Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[Pandaguineapig]

Are there any reports from rural counties?, if their turnout is anywhere close to the larger counties Jones has an impossible path, if it's lower Jones can win this

[Santander]

50% turnout is a bit unrealistic with it being a special election and a small, but significant share of regular GOP voters staying home.

[Oryxslayer]

I have read every election thread on here since 2013, and it seems like turnout reports are favorable for democrats in every single one.

City counties like to report their turnout numbers, while rurals are hard to project data from due to their lack of voters, and suburbs always tend to lag due to the majority of votes coming in post-work after the commute. So yeah, I could see why turnout reports tend to have a D-Bias. However, I remember times when they favored pubs - Wayne county in 2016 for example.

[junior chįmp]

Are there any reports from rural counties?, if their turnout is anywhere close to the larger counties Jones has an impossible path, if it's lower Jones can win this

Anecdotal stuff from Twitter says low turnouts in rural areas but it's stuff like: " I went to vote and there was like 8 people in line and they were old"

[Matty]

Are there any reports from rural counties?, if their turnout is anywhere close to the larger counties Jones has an impossible path, if it's lower Jones can win this

Zero

[junior chįmp]

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[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

We are beginning to see what happened with Virginia. Depressing turnout in GOP strongholds and impressive numbers from cities.

https://twitter.com/Fairhope_Times/status/940666980255793152

Fairhope is supposed to be a Moore stronghold

[Hindsight was 2020]

This is sounding like GA-06 were people thought the higher turnout favored Ossoff but it actually pulled Handel over the line due to sheer numbers

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

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Oooh...That's Baldwin County, a key area for Moore:

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This is sounding like GA-06 were people thought the higher turnout favored Ossoff but it actually pulled Handel over the line due to sheer numbers

I actually remember the opposite... high turnout in Handel-favored precincts.

[ursulahx]

Since the ballot records can be destroyed immediately after the election, I imagine Moore will be officially pronounced the winner, whatever the networks say.

[Kantakouzenos]

It would be helpful if statewide turnout was being measured as well.  

[GeorgiaModerate]

This is sounding like GA-06 were people thought the higher turnout favored Ossoff but it actually pulled Handel over the line due to sheer numbers

One difference is that the massive early vote in GA-06 made election day turnout reports hard to figure (or rather, even harder than they already are.)  AL doesn't have no-excuse absentee voting, so the vast majority of votes will be cast on E-Day.

[Hydera]

This is sounding like GA-06 were people thought the higher turnout favored Ossoff but it actually pulled Handel over the line due to sheer numbers

Handel didnt molest teenage girls, high turnout could mean anything in this election.

[Sestak]

please don't give me any hope yet.

[junior chįmp]

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[junior chįmp]

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[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Since the ballot records can be destroyed immediately after the election, I imagine Moore will be officially pronounced the winner, whatever the networks say.

The AL GOP needed to be exposed and prosecuted for their blatantly obvious fraud in 2002 (they didn't even try to hide it well). When you let them get away with it once, they'll do it again and again.

[Sestak]

Since the ballot records can be destroyed immediately after the election, I imagine Moore will be officially pronounced the winner, whatever the networks say.

The AL GOP needed to be exposed and prosecuted for their blatantly obvious fraud in 2002 (they didn't even try to hide it well). When you let them get away with it once, they'll do it again and again.

Didn't someone say that a court had ordered them to preserve the records?

Also, five hours until polls close.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Since the ballot records can be destroyed immediately after the election, I imagine Moore will be officially pronounced the winner, whatever the networks say.

The AL GOP needed to be exposed and prosecuted for their blatantly obvious fraud in 2002 (they didn't even try to hide it well). When you let them get away with it once, they'll do it again and again.

Didn't someone say that a court had ordered them to preserve the records?

Also, five hours until polls close.

Yes, but I saw a report that the AL Supreme Court stayed the order.  http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/364430-alabama-supreme-court-stays-order-to-preserve-voting-records-in-senate

[jman123]

How is turnout in rural areas ? Is the GOP turnout depressed?

[Kamala]

Someone needs to slap some sense into me so I don't get my hopes up.

[Suburbia]

My mind pick says Moore, it is a conservative place. Heart pick says Jones, but barely.

[Sestak]

Someone needs to slap some sense into me so I don't get my hopes up.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Since the ballot records can be destroyed immediately after the election, I imagine Moore will be officially pronounced the winner, whatever the networks say.

The AL GOP needed to be exposed and prosecuted for their blatantly obvious fraud in 2002 (they didn't even try to hide it well). When you let them get away with it once, they'll do it again and again.

Didn't someone say that a court had ordered them to preserve the records?

Also, five hours until polls close.

It was effectively overturned by a higher court. There is a certain margin where it becomes so blatantly obvious that they have to certify a Jones win, but as I said yesterday, if it's Jones by <10,000 , or maybe even a bit bigger than that, AL will fraud the vote and make it a Moore win.