AL-Sen, WaPo: Jones +3

[Keep cool-idge]

Uh I don’t know what to think about this race.
The one thing that helps Moore in this poll is that Washington Post is basically like an Doug Jones poll.
Considering that they endorsed jones and did the hit piece on Moore.

[BudgieForce]

Uh I don’t know what to think about this race.
The one thing that helps Moore in this poll is that Washington Post is basically like an Doug Jones poll.
Considering that they endorsed jones and did the hit piece on Moore.

Generally speaking, polls done by media outlets(whether through a third party or otherwise) are among the most trust worthy.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

This looks increasingly like a close race ...

I predict 49.5-49.0, with a surprisingly high 1-2% for write-ins.

I still need to decide who will get the 49.5% and who will end up with 49.0% ...

1-2% for write-ins isn't really "surprisingly high". if anything that's a bit low.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Uh I don’t know what to think about this race.
The one thing that helps Moore in this poll is that Washington Post is basically like an Doug Jones poll.
Considering that they endorsed jones and did the hit piece on Moore.

Fox News is a republican media outlet and their polls are usually very fair.

[Keep cool-idge]

Uh I don’t know what to think about this race.
The one thing that helps Moore in this poll is that Washington Post is basically like an Doug Jones poll.
Considering that they endorsed jones and did the hit piece on Moore.

Fox News is a republican media outlet and their polls are usually very fair.

Fox News as a company has never endorsed any candidate.

[YE]

Jones at 50%??? Seems suspect.

[IceSpear]

The Washington Post just had to get people's hopes up, didn't they?

[Pericles]

The Washington Post just had to get people's hopes up accurately poll the race, didn't they?

Ftfy

[Keep cool-idge]

Uh I don’t know what to think about this race.
The one thing that helps Moore in this poll is that Washington Post is basically like an Doug Jones poll.
Considering that they endorsed jones and did the hit piece on Moore.

Fox News is a republican media outlet and their polls are usually very fair.

Fox News as a company has never endorsed any candidate.

Neither has CNN or MSNBC but we all know their agenda

I do believe CNN polls.
Washington Post is a democrat newspaper basically.

[IceSpear]

The Washington Post just had to get people's hopes up accurately poll the race, didn't they?

Ftfy

If you think this poll is accurate, how could you be so sure of Jones' victory? It's margin of error.

[DrScholl]

Taken partially after Moore went back into public. Could support the idea that his supposed rebound was due to him being out of sight.

[IceSpear]

Taken partially after Moore went back into public. Could support the idea that his supposed rebound was due to him being out of sight.

Dare we speculate on what he was doing while out of sight?

[Pericles]

The Washington Post just had to get people's hopes up accurately poll the race, didn't they?

Ftfy

If you think this poll is accurate, how could you be so sure of Jones' victory? It's margin of error.

Yes but most likely the error will be in Doug's favor.

[The Other Castro]

Taken partially after Moore went back into public. Could support the idea that his supposed rebound was due to him being out of sight.

Dare we speculate on what he was doing while out of sight?

Black Friday shopping at the mall probably.

[IceSpear]

Taken partially after Moore went back into public. Could support the idea that his supposed rebound was due to him being out of sight.

Dare we speculate on what he was doing while out of sight?

Black Friday shopping at the mall probably.

"Black Friday shopping" takes on a whole new meaning when discussing Roy Moore. Was he looking for America's Sweetheart?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Taken partially after Moore went back into public. Could support the idea that his supposed rebound was due to him being out of sight.

Dare we speculate on what he was doing while out of sight?

Black Friday shopping at the mall probably.

"Black Friday shopping" takes on a whole new meaning when discussing Roy Moore. Was he looking for America's Sweetheart?

Nah, she's way too old for Moore.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Taken partially after Moore went back into public. Could support the idea that his supposed rebound was due to him being out of sight.

Dare we speculate on what he was doing while out of sight?

Black Friday shopping at the mall probably.

"Black Friday shopping" takes on a whole new meaning when discussing Roy Moore. Was he looking for America's Sweetheart?

Nah, she's way too old for Moore.

Yet you ridiculed me for immediately mentally linking Roy Moore to a thread about ten year olds when I couldn't see the whole title.

I find it in poor taste that you posted that comment, not that you made that link before seeing the full title of the thread.

[Sumner 1868]

To put this in perspective, Don Siegelman won 51% of white women and 46% of white men in 1998.

[Bidenworth2020]

@Tender Branson: My point was more that Democrats outperformed their polling average by a lot in that election, and it could easily happen again this year (just like in VA). McCaskill also outspent Akin by a lot IIRC, and she wasn't considered a "good fit" for her state either, which didn't stop her from winning in a landslide.

Yes, AL is more Republican than MO, but you never know who will turn out in a special election.

You can't keep using this 'special election' argument when a race is this nationalized. GA-06 had higher turnout than 2016. Anyway, Moore wins by 2

[MT Treasurer]

You can't keep using this 'special election' argument when a race is this nationalized. GA-06 had higher turnout than 2016.

It may be "nationalized", but in this case that doesn't tell us anything about who will show up to vote or how many Republican-leaning voters will defect. Handel wasn't accused of being a pedophile, we're dealing with completely different circumstances here.

[Shadows]

Shame on all those White Evangelical Protestants....

Guess this will be a game of turnouts. Who can get their base to turn out in record numbers ?

[ilikeverin]

imo, the most interesting part of this poll is that people are much more likely to trust Doug Jones than Roy Moore (58-30) on LGBT issues.  That's... remarkable, to be honest.  Given poll numbers at the top of the poll, it suggests that a Democrat could use LGBT issues to draw voters to support him.  In Alabama.  Let that sink in.

[Hydera]

imo, the most interesting part of this poll is that people are much more likely to trust Doug Jones than Roy Moore (58-30) on LGBT issues.  That's... remarkable, to be honest.  Given poll numbers at the top of the poll, it suggests that a Democrat could use LGBT issues to draw voters to support him.  In Alabama.  Let that sink in.

Not to be a downer but it could also indicate roy moore supporters saying they associate Doug Jones with the LGBT community and would vote against him because of it.

[IceSpear]

imo, the most interesting part of this poll is that people are much more likely to trust Doug Jones than Roy Moore (58-30) on LGBT issues.  That's... remarkable, to be honest.  Given poll numbers at the top of the poll, it suggests that a Democrat could use LGBT issues to draw voters to support him.  In Alabama.  Let that sink in.

I don't think that's the right interpretation. The poll also shows a big margin against gay marriage. Most likely is that a chunk of Roy Moore supporters are intellectually honest enough to say the obvious that Jones would be better for LGBT rights, even if they themselves oppose those rights. Which is odd since they're not intellectually honest enough to admit they're supporting a pedophile out of pure tribal partisanship, hatred, and racism.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

imo, the most interesting part of this poll is that people are much more likely to trust Doug Jones than Roy Moore (58-30) on LGBT issues.  That's... remarkable, to be honest.  Given poll numbers at the top of the poll, it suggests that a Democrat could use LGBT issues to draw voters to support him.  In Alabama.  Let that sink in.

Not to be a downer but it could also indicate roy moore supporters saying they associate Doug Jones with the LGBT community and would vote against him because of it.

That doesn't make any sense. The question was "Who do you trust more on LGBT issues".