Office of Representative Thumb21 (Appointment as Representative)

[thumb21]

Office of Delegate Thumb21

This my office which will be my HQ as Delegate in the Southern Chamber of Delegates so if you have any inquiries, requests or issues, here is the place to post it.

[thumb21]

Thumb21 Archive

Given the concerns made by supporters of the Deputy Game Moderator Abolition Act, there seems to be a strong feeling that the office of Deputy Game Moderator is unimportant. As I said in the thread of the bill, I take some responsibility for this and I will in future be more transparent. I will now archive all the work I do here. I'll also post some non-DGM related stuff in here too to keep a record.

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September to December 2017
Archive

25th September: I register as an Independent and declare my candidacy for House of Representatives.
15th October: Campaign launched.
Thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=274966.0
Logo:
23rd October: I lose the election and declare my candidacy again for December.

Round 1:
Peebs - 18
North Carolina Yankee - 16
RFayette - 15
Haslam2020 - 13
LouisvilleThunder - 13
Pessimistic Antineutrino - 13
Illiniwek - 9
VPH - 9
JGibson - 8
Thumb21 - 3
WI: Kamala - 1

Round 5:

JGibson - 12.14154677
Thumb21 - 5.974532858

25th November: Campaign launched.
Thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=278238.0
Logo:
11th December: I lose the election and apply for Deputy GM.

Round 1:
Illiniwek - 16
North Carolina Yankee - 11
LouisvilleThunder - 9
Oakvale - 9
RFayette - 9
Peebs - 8
wxtransit - 7
1184AZ - 6
ReaganClinton20XX - 6
thumb21 - 4
vern1988 - 1

Round 4:

wxtransit - 8.171665898
ReaganClinton20XX - 7.998269497
1184AZ - 7.460371481
thumb21 - 7.172963775

18th December: Confirmation Hearing launched: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=279984.0
31st December: I join Alliance

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January 2018
Archive

3rd January: My confirmation is complete:

     With 4 votes in favor and 2 abstentions, the nominee has been confirmed.

     Be it resolved, X Vice President PiT

I swear in:

I, Thumb21, do solemnly affirm that I will faithfully execute the office of Deputy Game Moderator, and will, to the best of my ability, preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia, so help me God.

5th January: First YouGuv poll published: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=281294.msg5991328#msg5991328
15th January: Draft Revenue Estimates for the Budget:

Draft revenue estimate for 2018 (full credit to Deputy Game Moderator Thumb21 for his efforts to complete this project):

“TheyWorkForYou – ATLASIA” launched: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=282228.msg6008182#msg6008182
Voting records for the Southern Delegates published: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=282228.msg6008186#msg6008186
29th January: Draft Spending Estimates for the Budget:

Speak of the devil and see his horns:

(Click to enlarge)

[thumb21]

February 2018
Archive

9th February: Second YouGuv Poll published:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=281294.msg6051290#msg6051290
13th February: Cost Analysis for the Free Higher Education for Atlasia Act released:

Given that the SEC is free to determine the risk fee between 1% and 8%, I've created a low estimate where the SEC charges entirely 1% and a high estimate where the 8% is entirely charged. The actual income would be somewhere in between, once against depending on the SEC's decision. The figures are annual.

Funding:

High estimate - $5.61bn
Low estimate - $4.36bn

Cost:

$10.77bn

15th February: Voting records for midterms published: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=282228.msg6060107#msg6060107
16th February: Third YouGuv Poll published: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=281294.msg6061018#msg6061018
23rd February: Final Draft of Budget:

Final draft of the budget, courtesy of Deputy GM Thumb:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Thoughts/comments/amendments? Or are we ready to put this to Congress?

28th February: Lincoln Budget Revenue Estimates:

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I've finished Lincoln. Does this seem reasonable?

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March 2018
Archive

5th March: Cost Analysis for the Lincoln Gun Control Act:

So this programme will cost around $8.188 billion. Taking into account factors like non compliance, the license fee would need to be at-least $243.39 on average per gun to break even.

13th March: Ballpark estimate on a possible bill:

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Should cost around 3 billion, but the bill is extremely flexible and as we've discussed, a little vague, so yeah, this is a ballpark estimate.

16th March: Cost Analysis of the Act to Preserve and Cherish Native Atlasian Culture:

The amendment should generate around $3.73 million.

26th March: Cost Analysis of the amended Free Higher Education for Atlasia Act:

Final estimates -

Funding:
High estimate - $10.18bn
Low estimate - $8.93bn

Cost:
$10.97bn

Explaining the high and low estimates:

Given that the SEC is free to determine the risk fee between 1% and 8%, I've created a low estimate where the SEC charges entirely 1% and a high estimate where the 8% is entirely charged. The actual income would be somewhere in between, once against depending on the SEC's decision.

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April 2018
Archive

14th April: Southern Budget Estimates:

Got the new figures from Truman.

