Post Random US Election County Maps Here
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  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random US Election County Maps Here
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Author Topic: Post Random US Election County Maps Here  (Read 62707 times)
Calthrina950
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« Reply #200 on: January 10, 2018, 09:22:19 AM »


What would the electoral map look like here?
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #201 on: January 10, 2018, 10:43:03 AM »


This looks like OTL but with Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and probably Florida flipped for Her.

(Also, as per the map, Oregon seems to be messed up. Why would Marion flip before Clackamas?)
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #202 on: January 10, 2018, 11:10:10 AM »


This looks like OTL but with Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and probably Florida flipped for Her.

(Also, as per the map, Oregon seems to be messed up. Why would Marion flip before Clackamas?)

Probably colored the wrong county.

And Klobuchar would win Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan comfortably but not like Obama did, while she would win Iowa and PA by a hair, while Trump wins Ohio, NC, and Georgia by a hair. Arizona is closer due to heinrich but still gop. Klobuchar wins Florida.
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Kamala
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« Reply #203 on: January 10, 2018, 11:14:47 AM »

Not sure why Clay County (SD) wouldn’t vote for Klobuchar. It’s a university county and probably the most liberal place in the state.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #204 on: January 10, 2018, 11:19:00 AM »

Not sure why Clay County (SD) wouldn’t vote for Klobuchar. It’s a university county and probably the most liberal place in the state.

Thanks, noted. Is there any way it could go Republican, for instance, due to low turnout? Is it a majority white school?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #205 on: January 10, 2018, 02:49:21 PM »

Wait a sec, Tarrant County flips before Maricopa? Texas must have been really close.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #206 on: January 10, 2018, 02:53:50 PM »

Wait a sec, Tarrant County flips before Maricopa? Texas must have been really close.
Yeah, this map has some problems. Texas appears to be within low single digits despite the fact that Klobuchar is winning a narrow victory nationally.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #207 on: January 10, 2018, 03:43:14 PM »
« Edited: January 10, 2018, 03:50:44 PM by cookiedamage »

Wait a sec, Tarrant County flips before Maricopa? Texas must have been really close.
Yeah, this map has some problems. Texas appears to be within low single digits despite the fact that Klobuchar is winning a narrow victory nationally.

Why's that an issue? Both Tarrant County and Maricopa County were both won by similar margins, maybe something like 51-49 for both Klobuchar and Trump.

EDIT: Looks like Maricopa was closer than Tarrant, so I've edited my map and now have Tarrant AND Maricopa voting Dem by narrow margins.

How much would a Dem need to win Maricopa in order to flip AZ?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #208 on: January 10, 2018, 04:43:25 PM »

Wait a sec, Tarrant County flips before Maricopa? Texas must have been really close.
Yeah, this map has some problems. Texas appears to be within low single digits despite the fact that Klobuchar is winning a narrow victory nationally.

Why's that an issue? Both Tarrant County and Maricopa County were both won by similar margins, maybe something like 51-49 for both Klobuchar and Trump.

EDIT: Looks like Maricopa was closer than Tarrant, so I've edited my map and now have Tarrant AND Maricopa voting Dem by narrow margins.

How much would a Dem need to win Maricopa in order to flip AZ?
By two percent or so. Less if Yuma County flips, too.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #209 on: January 10, 2018, 05:07:01 PM »

Wait a sec, Tarrant County flips before Maricopa? Texas must have been really close.
Yeah, this map has some problems. Texas appears to be within low single digits despite the fact that Klobuchar is winning a narrow victory nationally.

Why's that an issue? Both Tarrant County and Maricopa County were both won by similar margins, maybe something like 51-49 for both Klobuchar and Trump.

EDIT: Looks like Maricopa was closer than Tarrant, so I've edited my map and now have Tarrant AND Maricopa voting Dem by narrow margins.

How much would a Dem need to win Maricopa in order to flip AZ?
By two percent or so. Less if Yuma County flips, too.

Well in that case I'll have her flip AZ.
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bagelman
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« Reply #210 on: January 10, 2018, 07:03:35 PM »
« Edited: January 10, 2018, 07:05:33 PM by bagelman »

You also have Summit OH voting for Trump against a midwesterner. Summit County is safe D as long as Ohio is <55% R. Safe D. Not Lean D. Not Likely D. Safe D. And I highly doubt that Wood County voting Democratic counts as <55% R.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #211 on: January 10, 2018, 07:11:00 PM »

You also have Summit OH voting for Trump against a midwesterner. Summit County is safe D as long as Ohio is <55% R. Safe D. Not Lean D. Not Likely D. Safe D. And I highly doubt that Wood County voting Democratic counts as <55% R.

