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October 16, 2018, 09:45:58 pm
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| | |-+  What in your opinion, is the most amazingly close county result?
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Author Topic: What in your opinion, is the most amazingly close county result?  (Read 1250 times)
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« on: December 07, 2017, 10:13:41 pm »

I would say New Castle County in 1980.  Not only was Reagan winning by just a single vote in this not very small county unusual, but it also was the vote that determined whether the County would continue its bellwether streak which had at that point, been ongoing since 1936.  The bellwether streak there would finally end in 2000 when Gore won the County.
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« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2017, 02:45:00 pm »

pretty insane vigo has been so close to the PV till 201
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« Reply #2 on: December 09, 2017, 09:04:56 pm »

This last year, probably the closeness of  Yuma Co., Arizona.

Overall: San Francisco going for Al Smith, despite Hoover being a Bay Area namesake and thus taking the other 9 counties comfortably. The other remaining Smith counties were Dixie North counties.
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« Reply #3 on: December 14, 2017, 03:32:27 pm »

This last year, probably the closeness of  Yuma Co., Arizona.

Overall: San Francisco going for Al Smith, despite Hoover being a Bay Area namesake and thus taking the other 9 counties comfortably. The other remaining Smith counties were Dixie North counties.
Esmeralda County, NV, which voted for Bush over Perot in 1992 by a single vote.
Also Lapeer County, MI, which Bush carried in 1992 with just 35% of the vote.
Marquette County, MI (in the UP) went Ford '76 - Carter '80 - Reagan '84 -- each time by less than 1 percentage point.
« Last Edit: December 16, 2017, 08:27:16 pm by mathstatman »Logged

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« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2018, 06:44:03 pm »

Kenedy County voting for Romney by a 2-vote margin.

Also, this doesn't count, but a single vote in that VA House district that literally decided the partisan control for the entire VA House is pretty amazing.
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« Reply #5 on: April 24, 2018, 10:24:24 am »

Also, this doesn't count, but a single vote in that VA House district that literally decided the partisan control for the entire VA House is pretty amazing.

Which race and which party?
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« Reply #6 on: April 24, 2018, 12:43:16 pm »

Apparently, Al Gore won Clay County, Missouri in 2000 by a single vote. This is actually a high population County.
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« Reply #7 on: April 24, 2018, 12:46:07 pm »

Pike County, OH in 2012. Romney won it by a single vote, and that was actually close than it was in 2008.
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« Reply #8 on: July 11, 2018, 08:52:08 am »

In 1976, Arenac County, MI voted for Carter over Ford by 8 votes out of 5423 votes cast.
In 2004, Arenac County, MI voted for Kerry over Bush by 5 votes out of 8216 votes cast.
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« Reply #9 on: August 18, 2018, 10:36:41 am »

In 2004, Bush won Pinellas County, FL by 226 votes out of 455,357 votes cast.
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« Reply #10 on: August 18, 2018, 03:38:59 pm »

Pike County, OH in 2012. Romney won it by a single vote, and that was actually close than it was in 2008.
It also then swung ridiculously towards Trump in 2016. Surprisingly, Eastern Ohio was very close in 2012 only for Trump to surge there in 2016.
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« Reply #11 on: August 18, 2018, 04:03:06 pm »

Harris County (TX) 2012, New Castle County (DE) 1980
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« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2018, 11:17:30 pm »

Not even close to the most shocking, but noticed Lancaster County, NE was awfully close on election day 16

Decided by 310 votes, but with 136,223 votes cast. Not awful in the way of closeness.

After looking it up, here are some pretty small 2016 margins:
Panola, MS: 18 votes (0.12%)
Nash, NC: 84 votes (0.18%)
Pike, MS: 34 votes (0.21%)
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« Reply #13 on: August 19, 2018, 03:17:19 pm »

Not even close to the most shocking, but noticed Lancaster County, NE was awfully close on election day 16

Decided by 310 votes, but with 136,223 votes cast. Not awful in the way of closeness.

After looking it up, here are some pretty small 2016 margins:
Panola, MS: 18 votes (0.12%)
Nash, NC: 84 votes (0.18%)
Pike, MS: 34 votes (0.21%)


Lancaster County, NE was about as close in 2012 too.
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« Reply #14 on: August 27, 2018, 05:07:13 pm »

In Winston County, AL, in 1932 FDR beat Hoover by 1 vote. It was one of only 2 times going back to 1904 that Winston went Dem, the other time being 1976.
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