Iowa, ND, and SD really dislike Trump. He's too much of a demagogue for them.
We had one of those election things last year where he was on the ballot, and the Monsanto-riddled corn people decided, No, Trump was not too much of a demagogue for them.
Anyway yeah, I think Democrats will get a decent sized dead cat bounce in those states actually. ND in particular since a lot of the oil workers are moving out.
Uh, no offense but I think we've all seen that votes and approval ratings are not compatible. Several politicians with low approval ratings have been elected. My point is, his positions on trade are not compatible with farmers in the plains states. He's not their type of republican