Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[libertpaulian]

Initial vote dump in Jefferson County: Jones 89%, Moore 10%, Other 1%.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Jones had slid down to about .25 on PredictIt just before the polls closed, but has recovered to .42.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Jones is leading by 0.2-0.4 points according to the NYT estimated final vote needle

[Oryxslayer]

THIS IS ONLY EARLY VOTE.

With that said, Jones gets another big bomb - Tuscaloosa 1252 - 422 Jones. Crucially NYT says 2 precincts reported, not 1/preliminary. Jones also gets Tallapoosa and  early vote - a rep county.

Oh and Birmingham early vote came in - 1122 Jones -131 Moore.

Moore gets Elmore, and Bibb, marshall, Washington, and Franklin.

10712 - 7290 - 128 Jones.

BIG Talladega now at 7/27 Precincts 2707 - 1631 Jones.

Jones flips Monroe as precincts come in.

Funny - Jones wins Etowah county early vote 153 - 15.

[Strudelcutie4427]

If I lived in Alabama, my vote wouldve gone to Peter Griffin of Quahog.

Wonder when we're gonna get an election between a necrophile and a bestiality enthusiast the way our choices keep getting worse and worse

[MAINEiac4434]

3 precincts in, Monroe County flipped to Jones.

[Adam Griffin]

Remember guys, here's a spreadsheet with the NYT effective benchmarks (raw vote margins) for each county in a tied scenario, so keep an eye out on this as the night unfolds and as counties report (of course, if turnout is substantially higher or lower than NYT estimated, it'll be much less useful)

NYT Tied Race Benchmarks by County (Raw Vote Margins)

[Holmes]

Uh are those Etowah county numbers real??

[muon2]

If Talledega's numbers hold, Jones wins.

That's probably true. Talladega matched Trump's statewide totals fairly well. The turnout in the county matters, too. With a quarter in, there are 4.3K votes cast. In 2016 there were 33.4K cast, so that projects this election to have about half the turnout of 2016.

[MAINEiac4434]

Jones winning Colbert County.

Jones winning Houston County.

[IceSpear]

I just panic sold my Moore shares at a profit after Tuscaloosa and Talladega dropped. This...might actually happen. lol

[GeorgiaModerate]

A couple of tidbits from the 538 blog:

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[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Uh are those Etowah county numbers real??

He could win it just because it's Moore's home county and the people there know how awful he is.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Uh are those Etowah county numbers real??

Likely an overwhelmingly black precinct.  Precincts can very heavily in Alabama.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Jones edging into the lead on PredictIt.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Doug Jones
Democrat
21,666   54.6%   
Roy Moore
Republican
17,652   44.5   
Total Write-Ins
—
368   0.9   
3% reporting (65 of 2,220 precincts)

[Pyro]

Welp

[Wisconsin+17]

3 percent in. Jones up but way tooo TCTC.

[Oryxslayer]

Moore wins Crenshaw, and dekalb early votes. Jones ahead in Colbert w/3 of 26 precincts. Jones ahead in Hudson 4/28 precincts in the wiregrass. Questioning if this is a mistake in precincts reported and early vote, or actural returns. Jones wins Russel. Jones wins lauderdale, Lee, and Calhoun early vote.

Linestone (remember) 12/26 in 6311 - 4441 - 175 Moore. 57.8/40.6

22466 - 19008 - 417 Jones.

[muon2]

In Limestone with almost half in Moore is 14% behind Trump+Johnson. If carried statewide that puts Jones and Moore in a virtual tie.

[Jeppe]

I will happily accept my accolades if Jones wins, but it's still too early to tell right now.

[libertpaulian]

Uh are those Etowah county numbers real??

He could win it just because it's Moore's home county and the people there know how awful he is.

Yup, just like how Trump lost Manhattan bigly.

[GeorgiaModerate]

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If Jones ends up anywhere close in Houston, Moore is toast.

[Wisconsin+17]

50 - 48.8 Moore with only 4 percent in.

LOL at those calling this now.

[AtorBoltox]

If I lived in Alabama, my vote wouldve gone to Peter Griffin of Quahog.

Wonder when we're gonna get an election between a necrophile and a bestiality enthusiast the way our choices keep getting worse and worse

Bullsh**t. How is a moderate democrat with a distinguished career as a federal prosecutor in any way 'just as bad' as racist, homophobic paedophile who's been kicked off the state supreme court twice?