Swedish election, 2018: Political Impasse, Löfven loses confidence vote

[Coffein00]

While minority governments are not that uncommon in Sweden, I would not rule out, that the Center-party and the Liberals leave their bloc to form a majority government ( S+MP+L+C ), if they would have enough seats and the Moderates start thinking about forming a coalition with the Sweden Democrats.

[Coffein00]

Prediction:

Social Democratic: 23.0%
Sweden Democrats: 19.5%
Moderate: 16.0%
Left: 11.0%
Centre: 8.0%
Liberals: 6.0%
Christian Democrats: 6.0%
Green: 5.5%

Coalition: Social Democratic-Green (Confidence & Supply: Left)

What's with the remaining 5% ?

Also: LOL at the continuation of Red-Green.

the continuation of Red-Green (+Left) is not unlikely at all.

[Coffein00]

My prediction:

S: 23.5%
SD: 21%
M: 17.25%
V: 9.5%
C: 8.5%
KD: 6.25%
L: 5.75%
MP: 5.25%
Oth: 3%

S+MP(+V) : 38.25%
Alliance : 37.75%

S+C+L+MP : 43%
M+KD+SD : 44.5%

needed for majority: 48.5%

[Coffein00]

left bloc is ahead by 2 seats again
Center-Left     144
Allianse          142
S+MP+L+C    165
M+KD+SD        156

[Coffein00]

Center-Left   144
Allianse   143
S+MP+L+C   166
M+KD+SD   155

[Coffein00]

Center-Left   144
Allianse   142
S+MP+L+C   165
M+KD+SD   156

needed for majority   175   
votes needed w/ V abstaining   161

[Coffein00]

Centre Party open to Löfven returning as Swedish PM:

http://www.thelocal.se/20181127/centre-party-open-to-lofven-returning-as-swedish-pm

But some of the demands, which are not very detailed represented in that English article seem unacceptable for S and apparently its an non-negotiable offer, take it or leave it.

We will see, there are still some days left, but this could be an "alibi"-offer, so that C doesn't get the blame if there are new elections.

edit: Liberals would tolerate Löfven, too, and have also a list of demands:
https://www.thelocal.se/20181128/liberals-offer-conditional-support-for-lfven-as-swedish-pm

Left-party says they would withdraw their support if the demands of C and L would be fulfilled:
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/sweden-s-lofven-torn-between-left-and-right-in-bid-to-form-government-10977944