AL-Raycom News/Strategy Research: Moore +2

[The Other Castro]

Roy Moore - 47%
Doug Jones - 45%
Undecided - 5%
Write-In - 3%

http://www.wbrc.com/story/36899832/exclusive-new-poll-shows-roy-moore-and-doug-jones-in-statistical-tie

[Gass3268]

Moore continues to collapse

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Is this a reliable pollster?

[Adam Griffin]

Jones still sitting at 45% in aggregate polling after all this time and all these polls...

[The Other Castro]

Is this a reliable pollster?

It's a legitimate pollster, though it has been one of the more Moore-friendly ones.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The fact that Moore leads at all is bad news for Jones at this point.

[The Other Castro]

The fact that Moore leads at all is bad news for Jones at this point.

Not necessarily. This is just one poll, and is clearly quite different from some other polls. This pollster started on the high end of the Moore lead, but notably has shown a large trend towards Jones similar to other pollsters.

[IceSpear]

Moore will win.

[Keep cool-idge]

Yep I knew sabato was a fool for moving it to lean democrat.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Moore will win.

After you've said this approximately 500,000 times over the past month, I feel compelled to accept it as a fact now.

[IceSpear]

Moore will win.

After you've said this approximately 500,000 times over the past month, I feel compelled to accept it as a fact now.

See? If you just try hard enough, you can accomplish anything.

[Cactus Jack]

Moore will win.

I wish very dearly that people would stop quoting you, so I can go about my day-to-day business without ever having to give your obnoxious trolling the time of day, but here we are, so here I go: please, please, for the love of all that's righteous, crawl back into your basement.

[IceSpear]

Moore will win.

I wish very dearly that people would stop quoting you, so I can go about my day-to-day business without ever having to give your obnoxious trolling the time of day, but here we are, so here I go: please, please, for the love of all that's righteous, crawl back into your basement.

I mean, that wasn't even trolling. It was just a fact.

But I'm glad you're compelled to reply to every post of mine that you are supposedly forced to see. #obsession

[Pericles]

IceSpear, you are a stain on the Alabama threads and a stain on the forum.

[Devout Centrist]

VITTER SURGING

[junior chįmp]

Rapin' Roy Moore gonna date those low poll numbers

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Pre👏Iron👏Bowl👏Polls👏Indicate👏Absolutely👏Nothing👏👏

Let's wait until fans of both sides can absorb their fate before saying how they will vote. A lot is going on right now clouding their thoughts on other topics.

[NOVA Green]

It is an extremely large sample size, which is obviously a plus, however I wish the poll provided additional information and cross-tabs.

On the negative side, it appears that their LV Model, basically includes individuals who voted in either the 2016 GE or 2017 AL-SEN Primary, which is actually a pretty loose LV screen for an "off-cycle election", where there is a good chance overall turnout will be down among most Demographics, and not just because of the recent allegations from multiple accusers regarding Moore.

Because of all of the attention focused on this race, both statewide and nationally, it's actually entirely plausible that overall turnout will be significantly higher than in typical off-year elections in 'Bama, but still in this race it's almost as important who turns out to vote, than the overall top-line numbers in a poll, (even one with a large sample size).

Also, it would be nice to get a poll for this contest that breaks down the state by regions/ Metro areas, since I suspect this race might well come down to a battle for Jones to establish sufficient margins in the larger Metro areas to hold off the inevitable subtractions of Republican vote margins from rural and small town areas where we might be less likely to see the types of swings towards Jones than elsewhere (Although parts of Northern 'Bama are wild cards in my mind that might potentially swing hard Jones since it is only recently they started voting heavily Republican).

[The Other Castro]

Pre👏Iron👏Bowl👏Polls👏Indicate👏Absolutely👏Nothing👏👏

Let's wait until fans of both sides can absorb their fate before saying how they will vote. A lot is going on right now clouding their thoughts on other topics.

If Auburn wins, is Jones the favorite?

[NOVA Green]

Pre👏Iron👏Bowl👏Polls👏Indicate👏Absolutely👏Nothing👏👏

Let's wait until fans of both sides can absorb their fate before saying how they will vote. A lot is going on right now clouding their thoughts on other topics.

If Auburn wins, is Jones the favorite?

I would imagine it to the other way round since HRC won Tuscaloosa and Trump won Auburn, but all bets are off in the 'Bama Civil War...

If Auburn loses, it will likely be because of massive collapse of morale within their fan base streaming out of the stadium at half-time with tears rolling down their cheeks as they witness the inevitable pounding they will receive in the 3rd and 4th quarters, while meanwhile 'Bama fans are pumped up and enthusiastic from the opening punt return for a TD....

Ok--- crappy metaphor, but hell looks like the best rivalry match and perhaps the most important game overall in rivalry weekend, and Doug Jones will be attending, not Roy Moore, if that tells you anything.....

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Pre👏Iron👏Bowl👏Polls👏Indicate👏Absolutely👏Nothing👏👏

Let's wait until fans of both sides can absorb their fate before saying how they will vote. A lot is going on right now clouding their thoughts on other topics.

If Auburn wins, is Jones the favorite?

I would imagine it to the other way round since HRC won Tuscaloosa and Trump won Auburn, but all bets are off in the 'Bama Civil War...

If Auburn loses, it will likely be because of massive collapse of morale within their fan base streaming out of the stadium at half-time with tears rolling down their cheeks as they witness the inevitable pounding they will receive in the 3rd and 4th quarters, while meanwhile 'Bama fans are pumped up and enthusiastic from the opening punt return for a TD....

Ok--- crappy metaphor, but hell looks like the best rivalry match and perhaps the most important game overall in rivalry weekend, and Doug Jones will be attending, not Roy Moore, if that tells you anything.....

But how does UAB affect the results?

[IceSpear]

IceSpear, you are a stain on the Alabama threads and a stain on the forum.

Man, never in a million years would I have predicted a sizable amount of Atlas users would get SO butthurt over someone saying the Republican candidate is going to win an Alabama Senate election, lol.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

IceSpear, you are a stain on the Alabama threads and a stain on the forum.

Man, never in a million years would I have predicted a sizable amount of Atlas users would get SO butthurt over someone saying the Republican candidate is going to win an Alabama Senate election, lol.

Well, you did singlehandely kill the Democratic Party in WV, and it appears you want to put the Democratic Party of AL in an even weaker position than it already is.

[IceSpear]

IceSpear, you are a stain on the Alabama threads and a stain on the forum.

Man, never in a million years would I have predicted a sizable amount of Atlas users would get SO butthurt over someone saying the Republican candidate is going to win an Alabama Senate election, lol.

Well, you did singlehandely kill the Democratic Party in WV, and it appears you want to put the Democratic Party of AL in an even weaker position than it already is.

Lol. Can I at least take credit for Hillary winning Orange County and Gwinnett County then?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

IceSpear, you are a stain on the Alabama threads and a stain on the forum.

Man, never in a million years would I have predicted a sizable amount of Atlas users would get SO butthurt over someone saying the Republican candidate is going to win an Alabama Senate election, lol.

Well, you did singlehandely kill the Democratic Party in WV, and it appears you want to put the Democratic Party of AL in an even weaker position than it already is.

Lol. Can I at least take credit for Hillary winning Orange County and Gwinnett County then?

No, your actions only help republicans.