Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 15, 2018, 04:11:29 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginia)
| | |-+  Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 51 52 53 54 55 [56] 57 58 59 60 61 ... 76 Print
Poll
Question: Who will win?
Roy Moore (R)   -93 (48.9%)
Doug Jones (D)   -97 (51.1%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 190

Author Topic: Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread  (Read 36654 times)
Umengus
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,107
Belgium


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1375 on: December 12, 2017, 08:56:05 pm »

lol.

5 minutes ago, it was good to be jones. now, I call the race for Moore...
Logged

Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,446
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1376 on: December 12, 2017, 08:56:17 pm »

Jones max down to 57.
Logged

Economy is the method by which we prepare today to afford the improvements of tomorrow. - Coolidge.
Oryxslayer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,776


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1377 on: December 12, 2017, 08:56:52 pm »

Houston in the wiregrass  now at 18/28 pushes moore to 53/45.

Critical for jones, 6 precincts now in Huntsville, now only 50.8. Wonder where they are in the county.

Interestingly, St Clair flips w/6/31 precincts. Republican suburb county.  
Logged

^The SWPA Lamb oddities are because Lamb is abandoning the 14th for the 17th

That feeling when you are called a Conservative in the Bay Area for just being a Center-Left Democrat.
I now have a Twitter for my maps: https://twitter.com/OryxMaps
Umengus
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,107
Belgium


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1378 on: December 12, 2017, 08:57:44 pm »

 Jeff B/DDHQ‏Compte certifié @EsotericCD
1 minil y a 1 minute

We are leaning *hard* towards a Moore victory at this point. Prepare your hottakes, journos.
Logged

Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,254


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1379 on: December 12, 2017, 08:57:55 pm »

Moore in the lead!
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,770


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1380 on: December 12, 2017, 08:58:14 pm »

DDHQ guy:

Quote
We are leaning *hard* towards a Moore victory at this point. Prepare your hottakes, journos.

https://twitter.com/EsotericCD/status/940762137286316033
Logged

The fundamental fight is not between left and right but between proudly-ignorant, reckless and incompetent indecency and those who oppose it.  -- Benjamin Wittes
IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,446
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1381 on: December 12, 2017, 08:58:41 pm »

My model is already calling it for Moore. Over 75% confidence level.
Logged

Economy is the method by which we prepare today to afford the improvements of tomorrow. - Coolidge.
Singletxguyforfun
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,793
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1382 on: December 12, 2017, 08:59:20 pm »

I just panic sold my Moore shares at a profit after Tuscaloosa and Talladega dropped. This...might actually happen. lol

Always better to go with your gut. I wish I sold my actual stocks and bought them back after Brexit and Trump. But you made money atleast
Logged



2018 Endorsements
NH Gov: Chris Sununu
NH-1: Eddie Edwards
MA-Gov: Charlie!!!!
MA-8: Steve Lynch
MA-Sen: Geoff Diehl
VT-Gov: Phil Scott
VT-Sen: Anyone but Comrade Sanders
Southern Speaker The Saint
TheSaint250
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,238


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1383 on: December 12, 2017, 09:00:07 pm »

Back within 1.5% for Moore
Logged

IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,446
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1384 on: December 12, 2017, 09:00:13 pm »

Here come the vote dumps to keep it close. Backing off calling it for now. TCTC.
Logged

Economy is the method by which we prepare today to afford the improvements of tomorrow. - Coolidge.
Fmr. Pres. Griff
Adam Griffin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,124
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1385 on: December 12, 2017, 09:00:29 pm »

25 precincts in Birmingham dumped.
Logged

To some extent, Griffin was in many ways elected as a War time President because he viewed, not as the guy you want a beer with, but the guy you would go to a bar fight with.
PittsburghSteel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,622
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1386 on: December 12, 2017, 09:01:12 pm »

Yep, Alabama and the GOP have elected an accused child molester to be a senator.

The GOP is going to be crushed in 2018.
Logged

Governor Endorsements - 

Tom Wolf (D-PA)
Cynthia Nixon (D-NY)

Senate Endorsements - 

Phil Bredesen (D-TN)
Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
Bob Casey (D-PA)
Dianne Feinstein (D-CA)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) 
Tim Kaine (D-VA)
Beto O'Rourke (D-TX)
Jane Raybould (D-NE)
Jacky Rosen (D-NV)
Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ)
Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)

House - 

Bibiani Boerio (D-PA14)
Madeleine Dean (D-PA04)
Mike Doyle (D-PA18)
Conor Lamb (D-PA17)
Lindy Li (D-PA05)

Beth Fukumoto (D-HI01)
America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,764
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1387 on: December 12, 2017, 09:02:00 pm »

DDHQ guy:

