AL-Survey Monkey Nov 30-Dec 8 Jones +8

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Doug Jones 53%
Roy Moore 45%
Undecided 3%

Link: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1wOAKbA0tgvpfaL1ogWau5vPrIx5ZtCiR/view

[kph14]

Or is it Jones +2? It depends on the weighting.

[Matty]

Slightly misleading title

It's anywhere from Jones +8 or Moore +9

[The Other Castro]

Among some possible top-line numbers, depending on what you choose, it's interesting to note the relationship between Trump approval and Jones/Moore lead:

Trump approval 48-52 (-4); Jones +9 (54-45)

Trump approval 49-51 (-2); Jones +8 (53-45)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Jones +2 (49-47)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Tie (49-49)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Moore +1 (49-48)

Trump approval 57-42 (+15); Moore +4 (50-46)

Trump approval 59-40 (+19); Moore +10 (53-43)

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

The last two are most likely since Trump's approval ain't going below 55% in AL.

[The Other Castro]

The approval ranges do seem to line up pretty well with Jones/Moore leads, based on what we've seen from other pollsters. For example, WashPost showed Jones +3/Trump +5, Gravis showed Jones +4/Trump +7, YouGov showed Moore +6/Trump +15.

[IceSpear]

Among some possible top-line numbers, depending on what you choose, it's interesting to note the relationship between Trump approval and Jones/Moore lead:

Trump approval 48-52 (-4); Jones +9 (54-45)

Trump approval 49-51 (-2); Jones +8 (53-45)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Jones +2 (49-47)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Tie (49-49)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Moore +1 (49-48)

Trump approval 57-42 (+15); Moore +4 (50-46)

Trump approval 59-40 (+19); Moore +10 (53-43)

LOL, what is this absolute junk? Good to see SurveyMonkey covered their asses so well they can claim to be correct regardless of the result.

Hey guys, I predict the result will be somewhere between Moore +100 and Jones +100!

[Holmes]

Among some possible top-line numbers, depending on what you choose, it's interesting to note the relationship between Trump approval and Jones/Moore lead:

Trump approval 48-52 (-4); Jones +9 (54-45)

Trump approval 49-51 (-2); Jones +8 (53-45)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Jones +2 (49-47)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Tie (49-49)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Moore +1 (49-48)

Trump approval 57-42 (+15); Moore +4 (50-46)

Trump approval 59-40 (+19); Moore +10 (53-43)

LOL, what is this absolute junk? Good to see SurveyMonkey covered their asses so well they can claim to be correct regardless of the result.

Hey guys, I predict the result will be somewhere between Moore +100 and Jones +100!

Don't know why you're so pressed. They're rolling with Jones +8 and they'll be judged on that. If you love polls and numbers so much, you should appreciate that they're showing how different weighing changes their raw data.

[IceSpear]

Among some possible top-line numbers, depending on what you choose, it's interesting to note the relationship between Trump approval and Jones/Moore lead:

Trump approval 48-52 (-4); Jones +9 (54-45)

Trump approval 49-51 (-2); Jones +8 (53-45)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Jones +2 (49-47)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Tie (49-49)

Trump approval 53-46 (+7); Moore +1 (49-48)

Trump approval 57-42 (+15); Moore +4 (50-46)

Trump approval 59-40 (+19); Moore +10 (53-43)

LOL, what is this absolute junk? Good to see SurveyMonkey covered their asses so well they can claim to be correct regardless of the result.

Hey guys, I predict the result will be somewhere between Moore +100 and Jones +100!

Don't know why you're so pressed. They're rolling with Jones +8 and they'll be judged on that. If you love polls and numbers so much, you should appreciate that they're showing how different weighing changes their raw data.

It seems like common sense to me that the higher Trump's approval is among the electorate the better Moore will do, and vice versa. It's the pollster's job to weigh for that accurately. There's no way in hell Trump's approval is going to be in the negative in ALABAMA, so they're in for an embarrassment.