Thanks, fixed.
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #212 on: January 15, 2018, 11:15:51 AM »



This isn't my most realistic map, but to be fair, the word random is in the title of this thread. I used a bunch of different elections to create this mainly those based around 1980 and 1988ish.


Here are the results


MS: 46.92% R/ 50.59% D
AL: 50.42% R/ 47.09% D
FL: 58.09% R/ 41.07% D
GA: 50.98% R/ 49.02% D
SC: 49.57% R/ 48.04% D
NC: 49.30% R/ 47.18% D
TN: 51.20% R/ 45.91% D
LA: 48.20% R/ 48.75% D
AR: 45.13% R/ 50.52% D
MO: 51.16% R/ 44.35% D
NY: 51.91% R/ 45.74% D
NJ: 60.09% R/ 39.20% D
KY: 49.07% R/ 47.61% D
IL: 56.54% R/ 42.60% D
IN: 61.67% R/ 37.68% D
OH: 56.39% R/ 43.61% D
TX: 56.28% R/ 40.42% D
OK: 60.50% R/ 34.97% D
KS: 66.27% R/ 32.60% D
NM: 59.70% R/ 39.23% D
CO: 65.94% R/ 32.62% D
PA: 55.09% R/ 42.98% D
WV: 49.11% R/ 50.60% D
CT: 60.73% R/ 38.83% D
RI: 50.16% R/ 49.52% D
MA: 51.22% R/ 48.43% D
VT: 60.42% R/ 38.31% D
NH: 68.66% R/ 30.95% D
VA: 59.79% R/ 39.59% D
DC: 18.05% R/ 79.53% D
MD: 55.01% R/ 44.52% D
DE: 59.78% R/ 39.93% D
ME: 60.83% R/ 38.78% D
AZ: 66.11% R/ 30.74% D
IA: 57.81% R/ 40.10% D
MI: 60.23% R/ 39.24% D
WI: 57.19% R/ 42.02% D
MN: 52.54% R/ 46.72% D
NE: 70.55% R/ 28.81%D
SD: 63.00% R/ 36.53% D
ND: 64.23% R/ 34.10% D
WY: 70.51% R/ 28.24% D
UT: 73.50% R/ 25.68% D
NV: 65.85% R/ 31.97% D
MT: 63.47% R/ 35.18% D
AK: 66.65% R/ 29.87% D
CA: 60.01% R/ 38.77% D
HI: 52.60% R/ 46.32% D
ID: 72.36% R/ 26.39% D
OR: 57.84% R/ 38.67% D
WA: 60.28% R/ 37.32% D
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #213 on: January 15, 2018, 01:11:50 PM »

There are literally thousands of counties that people have to get right to make these maps. Realistically, there are going to be a few mistakes
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TexArkana
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« Reply #214 on: January 18, 2018, 02:00:58 PM »



This isn't my most realistic map, but to be fair, the word random is in the title of this thread. I used a bunch of different elections to create this mainly those based around 1980 and 1988ish.