Quote
We are leaning *hard* towards a Moore victory at this point. Prepare your hottakes, journos.

https://twitter.com/EsotericCD/status/940762137286316033
Oh well. At least Jones ran an honorable campaign Sad
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,608
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.45, S: -4.70

P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1388 on: December 12, 2017, 09:02:38 pm »

#BoycottAlabama
Logged

Call it what it is - The Trump Cult


Ten warning signs of a potentially unsafe group/leader. (according to Cult Education Institute)
https://culteducation.com/warningsigns.html

Note: I voted for Clinton in real life, so don't blame me
Tartarus Sauce
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,321
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1389 on: December 12, 2017, 09:03:18 pm »

25/26 precincts in at Limestone, now Moore is slightly underperforming his benchmark.
Logged
Alpha says "Abolish ICE"
etr906
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,687
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1390 on: December 12, 2017, 09:03:37 pm »

JONES NOW LEADING BY 0.2 IN NYT TICKER
Logged

IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,446
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1391 on: December 12, 2017, 09:04:05 pm »

Jones max at 54. Everyone about +4 Jones has lost.
Logged

Economy is the method by which we prepare today to afford the improvements of tomorrow. - Coolidge.
Southern Speaker The Saint
TheSaint250
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,238


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1392 on: December 12, 2017, 09:05:15 pm »

Hot takes are coming early tonight

It's still anyone's game
Logged

cvparty
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,008
United States


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1393 on: December 12, 2017, 09:06:34 pm »

hm every county has to swing an average of almost 30 points, thinking about it that way .-.
Logged

nEVeR jUdgE A booK By ITs CoVer
Lincoln Assemblyman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,436
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1394 on: December 12, 2017, 09:06:44 pm »

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Roy Moore
Republican
112,867   51.8%   
Doug Jones
Democrat
101,972   46.8   
Total Write-Ins

2,861   1.3   
21% reporting (461 of 2,220 precincts)
Logged

Justice Kavanaugh Confirmation Vote Tracker: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/167X7SqG_m85IjJ_zI4m7IbD2EUdCcnTa37d-lB8xgk8
----
#FreeGreedoToday
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

'18 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (6/28: AZ: Strong Lean R ---> Lean R, NM: Lean D ---> Strong Lean D)
'18 Senate Ratings: http://tinyurl.com/yb7sxe9a (6/20: WV: Toss-Up ---> Lean D)
'18 House Rating: Lean D (3/14: Toss-Up ---> Lean D)
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,579
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1395 on: December 12, 2017, 09:07:37 pm »

Limestone county.  Moore 58.6% with almost all the votes in. Trump won 72.14% back in 2016.  Seems to imply that Jones still have a solid shot at winning.
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,446
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1396 on: December 12, 2017, 09:08:18 pm »

Model once again predicting Moore victory at 75% confidence level. Moore has a statistical lead here.

Estimated peak Jones is at 51.56% Moore with a 0.4% advantage.

Callable at 39% in.
Logged

Economy is the method by which we prepare today to afford the improvements of tomorrow. - Coolidge.
GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,770


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1397 on: December 12, 2017, 09:09:04 pm »

Quote
HARRY ENTEN 9:07 PM
Folks, anyone who says they know how this is going to end is a liar. That, or you should ask them what the lottery numbers will be tomorrow.
Logged

The fundamental fight is not between left and right but between proudly-ignorant, reckless and incompetent indecency and those who oppose it.  -- Benjamin Wittes
Oryxslayer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,776


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1398 on: December 12, 2017, 09:09:34 pm »

23% reporting 52.8% - 45.9% Moore. Notes:

Birmingham droped 25 Precincts very heavy Jones. Similar votes then 25 precincts in Limestone, though not all precincts are created equal. Lauderdale at 11/32 still holding Jones. Probably all city, little suburbs.

Russell 13/18 jones at 67/32.

10/24 in Lee , jones ahead 57/41.

20/30 monroe 52 - 47 Jones.

St Clair flipped back 12/31 67/31 Moore.

19/27 Talladega, Jones lead 54/46.

9/40 Morgan 50/47 Jones.

10/73 Madison 55/41

Pike drops 25/34 50/48 Moore.
Logged

^The SWPA Lamb oddities are because Lamb is abandoning the 14th for the 17th

That feeling when you are called a Conservative in the Bay Area for just being a Center-Left Democrat.
I now have a Twitter for my maps: https://twitter.com/OryxMaps
Solid4096
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,330


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1399 on: December 12, 2017, 09:09:58 pm »

Quote
Randolph is now completely in. Moore won by 30. His benchmark was to win by 25 points.
Logged

Pages: 1 ... 51 52 53 54 55 [56] 57 58 59 60 61 ... 76 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines