Gravis: Jones +4
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  Gravis: Jones +4
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Author Topic: Gravis: Jones +4  (Read 2731 times)
Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: December 05, 2017, 05:25:41 PM »


But isn't Jones the Democratic candidate?
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #26 on: December 05, 2017, 05:37:50 PM »

In the crosstabs, it suggests that there are virtually no 18-29s who voted for a Republican other than Moore in the sample.  Are these voters just staying home entirely (with some Moore primary voters as well)?
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #27 on: December 05, 2017, 05:41:42 PM »

Not getting my hopes up.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #28 on: December 05, 2017, 05:49:12 PM »

In the crosstabs, it suggests that there are virtually no 18-29s who voted for a Republican other than Moore in the sample.  Are these voters just staying home entirely (with some Moore primary voters as well)?

Can you post the crosstabs? I can't click the link in the page.
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Harlow
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« Reply #29 on: December 05, 2017, 05:54:49 PM »

A larger sample size than most other polls that have come out in the last few weeks. Hopefully that means it's more accurate.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #30 on: December 05, 2017, 08:39:30 PM »

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IceSpear
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« Reply #31 on: December 05, 2017, 08:40:23 PM »

When Doug wins, I will accept your accolades.

Like 95% of this forum thought he was going to win a week or two ago, lol.
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Pericles
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« Reply #32 on: December 05, 2017, 10:41:21 PM »

When Doug wins, I will accept your accolades.

Like 95% of this forum thought he was going to win a week or two ago, lol.

No it's just that your position that this race is Safe R became divorced from reality.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #33 on: December 06, 2017, 03:13:49 AM »

Jim Webb 12% and Lincoln Chafee 8%, right?
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #34 on: December 06, 2017, 02:51:08 PM »
« Edited: December 06, 2017, 02:52:56 PM by Zyzz »

I have Doug winning by 3 as my final prediction. I predicted that Northam would win by 10 while concern trolls were spewing their crap. The insane intensity gap between Republicans and Democrats is also something we have not seen in a long time. The national strong disapprove has a over 2 to 1 advantage over strong approve. Liberals are willing to walk through shards of glass to give Trump a slap in the face.
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King Lear
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« Reply #35 on: December 06, 2017, 03:35:17 PM »

Roy Moore is going to win by 10 points, Alabama loves bigots (ie. George Wallace, Jeff sessions) and the only democrat which would have a shot is a joe manchin type which jones unfortunately is not.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #36 on: December 06, 2017, 07:18:29 PM »

Remember people talked about a shy Akin effect and that people would go the polls and vote for Akin, but wouldn't admit it to polling firms. This turned out to be the exact opposite of what happened.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #37 on: December 06, 2017, 08:01:55 PM »

Remember people talked about a shy Akin effect and that people would go the polls and vote for Akin, but wouldn't admit it to polling firms. This turned out to be the exact opposite of what happened.

Turned out true with Matt Bevin, Joni Ernst, Greg Gianforte [both times, Bullock just happened to be more focused than Quist], and Karen Handel.
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #38 on: December 06, 2017, 08:15:06 PM »

Remember people talked about a shy Akin effect and that people would go the polls and vote for Akin, but wouldn't admit it to polling firms. This turned out to be the exact opposite of what happened.

Turned out true with Matt Bevin, Joni Ernst, Greg Gianforte [both times, Bullock just happened to be more focused than Quist], and Karen Handel.

Bevin, Ernst, and Handel were idiots and/or insane, not plagued by scandals. As for Gianforte, this has already been said to death: he had already been elected by the time he went berserk.
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