Here are the results


MS: 46.92% R/ 50.59% D
AL: 50.42% R/ 47.09% D
FL: 58.09% R/ 41.07% D
GA: 50.98% R/ 49.02% D
SC: 49.57% R/ 48.04% D
NC: 49.30% R/ 47.18% D
TN: 51.20% R/ 45.91% D
LA: 48.20% R/ 48.75% D
AR: 45.13% R/ 50.52% D
MO: 51.16% R/ 44.35% D
NY: 51.91% R/ 45.74% D
NJ: 60.09% R/ 39.20% D
KY: 49.07% R/ 47.61% D
IL: 56.54% R/ 42.60% D
IN: 61.67% R/ 37.68% D
OH: 56.39% R/ 43.61% D
TX: 56.28% R/ 40.42% D
OK: 60.50% R/ 34.97% D
KS: 66.27% R/ 32.60% D
NM: 59.70% R/ 39.23% D
CO: 65.94% R/ 32.62% D
PA: 55.09% R/ 42.98% D
WV: 49.11% R/ 50.60% D
CT: 60.73% R/ 38.83% D
RI: 50.16% R/ 49.52% D
MA: 51.22% R/ 48.43% D
VT: 60.42% R/ 38.31% D
NH: 68.66% R/ 30.95% D
VA: 59.79% R/ 39.59% D
DC: 18.05% R/ 79.53% D
MD: 55.01% R/ 44.52% D
DE: 59.78% R/ 39.93% D
ME: 60.83% R/ 38.78% D
AZ: 66.11% R/ 30.74% D
IA: 57.81% R/ 40.10% D
MI: 60.23% R/ 39.24% D
WI: 57.19% R/ 42.02% D
MN: 52.54% R/ 46.72% D
NE: 70.55% R/ 28.81%D
SD: 63.00% R/ 36.53% D
ND: 64.23% R/ 34.10% D
WY: 70.51% R/ 28.24% D
UT: 73.50% R/ 25.68% D
NV: 65.85% R/ 31.97% D
MT: 63.47% R/ 35.18% D
AK: 66.65% R/ 29.87% D
CA: 60.01% R/ 38.77% D
HI: 52.60% R/ 46.32% D
ID: 72.36% R/ 26.39% D
OR: 57.84% R/ 38.67% D
WA: 60.28% R/ 37.32% D
Maybe 1988 if Bill Clinton was the Democratic nominee and ran a bad campaign?
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TexArkana
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« Reply #215 on: January 18, 2018, 02:04:10 PM »

Here's what a 10% swing to Jimmy Carter in 1976 looks like:




The closest  states are New Hampshire, Vermont, and Colorado. All of which very narrowly go for Ford.
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #216 on: January 18, 2018, 03:03:25 PM »
« Edited: January 18, 2018, 10:26:11 PM by The Govanah Jake »

Here's what a 10% swing to Jimmy Carter in 1976 looks like:




The closest  states are New Hampshire, Vermont, and Colorado. All of which very narrowly go for Ford.

Goes to show how unpopularized the times were compared to the present day.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #217 on: January 18, 2018, 03:58:26 PM »



guess
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TexArkana
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« Reply #218 on: January 18, 2018, 07:29:01 PM »

Here's what a 10% swing to Jimmy Carter in 1976 looks like:




The closest  states are New Hampshire, Vermont, and Colorado. All of which very narrowly go for Ford.

Goes to show how unpopularized the times were compared to the president day.
The main reason I think it's interesting is because it looks quite similar to an election from the 30's or 40's - the Democrat sweeps the South and most rural areas while the Republican runs comparatively strong out west and in New England.
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bagelman
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« Reply #219 on: January 18, 2018, 10:26:25 PM »



Not supposed to be a realistic election result. Take a guess what I did here.

Hint: the answer is in the filename.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #220 on: January 18, 2018, 10:30:34 PM »

I could tell before I looked at the file name, and you inverted the margin of victory for every state from the 2016 election.
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #221 on: January 18, 2018, 10:32:56 PM »

Here's what a 10% swing to Jimmy Carter in 1976 looks like:




The closest  states are New Hampshire, Vermont, and Colorado. All of which very narrowly go for Ford.

Goes to show how unpopularized the times were compared to the president day.
The main reason I think it's interesting is because it looks quite similar to an election from the 30's or 40's - the Democrat sweeps the South and most rural areas while the Republican runs comparatively strong out west and in New England.

Yep. This could easily be mistaken for a map of 1936 under some scenerio where Landon/Republican nominee does better in the west and plains states while doing worse in the West. Perhaps Landon selects a westerner or a ardent Old Conservative, like Vandenberg of Taft. Or perhaps 1940-1948 with a lessened swing of the Great Plains and Midwest towards the GOP.
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The Govanah Jake
Jake Jewvinivisk
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« Reply #222 on: January 18, 2018, 10:34:19 PM »


Comrade Sanders unites the disenfranchised Iowan proletariat under red?
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Solid4096
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« Reply #223 on: January 18, 2018, 10:36:09 PM »


It is actually based off of a real election, and not arbitrary at all.
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The Govanah Jake
Jake Jewvinivisk
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« Reply #224 on: January 18, 2018, 10:36:58 PM »


It is actually based off of a real election, and not arbitrary at all.

Post 2004 I assume. Looks like 2008.
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