Post Random US Election County Maps Here

[Calthrina950]

Take a guess.

Literally the actual 2016 map.

Nope.

There are differences.

Not many, but still some.

The only difference I see is Clinton picking up Grand County, Utah.

There is more.

A total of 14 differences, and there is a level of logic to which 14 counties were flipped.

I can see that you flipped Pueblo County, Colorado, and Beaumont County, Texas.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

There is more.

A total of 14 differences, and there is a level of logic to which 14 counties were flipped.

Teton, ID
Winnebago, IL
Lorain, OH
Grand, UT
Hillsborough, NH
Kent, RI
Kendall, IL
Gloucester, NJ
Nash, NC
Martin, NC
Pike, MS
Jefferson, IA
Pueblo, CO
Jefferson, TX

All of them were extremely close (1%-ish, I think?)

Mostly correct.

Lorain and Winnebago and Pike Counties actually voted for Clinton irl.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Since no one got it, that map was a 0.00375 net swing of the 2-party national vote away from Trump and to Clinton. Barely not enough for Clinton to actually win the election. Flips 2 Congressional Districts as well: PA-08, and IL-17 (which in this case only gives her a single digit raw vote margin in the latter District). The state of Michigan flips, and Clinton loses Wisconsin and Pennsylvania by a combined total of under 2000 votes. The counties that no one caught:

Panola, Mississippi
Sauk, Wisconsin
Kenosha, Wisconsin

[Metalhead123]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

[_]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Can you do a 5% swing to Perot please?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Doesn't Wyoming still go R here by a very narrow margin?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Can you do a 5% swing to Perot please?

I noticed he has Perot flipping a few counties he didn't win IRL here, so I guess Perot and Clinton both take away from Bush in this map.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Can you do a 5% swing to Perot please?

I noticed he has Perot flipping a few counties he didn't win IRL here, so I guess Perot and Clinton both take away from Bush in this map.

But this map also has Clinton winning a few Counties that Perot won irl.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Can you do a 5% swing to Perot please?

I noticed he has Perot flipping a few counties he didn't win IRL here, so I guess Perot and Clinton both take away from Bush in this map.

But this map also has Clinton winning a few Counties that Perot won irl.

That's a bit odd...

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Can you do a 5% swing to Perot please?

I noticed he has Perot flipping a few counties he didn't win IRL here, so I guess Perot and Clinton both take away from Bush in this map.

But this map also has Clinton winning a few Counties that Perot won irl.

That's a bit odd...

No it is not.

Look at these hypothetical county results.

County 1:
Candidate A: 36%
Candidate B: 29%
Candidate C: 35%

lets say we do a 5% swing from A to B:

Candidate A: 31%
Candidate B: 34%
Candidate C: 35%

C now wins, even though their vote is unchanged.

County 2:
Candidate A: 34%
Candidate B: 31%
Candidate C: 35%

lets say we do a 5% swing from A to B:

Candidate A: 29%
Candidate B: 36%
Candidate C: 35%

C now loses, even though their vote is unchanged.

[Metalhead123]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Doesn't Wyoming still go R here by a very narrow margin?

yes as does Kansas

[Metalhead123]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Can you do a 5% swing to Perot please?

I noticed he has Perot flipping a few counties he didn't win IRL here, so I guess Perot and Clinton both take away from Bush in this map.

But this map also has Clinton winrning a few Counties that Perot won irl.

That's a bit odd...

No it is not.

Look at these hypothetical county results.

County 1:
Candidate A: 36%
Candidate B: 29%
Candidate C: 35%

lets say we do a 5% swing from A to B:

Candidate A: 31%
Candidate B: 34%
Candidate C: 35%

C now wins, even though their vote is unchanged.

County 2:
Candidate A: 34%
Candidate B: 31%
Candidate C: 35%

lets say we do a 5% swing from A to B:

Candidate A: 29%
Candidate B: 36%
Candidate C: 35%

C now loses, even though their vote is unchanged.

u got it. Perots numbers were unchanged in this map

[Calthrina950]

Heres a 5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

Which states does Clinton gain?

[nerd73]

Which states does Clinton gain?

If I'm correct:

Arizona
South Dakota
Texas
Florida
North Carolina
Virginia

[Metalhead123]

Which states does Clinton gain?

If I'm correct:

Arizona
South Dakota
Texas
Florida
North Carolina
Virginia

sounds about right.

[_]

Alternate 2010 Races (Part 1)
Washington Senate Race 

Dino Rossi (R):  51.97%
Patty Murray (D-inc):  48.03%


Nevada Senate Race

Sue Lowden (R):  50.41%
Harry Reid (D-inc):  46.34%
Other:  3.25%

Colorado Senate Race

Jane Norton (R):  51.62%
Michael Bennet (D-inc):  44.42%
Bob Kinsey:  2.72%
Other:  1.24%

Delaware Senate Race

Michael Castle (R):  59.52%
Chris Coons:  38.61%
Other:  1.87%

[Metalhead123]

5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1996.

[Skill and Chance]

5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1996.

Looks like an imaginary Jimmy Carter landslide.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1996.

Looks like an imaginary Jimmy Carter landslide.

It doesn't. it looks more like if Zell Miller had been the nominee instead of Bubba.

[CookieDamage]

How do you guys calculate posts like 5% swing to Nixon, 10% swing to Hillary? Plus, more importantly, how do y'all put that into map form/how do you know what counties to flip? Thanks, since I'd like to make some of these types of maps on my own.

[CookieDamage]

~ Posted in Wrong Area uwu ~

[Metalhead123]

How do you guys calculate posts like 5% swing to Nixon, 10% swing to Hillary? Plus, more importantly, how do y'all put that into map form/how do you know what counties to flip? Thanks, since I'd like to make some of these types of maps on my own.

just divide the percentage by two, add half of it to one candidate and talk half from another. For example, let’s say you want to do a 5% swing to Walter Mondale. What you would do is add 2.5% to Mondale and take 2.5% from Reagan.

[Calthrina950]

5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1996.

Which states does Clinton gain here?

[CookieDamage]

How do you guys calculate posts like 5% swing to Nixon, 10% swing to Hillary? Plus, more importantly, how do y'all put that into map form/how do you know what counties to flip? Thanks, since I'd like to make some of these types of maps on my own.

just divide the percentage by two, add half of it to one candidate and talk half from another. For example, let’s say you want to do a 5% swing to Walter Mondale. What you would do is add 2.5% to Mondale and take 2.5% from Reagan.

Thanks! Do you guesstimate which counties go to whom? Or do you do it by state and use past elections as references? So if I did a ~% swing to Hillary and it made her win Pennsylvania, I'll just flip the most likely counties that would have enabled a win?

[Metalhead123]

How do you guys calculate posts like 5% swing to Nixon, 10% swing to Hillary? Plus, more importantly, how do y'all put that into map form/how do you know what counties to flip? Thanks, since I'd like to make some of these types of maps on my own.

just divide the percentage by two, add half of it to one candidate and talk half from another. For example, let’s say you want to do a 5% swing to Walter Mondale. What you would do is add 2.5% to Mondale and take 2.5% from Reagan.

Thanks! Do you guesstimate which counties go to whom? Or do you do it by state and use past elections as references? So if I did a ~% swing to Hillary and it made her win Pennsylvania, I'll just flip the most likely counties that would have enabled a win?

I do it by state using previous elections. You would flip whatever country margins fall into the amount ur swinging to