Swedish election, 2018: Political Impasse, Löfven loses confidence vote

[mvd10]

Social democrats at 25.4% according to that thing, so I guess they win?

[Beezer]

Jesus f'ing Christ, get to the point...

[mvd10]

Left-wing bloc at 41% according to these numbers btw

[seb_pard]

9.4% for C, actually very good.

[The Free North]

The stream i'm watching is too busy showing the weather it seems. Stockholm appears to be in for a lovely 2nd half of the week. 

[Diouf]

TV4 exit poll. Company is Sifo. One of those pollsters, who has had SD at 16-17% normally.

S 25,4%
V 9,8%
MP 5,8%
C 9,4%
KD 6,6%
L 5,7%
M 18,4%
SD 16,3%

[Beezer]

My God, Swedish is an awful language. The guy sounds like he has a hot potato in his mouth.

[Ebsy]

Would be quite the remarkable result.

[Aboa]

Are there things we should know about the Swedish exit polls? In the Netherlands the exit polls usually slightly favour left-wing parties since the cities are counted first, so right-wing parties usually slightly overperform compared to the exit polls.

Here's 2014 SVT  prognosis based on exit poll and actual results:

V 6.6  (5.7)
SAP 31.1 (31.2)
MP 7.1 (6.8 )
C 6.5 (6.1)
L 6.0 (5.4)
KD 5.0 (4.6)
M 22.2 (23.2)
SD 10.5 (12.9)
FI 4.0 (3.1)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

SAP 25.4, V 9.8, MP 5.8 - 41.0
M 18.4, C 9.4, KD 6.6, L 5.7 - 40.1
SD 16.4

[jaichind]

It seems that the Center-Left and Center-Right blocs are neck to neck.  If true then SD must have lost some last minute support to M.

[EPG]

Can everyone please behave? Keep the crassness to your various other Online haunts.

Too late. There is another thread about Brazil where the far-lefts and the far-rights are justifying murdering each other. I would say this whole enterprise is beyond saveable.

[IceAgeComing]

Right so I know very little about Swedish politics so probably won't be posting a whole lot.

But surely this if this exit poll is correct then its a very bad result for the SDs?  I mean they might hold the balance of power between the two blocs but that isn't what they were aiming for in this election: and finishing third behind both of the major parties must be very disappointing for them?  If its right after all; luckily we get a certain set of data in a few minutes.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Can everyone please behave? Keep the crassness to your various other Online haunts.

Too late. There is another thread about Brazil where the far-lefts and the far-rights are justifying murdering each other. I would say this whole enterprise is beyond saveable.

Dance, dance, the Weimar cosplay.

[jaichind]

It seems that even if SD over-perform exit polls there is no way they will come in first.  At best a narrow victory over M for second place.  And that is a big if

[The Free North]

26.2 - S
19.2 - SD
17.8  - M

39.4 LB
39.6 RB

[Diouf]

SVT1 Exit Poll

V 9,0%
MP 4,2%
S 26,2%

C 8,9%
L 5,5%
KD 7,4%
M 17,8%

SD 19,2%

[Antonio the Sixth]

Pretty sure this poll is underestimating SD, sadly...

Edit: OK, the SVT1 figure looks about right.

[jaichind]

Wow ... both exit polls seems to have both blocs neck-to-neck ...

[Diouf]

I actually wonder whether the Greens could lose some potential tactical voting if the media start to focus a lot on Sweden Democrats potentially being the biggest party. Maybe some left-wingers will vote for the Social Democrats just to avoid that (even though it will probably have no effect on government formation whether Sweden Democrats are 1st or 2nd).

Based on SVT's poll, this could have happened. But Greens were far bigger in Tv4, so who knows

[The Free North]

Should be an entertaining night coming up then.

[Antonio the Sixth]

So when does counting start?

[DavidB.]

I guess they deserve what they get. Goodnight, Sweden.

[jaichind]

Anyone that has links to results other than

https://www.aftonbladet.se/nyheter/a/wEGeKP

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

I guess they deserve what they get. Goodnight, Sweden.

There were no scenario in which SD will govern so I don't understand your saltiness.