Czech presidential election, January 12-13 & 26-27 2017 (user search)
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  Czech presidential election, January 12-13 & 26-27 2017 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Czech presidential election, January 12-13 & 26-27 2017  (Read 7498 times)
Vosem
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Posts: 15,637
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« on: January 25, 2018, 06:24:05 PM »

Should be noted that the pattern in Czechia has long been for rural areas to both report first and count faster, and for Prague to come in last and still be counting when others are done. The first results should show Zeman with a healthy lead even if Drahos has ended up winning.
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Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,637
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2018, 03:33:04 PM »

Does anyone know how the debate went today? Enough to save Drahos?

Zeman is the one who needs saving, not Drahos, given that Drahos leads in polling and has most of the endorsements of other candidates from the first round (ie, if the vote according to the way first-round candidates endorsed, Drahos wins 57-43).

It does seem that Bojicat is correct that Zeman has gained ground on Drahos between the rounds; the pre-first round average of a Drahos vs. Zeman second round was a Drahos win 47.2-43.7. Today it is a Drahos win 43.7-43.3; a virtual tie. Given Zeman's under-performance in the first round, the over-performance for more liberal, pro-European candidates in the first round (undecideds mostly went to candidates that were more, um, liberal than Drahos), and Drahos' continued lead in polling, I'd probably much rather be Drahos. But Zeman certainly still has a shot, and it seems like the past month or so of his campaign has gone pretty well.
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