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15th April: Southern Revenue Studies:

Specific revenue studies:

Revenue Enhancement Study Act:
- Taking Lincolnite and Fremontian trash: $0.02bn
- Potential annual revenue from unexploited uranium: $0.07bn
- 20% more billboards:
    Year 1> $-0.17bn
    Year 2+> $0.17bn

Revenue Enhancement Act of 2018:
- Selling public golf courses: $5.40bn
- 25% more timber cutting: $0.02bn
- Nuclear waste repository:
    Year 1> $-25.22bn
    Year 2+> $0.72bn

More Doctors and Hospitals Act:
- Telemedicine in schools: $-0.23bn
- Increase in medical research: $-1.50bn
- 19 State hospitals:
    Year 1> $-5.70bn
    Year 2+> $0.91bn
- 50 medical scholarships: $-0.00bn
- Loan forgiveness for some medical students: $-10.11

Fremont Senate Debate begins:
Debating thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=289745.msg6157835#msg6157835
Commentary thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=289711.msg6156992#msg6156615
21st April: Cost Analysis of the Universal Basic Income Act (Lincoln):

This bill should cost around $65.51bn.

The funding should generate around $17.59bn.

30th April: Revenue estimates for possible changes to Social Security and Healthcare Tax rates:

The removal of the cap on social security tax would generate an extra 75.62 million.

No cap applies to the healthcare payroll tax (although earnings above $200k are charged an extra 0.9%).

This is a table with the changing revenue at different rates. The right column indicates the total change from the current revenue.

[thumb21]

May 2018
Archive

1st May: Complete Budget (hopefully):

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Tweaked Health-care a bit. The confusion seems to come from the layout of the section, so I tweaked it a little, if the committee doesn't mind this. I also found an error in the tax code which I've fixed. Any more concerns?

28th May: Lincoln Senate Debate begins:
Debating thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=292926.0
Commentary thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=292900.0

[NeverAgain]

The removal of the cap on social security tax would generate an extra 75.62 million.

No cap applies to the healthcare payroll tax (although earnings above $200k are charged an extra 0.9%).

This is a table with the changing revenue at different rates. The right column indicates the total change from the current revenue.

I believe you mean "The removal of the cap on social security tax would generate an extra 75.62 Billion."

Also, I want to contrast a bit with your numbers. Maybe you are doing it differently, but it seems that you are just multiplying the percentage amount reduction by the total amount of payroll revenue. If so, that does neglect some of the dynamic changes that are caused by payroll changes.

May I suggest that you use this website. I use it for all tax policy, and they reference dynamic along with real American totals.

My totals, according to the AEF TaxBrain:

Repeal of the Payroll Tax Cap (No other changes): +$167.0B in 2018
Reduction to 12% (with Payroll Tax Cap): +$133.1B in 2018
Reduction to 11% (with Payroll Tax Cap): +$48.5B in 2018
Reduction to 10% (with Payroll Tax Cap): -$36.2B in 2018

Your Healthcare Tax results look great!

[thumb21]

The removal of the cap on social security tax would generate an extra 75.62 million.

No cap applies to the healthcare payroll tax (although earnings above $200k are charged an extra 0.9%).

This is a table with the changing revenue at different rates. The right column indicates the total change from the current revenue.

I believe you mean "The removal of the cap on social security tax would generate an extra 75.62 Billion."

Also, I want to contrast a bit with your numbers. Maybe you are doing it differently, but it seems that you are just multiplying the percentage amount reduction by the total amount of payroll revenue. If so, that does neglect some of the dynamic changes that are caused by payroll changes.

May I suggest that you use this website. I use it for all tax policy, and they reference dynamic along with real American totals.

My totals, according to the AEF TaxBrain:

Repeal of the Payroll Tax Cap (No other changes): +$167.0B in 2018
Reduction to 12% (with Payroll Tax Cap): +$133.1B in 2018
Reduction to 11% (with Payroll Tax Cap): +$48.5B in 2018
Reduction to 10% (with Payroll Tax Cap): -$36.2B in 2018

Your Healthcare Tax results look great!

Ok thanks.

[Mr. Reactionary]

I need to show you my social security plan. It eliminates the cap among other changes.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The basis behind the request was to begin looking at alternatives to the payroll tax and ways to scale that back since it has adverse effects on employment.


Also to make sure that both healthcare and social security were sustainable.

[thumb21]

Leave of Absence

This month, starting from the 5th and ending on the 18th, I will have almost daily exams. I will still be around but I won't have the time to complete any revenue studies, budgets and other tasks as part of my role as Deputy Game Moderator. As such, I am taking a leave of absence.

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reserved

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reserved

[thumb21]

Leave of Absence

Starting tomorrow afternoon, I won't be able to be online much for 10 days. I should have enough time to comment and vote on bills but I won't be writing any bills.

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Office of the Debate Moderator

Welcome! I've just sworn in, now time to get to work. More information will be out soon.

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For reference: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=307109.0

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Statement on Presidential Debates

With the campaign for president is ramping up, a debate should be held but I don't feel I'd be the best moderator for this debate. If anyone else wants to host, I'll help them out and coordinate with them. If anyone has any comments on this or wants to host the debate, post them here or PM me.

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I've started organizing a presidential debate.

As I said in my last statement, if someone else wants to host, please tell me.

[thumb21]

I have resigned.

Thanks everyone, we had more debates in the last 4 months than for a long time!

I think that this is an important institution so I hope the President makes it a priority to find a new Debate Moderator.

[Fmr. Representative Encke]

Sad to see you leave the position, you were an excellent moderator. Thank you for your service.

[thumb21]

Sad to see you leave the position, you were an excellent moderator. Thank you for your service.

Thanks!

[wxtransit]

I have resigned.

Thanks everyone, we had more debates in the last 4 months than for a long time!

I think that this is an important institution so I hope the President makes it a priority to find a new Debate Moderator.

oof 

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

I really appreciated the debates. Thanks for managing them!