Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread (user search)
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  Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Roy Moore (R)
 
#2
Doug Jones (D)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 189

Author Topic: Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread  (Read 126010 times)
Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« on: December 08, 2017, 09:34:35 PM »

https://news.vice.com/story/why-these-alabama-voters-are-sticking-by-roy-moore

Frank Luntz panel:

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Santander
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*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2017, 04:44:30 PM »

I posted it on the first page of this thread. The comment about blacks not voting Republican because they are stupid was rather saddening.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #2 on: December 11, 2017, 08:42:16 AM »

The Hitler quote thing does need some context guys... he didn't mean it in a good way.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2017, 11:42:29 AM »

Where is StatesPoll? He was right about everything.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #4 on: December 11, 2017, 11:45:16 AM »
« Edited: December 11, 2017, 11:48:57 AM by Santander »

Is it true that the poll was 44R-42D? That seems like an unlikely composition of the expected electorate, no? But regardless, maybe there is some hope after all...

The way I could buy this electorate is that there may just be enough doubt among Republican voters for them to stay home rather than risk voting for an alleged pedophile.

This described behavior is what white privilege looks like.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #5 on: December 11, 2017, 02:43:40 PM »

Predictit is really reacting to the Fox poll

there has been a 16 cent swing.

Jones all the way to 36

Moore down to 70

Good thing I already sold my Moore shares.

It would be gambling to hold to maturity at this point.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2017, 11:29:02 AM »

Huntsville is certainly not a typical Alabama city.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2017, 11:57:24 AM »

Does anyone over 35 use Instagram other than Trump?
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2017, 12:01:59 PM »

Does anyone over 35 use Instagram other than Trump?

Jeanine Pirro loves showing off to the world how hot she thinks she is on it.

That's rather disturbing...
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #9 on: December 12, 2017, 12:59:17 PM »

If Rapist Roy Moore is elected today (99% chance this happens) then I hope Al franken rescinds his resignation and remains in the senate. Evan if he's "guilty" of accidentally touching people's asses that's NOTHING in comparison to attempting to F*** a 14 year old girl and GILLIBRAND and company should Know this.

When you sound like Trump, you know you're wrong.

Seriously, that is written exactly like a Trump tweet.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #10 on: December 12, 2017, 02:43:01 PM »

50% turnout is a bit unrealistic with it being a special election and a small, but significant share of regular GOP voters staying home.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #11 on: December 12, 2017, 05:18:05 PM »

One MSNBC Exit Poll Question

Moore allegations are....
Probably/Definitely True- 49% (26 Probably/23 Definite)
Probably/Definitely False- 45% (29 Probably/16 Definite)

That's worse than most polls for Moore.  This could be a disaster.

On a side note, are there any Clinton-Moore voters?  Who would they be??

I can’t even begin to imagine a Clinton-Moore voter.

Alabamian small businessman who got burned by Trump.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #12 on: December 12, 2017, 05:32:12 PM »

In regards to the pro-life and pro-choice number, I would take into consideration that more Democrats and moderates are likely turning out, so this is probably not entirely accurate

Worth bearing in mind too many southern blacks are pro-life, it just isn’t their red-line issue like for many evangelical whites

That's because white one-issue voters often just say they're voting on life while their decision is shaped by other reasons, such as socially-unacceptable views they don't want to share or partisan hackery.
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Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,925
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #13 on: December 12, 2017, 10:31:24 PM »

The Dixiecrats are coming home!
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