What state will trend most to the Democrat in 2020?
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  What state will trend most to the Democrat in 2020?
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Author Topic: What state will trend most to the Democrat in 2020?  (Read 4272 times)
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #25 on: January 02, 2018, 05:15:57 PM »

Iowa, ND, and SD really dislike Trump. He's too much of a demagogue for them.

We had one of those election things last year where he was on the ballot, and the Monsanto-riddled corn people decided, No, Trump was not too much of a demagogue for them.

Anyway yeah, I think Democrats will get a decent sized dead cat bounce in those states actually. ND in particular since a lot of the oil workers are moving out.
Uh, no offense but I think we've all seen that votes and approval ratings are not compatible. Several politicians with low approval ratings have been elected. My point is, his positions on trade are not compatible with farmers in the plains states. He's not their type of republican
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #26 on: January 02, 2018, 09:39:05 PM »

Iowa, ND, and SD really dislike Trump. He's too much of a demagogue for them.

We had one of those election things last year where he was on the ballot, and the Monsanto-riddled corn people decided, No, Trump was not too much of a demagogue for them.

Anyway yeah, I think Democrats will get a decent sized dead cat bounce in those states actually. ND in particular since a lot of the oil workers are moving out.
Uh, no offense but I think we've all seen that votes and approval ratings are not compatible. Several politicians with low approval ratings have been elected. My point is, his positions on trade are not compatible with farmers in the plains states. He's not their type of republican

"He's not their type of republican"
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=tnd&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #27 on: January 03, 2018, 07:57:29 PM »

Once again, this was against HILLARY CLINTON who was an even worse fit for those states. Just because he won them in 2016 does not mean he is popular or that he will do as well in 2020. A different candidate who has a more rugged, rural appearance may do better here.
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dw93
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« Reply #28 on: January 04, 2018, 01:36:15 AM »


I think Ohio would trend Democratic before Missouri, West Virginia, or the Dakotas.
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Pericles
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« Reply #29 on: January 04, 2018, 03:00:45 AM »

If Warren is the nominee I'd say Montana, with Alaska being a close second.
Why does Warren have special appeal in Montana?

I think her populist attitude appeals to many Mountain West Libertarians.
She is horribly elitist and out of touch.

Ha ha no. She fights for ordinary Americans Trump's just in it for himself and his billionaire buddies. Deal with it, sexist.
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I’m not Stu
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« Reply #30 on: January 08, 2018, 03:00:42 AM »


I think Ohio would trend Democratic before Missouri, West Virginia, or the Dakotas.
Ohio would likely trend D before those states.
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x-Guy
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« Reply #31 on: January 20, 2018, 12:00:08 AM »

The state that is more likely to trend democratic in 2020 is Arizona. Depending on who the candidate is. I don't see Georgia becoming a swing state anytime soon.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #32 on: January 20, 2018, 02:41:48 PM »

The state that is more likely to trend democratic in 2020 is Arizona. Depending on who the candidate is. I don't see Georgia becoming a swing state anytime soon.
Georgia is already a swing state, Trump only won it by 5% in 2016.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #33 on: January 23, 2018, 09:53:48 AM »

Pretty confident that all of these will trend D in 2020.



If I had to pick the one that trends most D, NH and/or VT.
NH is Titanium D, right guys
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #34 on: January 23, 2018, 02:25:53 PM »

Pretty confident that all of these will trend D in 2020.



If I had to pick the one that trends most D, NH and/or VT.
I'm almost positive West Virginia will trend D, Trump has zero room to improve there.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #35 on: January 23, 2018, 03:07:17 PM »

Pretty confident that all of these will trend D in 2020.



If I had to pick the one that trends most D, NH and/or VT.
I'm almost positive West Virginia will trend D, Trump has zero room to improve there.

If Kamala Harris is the nominee, he will certainly improve there. Racist WV Hicks will see to that.
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cvparty
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« Reply #36 on: January 23, 2018, 03:54:41 PM »

Pretty confident that all of these will trend D in 2020.



If I had to pick the one that trends most D, NH and/or VT.
I'm almost positive West Virginia will trend D, Trump has zero room to improve there.
he doesn’t need to improve though, he just needs to hold his support or lose little ground while the country at large swings away from him greatly (which is very plausible)
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Peanut
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« Reply #37 on: January 23, 2018, 06:54:31 PM »

I don't think Georgia is going to go Democratic until at least 2024, depending on the candidates 2028. I do believe Arizona will go Dem in 2020 though. Trump's margin in Ohio was bigger than Obama's in 2012, so while he may lose ground there, I don't think he'll lose the state, even if the Dem wins the election. WI, MI, and PA might be Dem but I believe Arizona will have the biggest D trend, maybe NC.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #38 on: January 28, 2018, 09:30:01 AM »

I have Alabama, Arkansas, Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Missouri, Montana, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming trending the most Republican in 2020 and Arizona, California, DC, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and Washington trending the most Democratic in 2020.

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #39 on: January 28, 2018, 01:12:57 PM »

Probably Arizona for Most D

Utah for Most R

NC's D trend has been shrinking and I wouldn't be surprised if 2020 was the election that started an R trend.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #40 on: January 28, 2018, 01:18:47 PM »

Pretty confident that all of these will trend D in 2020.



If I had to pick the one that trends most D, NH and/or VT.

I'm not under the impression Trump is in that much rural trouble?

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