South in the 2020 US Presidential Election

[American2020]

Which state(s) do you expect will vote for a Democratic Candidate ?

[UncleSam]

Expect would be just Delaware, DC, MD, and VA. FL tossup / tilt R and NC Lean R. Georgia Likely R but in play. Anything else would take a national landslide to win.

[King Lear]

Delaware, DC, Maryland, Virginia.

[tosk]

Expect would be just Delaware, DC, MD, and VA. FL tossup / tilt R and NC Lean R. Georgia Likely R but in play. Anything else would take a national landslide to win.

this exactly. I really doubt Georgia flipping, but I think Dems could make ground there.

[Dr. MB]

DE/DC/MD/VA for sure. Florida and NC maybe. Georgia it's a stretch.

[Xing]

Definitely DE/DC/MD/VA (well, maybe VA is Likely D), FL is a toss-up, and GA/NC are Lean R. Hard to see the Democrats winning any more than that unless it's a true landslide.

[Mr. Smith]

Given where Trump is now, and given how downballot has gone, bold as it is, but I'm going with every Atlantic state except South Carolina just because of the good chance of  2020 being a landslide.

And even if it isn't a landslide, it's not like Michigan [which was a good D year even in 2014] or Pennsylvania [where Tom Corbett got routed and I believe D's actually flipped the downballot for a wee bit] were seriously thought to flip by most counts for most of the cycle.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Who are the three people who didn't vote for Maryland?

[cvparty]

WHOA BUDDY YOU CAPPED IT AT 7 REALLY

[libertpaulian]

Who are the three people who didn't vote for Maryland?

MD isn't Southern.

[American2020]

Who are the three people who didn't vote for Maryland?

MD isn't Southern.

[hcallega]

Maryland may be geographically Southern, but it ain't culturally

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

WHOA BUDDY YOU CAPPED IT AT 7 REALLY

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Who are the three people who didn't vote for Maryland?

MD isn't Southern.

Census Defined Regions = Junk

[wxtransit]

Who are the three people who didn't vote for Maryland?

MD isn't Southern.

Census Defined Regions = Junk

Texas is its own region

[Sumner 1868]

Only FL/VA, though NC wouldn't shock me. Pretty sure Dems will waste billions in GA and still lose though.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Who are the three people who didn't vote for Maryland?

probably people who were only thinking about actual South states (as opposed to states the poll creator mis-categorized)

[Sirius_]

Given where Trump is now, and given how downballot has gone, bold as it is, but I'm going with every Atlantic state except South Carolina just because of the good chance of  2020 being a landslide.

And even if it isn't a landslide, it's not like Michigan [which was a good D year even in 2014] or Pennsylvania [where Tom Corbett got routed and I believe D's actually flipped the downballot for a wee bit] were seriously thought to flip by most counts for most of the cycle.

If it's a true landslide then dems could also possibly win SC.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

VA/MD/DE/DC are Safe D. North Carolina and Florida are toss ups, while Georgia is Lean R and South Carolina is Likely R.

[TarHeelDem]

Virginia is safe for the Democrats.
North Carolina and Florida are toss-ups.
Georgia leans Republican.
South Carolina is likely Republican.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Alabama Safe R
Arkansas safe R        
Delaware Safe D     
District of Columbia Safe D         
Florida Tossup/Tilt D        
Georgia Tossup     
Kentucky Safe R         
Louisiana Safe R     
Maryland    Safe D     
Mississippi Likley R    
North Carolina Tossuo     
Oklahoma    Safe R     
South Carolina Likley R         
Tennessee    Safe R 
Texas Likley R     
Virginia Likley D     
West Virginia Safe R        

[TML]

Here's what I think, based on the projected number of EVs for the Democratic candidate:

<300: DC, DE, MD, VA
300-320: +FL
320-350: +NC
350-400: +GA
400-420: +TX
420-460: +SC
>460: Other states listed may be possible

[MATTROSE94]

Here’s what I think the South will look like if the Democrats nominate a very strong ticket such as Kamala Harris/John Bel Edwards and if President Trumps approval rating continues to decline to historically low levels):

Alabama: Safe Republican
Arkansas: Safe Republican        
Delaware: Safe Democrat
DC: Safe Democrat
Florida: Tossup/Lean Democrat
Georgia: Tossup    
Kentucky: Safe Republican        
Louisiana: Tossup (John Bel Edwards seems to be a very popular governor, which may lead to a coattail effect that could help the Democrats in Louisiana)
Maryland: Safe Democrat
Mississippi: Likley Republican (I expect Trump’s margin in Mississippi to fall a point or two when compared to 2016)
North Carolina: Tossup/Lean Democrat    
Oklahoma: Safe Republican
South Carolina Likley Republican    
Tennessee: Safe Republican
Texas: Tossup
Virginia: Safe Democrat
West Virginia: Safe Republican

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Here’s what I think the South will look like if the Democrats nominate a very strong ticket such as Kamala Harris/John Bel Edwards and if President Trumps approval rating continues to decline to historically low levels):

Alabama: Safe Republican
Arkansas: Safe Republican        
Delaware: Safe Democrat
DC: Safe Democrat
Florida: Tossup/Lean Democrat
Georgia: Tossup    
Kentucky: Safe Republican        
Louisiana: Tossup (John Bel Edwards seems to be a very popular governor, which may lead to a coattail effect that could help the Democrats in Louisiana)
Maryland: Safe Democrat
Mississippi: Likley Republican (I expect Trump’s margin in Mississippi to fall a point or two when compared to 2016)
North Carolina: Tossup/Lean Democrat    
Oklahoma: Safe Republican
South Carolina Likley Republican    
Tennessee: Safe Republican
Texas: Tossup
Virginia: Safe Democrat
West Virginia: Safe Republican

ANOTHER DELOUSIONAL DEMOCRAT PREDICTS THAT TEXAS AND LOUSIANA ARE SWING STATES AND THAT VIRGINIA IS MORE DEMOCRATIC THAN SOUTH CAROLINA AND MISSISPPI  IS REPUBLICAN

REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

MUH JUN BELL EDWARDS WILL WIN LOUSIANA FOR DEMCORATS REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE


REALITY CHECK

TEXAS - WON BY TRUMP IN 2016 BY 9.00%

VIRGINIA - WON BY CLINTON BY 5.32%

SOUTH CAROLINA - WON BY TRUMPP BY 14%

LOUSIANA - WON BY TRUMP BY 20%

MISSISPI - WON BY TRUMP BY 18%

Another Republican who can't even spell Mississippi and likes screaming in all caps...

[King Lear]

Virginia is the only southern state (I don't consider MD, DE, and DC southern) Democrats will win in 2020,
Florida has a decisive Republican lean (its filled with Old White people and Nonvoting minority's), and North Carolina is just as competitive for Democrats as New Mexico is for Republicans (they both have only voted for the party the state doesn't lean toward once in the 21st century, and they both voted about 6 points more Republican or Democratic compared to the country in 2016), while Georgia and especially Texas are Democratic pipe dreams.