Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread
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  Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Roy Moore (R)		  
#2
Doug Jones (D)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 189

Author Topic: Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread  (Read 125939 times)
BlueDogDemocrat
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« Reply #1200 on: December 12, 2017, 08:07:24 PM »
There are a few results in on the New York Times website
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #1201 on: December 12, 2017, 08:07:27 PM »
I'm thinking Moore by 1.5%.

Hoping my record of predicting the wrong candidate to win in competitive races still exists.
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Pyro
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« Reply #1202 on: December 12, 2017, 08:07:48 PM »
Everyone hold your breath!

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OneJ
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« Reply #1203 on: December 12, 2017, 08:08:18 PM »
Doug Jones
Dem.
157
74.1%


Roy Moore
Rep.
53
25.0


Total Write-Ins
—
2
0.9

(from NYT)
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #1204 on: December 12, 2017, 08:08:56 PM »
Quote from: Karpatsky on December 12, 2017, 08:03:47 PM
Quote from: Chris Murphy 2020 on December 12, 2017, 08:02:31 PM
Who are the 2% of Democrats that voted for Moore?

30% AA turnout!

Is that high or low? It seems low.
High, if the overall turnout is 25%.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1205 on: December 12, 2017, 08:09:01 PM »
30% AA turnout.  Hopefully this means AAs are 30% of the voters...
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #1206 on: December 12, 2017, 08:10:13 PM »
Butler in. No change. TCTC.
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BlueDogDemocrat
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« Reply #1207 on: December 12, 2017, 08:10:39 PM »
The needle now is saying it is dead even.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #1208 on: December 12, 2017, 08:11:39 PM »
Moore +22 Whites w/ Degree.... Romney was +59

Moore +58 Whites w/ no Degree.... Romney was +75
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1209 on: December 12, 2017, 08:11:45 PM »
Butler county initial result come in. Total now 321 - 103  - 5 Jones.
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Horus
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« Reply #1210 on: December 12, 2017, 08:12:20 PM »
Those 18-24 numbers have to be worrisome for Dems. Also, 8% of those who believe the accusations still voted for Moore.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1211 on: December 12, 2017, 08:13:49 PM »
Initial results from Covington and Coffee in the Wiregrass come in. Now 421 - 327 Dem.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1212 on: December 12, 2017, 08:14:09 PM »
Doug by 2%. Sticking by it.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #1213 on: December 12, 2017, 08:14:40 PM »
Coffee and Covington start coming in. Still TCTC.
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« Reply #1214 on: December 12, 2017, 08:16:21 PM »
Quote from: Horus on December 12, 2017, 08:12:20 PM
Those 18-24 numbers have to be worrisome for Dems. Also, 8% of those who believe the accusations still voted for Moore.

Romney (and presumably Trump) won the 18-24 vote in Alabama.  That swing isn't much bigger than the statewide swing, though (actually maybe a point or two smaller).
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1215 on: December 12, 2017, 08:17:08 PM »
Moore is going to be bailed out by politcal tribalism
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mds32
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« Reply #1216 on: December 12, 2017, 08:18:03 PM »
We need to watch the State Senate special election too. It was a Democratic Primary in a black-majority district. Aka higher turnout there.

Also Moore is only winning Covington 64-34 while Trump won there 83-14.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1217 on: December 12, 2017, 08:18:52 PM »
Lamar, Fayette, and Clay county comes in with the early vote for Moore. now 482 - 458 - 7 Jones.

355 - 20 Jones in Bullock early on CNN, not on NYT.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #1218 on: December 12, 2017, 08:19:07 PM »
Lamar in. Roy gains a bit, but still TCTC. No change.

Fayette and Clay in.

Still TCTC
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TexArkana
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« Reply #1219 on: December 12, 2017, 08:19:34 PM »
I might be wrong, but I'm not feeling so great about Jones's chances right now.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #1220 on: December 12, 2017, 08:20:39 PM »
Big vote dump for Jones, but not enough here.
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #1221 on: December 12, 2017, 08:21:38 PM »
Watching Talladega County... it looks it usually matches the statewide total.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1222 on: December 12, 2017, 08:22:23 PM »
JONES WINNING MOBILE BIGLY

JONES WINNING DEGA
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1223 on: December 12, 2017, 08:22:29 PM »
Big - Mobile, Talladega, and Cherokee all drop early vote. Jones winning Mobile early by a lot. Jones winning Mobile and Talladega. Now 1832 - 1119 - 15 Jones.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #1224 on: December 12, 2017, 08:22:46 PM »
Jones up in Mobile!
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