 t 456 c; 822 r 539 o; 802 m 647 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+9; 2017 PVI R+15
des moines 801 t 654 c; 823 o 731 r; 829 o 682 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+1; 2017 PVI R+3
st.paul 782 t 695 c; 874 o 690 r; 867 o 689 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+2; 2017 PVI EVEN
minneapolis 767 c 758 t; 860 o 755 r; 875 o 727 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+1; 2017 PVI EVEN
omaha 898 t 457 c; 857 o 516 r; 821 m 587 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+12; 2017 PVI R+16
wichita 671 t 427 c; 693 r 441 o; 700 m 515 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+11; 2017 PVI R+13
tulsa 721 t 361 c; 681 r 374 o; 738 m 421 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+17; 2017 PVI R+17
nacogdoches 913 t 306 c; 857 r 331 o; 826 m 371 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+23; 2017 PVI R+25
houston 1027 t 1026 c; 1044 r 850 o; 986 m 859 o; two member district; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+7; 2017 PVI R+4
dallas 572 c 434 t; 487 o 454 r; 514 o 460 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+1; 2017 PVI D+3
fort worth 748 t 422 c; 715 r 381 o; 704 o 431 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+16; 2017 PVI R+16
corpus christie 415 c 401 t; 364 r 354 o; 364 o 356 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI R+1
austin 734 c 641 t; 634 r 595 o; 641 o 622 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI R+1
wichita falls 867 t 312 c; 820 r 288 o; 829 m 333 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+25; 2017 PVI R+25
el paso 423 c 397 t; 391 o 389 r; 421 o 403 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI R+1
tucson 610 c 526 t; 602 o 538 r; 641 o 550 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI EVEN; 2017 PVI D+2
denver 816 c 761 t; 791 o 754 r; 764 o 683 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+1; 2017 PVI EVEN
aspen 717 c 612 t; 695 o 687 r; 723 o 594 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+1; 2017 PVI EVEN
pheonix 1255 t 912 c; 1382 r 783 o; 1280 m 830 o; two member district; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+14; 2017 PVI R+12
boise 688 t 367 c; 698 r 415 o; 646 m 468 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+12; 2017 PVI R+15
las vegas 625 c 597 t; 614 o 551 r; 630 o 507 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+2; 2017 PVI EVEN
riverside 434 c 375 t; 374 o 358 r; 370 o 357 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI D+1
san diego 735 c 478 t; 627 o 537 r; 667 o 541 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+2; 2017 PVI D+6
anaheim 610 c 507 t; 582 r 512 o; 579 m 550 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+5; 2017 PVI R+1
los angeles 2464 c 770 t; 2217 o 885 r; 2296 o 956 m; three member district; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+17; 2017 PVI D+22
san brenadino 488 c 459 t; 446 r 436 o; 472 m 453 o; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+5; 2017 PVI R+1
san francisco 1135 c 397 t; 1008 o 454 r; 1093 o 464 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+16; 2017 PVI D+20
fresno 445 c 403 t; 416 o 390 r; 436 o 413 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+3; 2017 PVI D+1
san jose 1027 c 241 t; 921 o 283 r; 951 o 310 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+22; 2017 PVI D+27
honolulu 695 c 267 t; 698 o 289 r; 742 o 285 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+19; 2017 PVI D+20
sacramento 657 c 463 t; 609 o 487 r; 655 o 499 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+3; 2017 PVI D+6
medford 748 c 626 t; 741 o 607 r; 816 o 606 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+4; 2017 PVI D+3
portland 759 c 594 t; 761 o 575 r; 796 o 558 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+5; 2017 PVI D+5
anchorage 707 c 627 t; 742 o 639 r; 741 o 654 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI R+1; 2017 PVI D+2
seattle 949 c 513 t; 885 o 579 r; 875 o 541 m; one-cycle 2008 PVI D+8; 2017 PVI D+11

2017 PVIs
D+20 - 11
D+15 - 3
D+10 - 3
D+5 - 12
D+1 - 16
EVEN - 9
R+1 - 20
R+5 - 5
R+10 - 5
R+15 - 11
R+20 - 5

D-leaning - 45
EVEN - 9
R-leaning - 46

one-cycle 2008 PVIs
D+20 - 6
D+15 - 7
D+10 - 3
D+5 - 12
D+1 - 17
EVEN - 7
R+1 - 21
R+5 - 9
R+10 - 8
R+15 - 5
R+20 - 5

D-leaning - 45
EVEN - 7
R-leaning - 48
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