South in the 2020 US Presidential Election

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Virginia is the only southern state (I don't consider MD, DE, and DC southern) Democrats will win in 2020,
Florida has a decisive Republican lean (its filled with Old White people and Nonvoting minority's), and North Carolina is just as competitive for Democrats as New Mexico is for Republicans (they both have only voted for the party the state doesn't lean toward once in the 21st century, and they both voted about 6 points more Republican or Democratic compared to the country in 2016), while Georgia and especially Texas are Democratic pipe dreams.

Please stop it with this titanium R Florida meme. it's absurd.

[MATTROSE94]

Virginia is the only southern state (I don't consider MD, DE, and DC southern) Democrats will win in 2020,
Florida has a decisive Republican lean (its filled with Old White people and Nonvoting minority's), and North Carolina is just as competitive for Democrats as New Mexico is for Republicans (they both have only voted for the party the state doesn't lean toward once in the 21st century, and they both voted about 6 points more Republican or Democratic compared to the country in 2016), while Georgia and especially Texas are Democratic pipe dreams.

Please stop it with this titanium R Florida meme. it's absurd.

I agree. President Trump is not popular at all in Florida and only win it by 1.5% in 2016. Florida is definitely competitive in 2020 and will likely be won by the Democratic nominee by around 1-2% if I had to guess. North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas are also in play as well and should be targeted heavily by the Democratic nominee.

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

Safe D: DC, MD, DE
Likely D: VA
Lean D:
Tilt D:
Tossup: FL
Tilt R: NC
Lean R: GA
Likely R: TX, MS, SC
Safe R: AL, TN, KY, WV, AR, OK, LA

[TDAS04]

The same ones as in 2016 plus there’s a good chance in Florida and a fairly good chance in North Carolina.

[OneJ]

Safe D: DC, MD, DE
Likely D: VA
Lean D:
Tilt D:
Tossup: FL
Tilt R: NC
Lean R: GA
Likely R: TX, MS, SC
Safe R: AL, TN, KY, WV, AR, OK, LA

This, though not too about Virginia.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Safe D: DC, MD, DE
Likely D: VA
Lean D:
Tilt D:
Tossup: FL
Tilt R: NC
Lean R: GA
Likely R: TX, MS, SC
Safe R: AL, TN, KY, WV, AR, OK, LA

This, though not too about Virginia.

IMO, Virginia is Safe D with Trump on the ticket. if Pence was to take his spot, it'd be Likely D.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Safe D: DC, MD, DE
Likely D: VA
Lean D:
Tilt D: FL
Tossup: NC
Tilt R: GA, SC
Lean R: TX
Likely R: WV
Safe R: AL, TN, KY, AR, OK, LA, MS

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL and VA are Democratic leaning states. AZ which isn't in the South will be looking to go blue

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Safe D: DC, MD, DE
Likely D: VA
Lean D:
Tilt D: FL
Tossup: NC
Tilt R: GA, SC
Lean R: TX
Likely R: WV
Safe R: AL, TN, KY, AR, OK, LA, MS

What?! how is West Virginia only Likely R?

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Safe D: DC, MD, DE
Likely D: VA
Lean D:
Tilt D: FL
Tossup: NC
Tilt R: GA, SC
Lean R: TX
Likely R: WV
Safe R: AL, TN, KY, AR, OK, LA, MS

What?! how is West Virginia only Likely R?

Probably since it's more elastic than some of those other states, and has a longer history of voting D than the Safe R states. While I'd mark it as a Safe R state, I understand why someone would say it's only Likely R.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Safe D: DC, MD, DE
Likely D: VA
Lean D:
Tilt D: FL
Tossup: NC
Tilt R: GA, SC
Lean R: TX
Likely R: WV
Safe R: AL, TN, KY, AR, OK, LA, MS

What?! how is West Virginia only Likely R?

Probably since it's more elastic than some of those other states, and has a longer history of voting D than the Safe R states. While I'd mark it as a Safe R state, I understand why someone would say it's only Likely R.

If the Democrats nominate a more populist candidate, I could see West Virginia swinging hard to the left in 2020 - but it'd still be well short of flipping.

[Arkansas Yankee]

DC, Delaware, and Maryland have not been southern for years.

Virginia moved into the northeast politically this year.

My Tennessee wife says Virginia ceased to be southern many years ago.

[OneJ]

The definition of the South is changing though. The Deep South (MS, AL, LA, GA, SC) obviously isn't the same as the Upper South (AR, TN, NC, etc.). Florida and Texas are their own entirely different beasts. Historically, Maryland and Delaware were (and still are) south of the Mason Dixon. North Carolina and Georgia (to a lesser extent) are gradually starting to resemble Virginia. In my opinion, however, I just think it's a little unnecessary to argue what's Southern and what's not.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

DC, Delaware, and Maryland have not been southern for years.

Virginia moved into the northeast politically this year.

My Tennessee wife says Virginia ceased to be southern many years ago.

I can sort of see that. Even Southwest Virginia is more like Appalachia than Alabama.

[JA]

Safe D
Delaware, District of Columbia, Maryland, Virginia

Likely D
N/A

Lean D
Florida, North Carolina

Tossup
N/A

Lean R
Georgia

Likely R
Texas, South Carolina

Safe R
Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Tennessee, West Virginia

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Safe D  | Delaware, District of Columbia, Maryland, Virginia
Likely D| Virginia
Lean D  | Florida, North Carolina
Tossup  |  N/A
Lean R  | Georgia
Likely R | Texas, South Carolina
Safe R   | Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Tennessee, West Virginia

I like how Virginia is both Safe and Likely D at the same time.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Delaware, DC, Maryland, Virginia.

This.

Florida will be the only other real Southern battleground.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Delaware, DC, Maryland, Virginia.

This.

Florida will be the only other real Southern battleground.

Unless you count North Carolina, which will also be a battleground.

[Nyssus]

Delaware, DC, Maryland, and Virginia would almost certainly vote for the Democratic candidate, while Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina would be tossup states or have a very slight Democratic tilt.

[Sirius_]

Who are the three people who didn't vote for Maryland?

The people who didn't think Maryland would be on here.