YouGuv Polling Results Thread (Declared candidates within 3% of eachother)

[thumb21]

This is the results thread for YouGuv, Atlasia's newest pollster.

POLLS:
YOUGUV VOTING INTENTIONS POLL 01/01/2018 - 05/01/2018
YOUGUV POLLS RELEASE 06/02/2018 - 08/02/2018
YOUGUV POLLS RELEASE 12/02/2018 - 16/02/2018

EXIT POLLS/PROJECTIONS:
SOUTHERN SENATE ELECTION 9/2/2018-12/2/2018

[thumb21]

YOUGUV VOTING INTENTIONS POLL 01/01/2018 - 05/01/2018

Methodology:
This poll was conducted by collecting responses from as many Atlasians as possible and then weighing those results based on party affiliation, region and turnout. The poll had 28 respondents and was conducted over a 5 day period. The margin of error is 17.02.
Results:

QUESTION: Which of the  following potential presidential candidates would you vote for?

Fhtagn (Federalist) - 46%
Generic Alliancite - 23%
Generic Labourite - 20%
Generic Pacifist - 7%
Independent - 4%



QUESTION: Which of the following potential presidential candidates would you prefer?

Fhtagn (Federalist) - 54%
Generic Alliancite - 46%



QUESTION: Which of the following potential presidential candidates would you prefer?

Fhtagn (Federalist) - 50%
Generic Labourite - 50%



QUESTION: Which of the following officials do you approve of?   

President Fhtagn (F) - 55%
Vice President PiT (F) - 54%
Speaker N.C. Yankee (F) - 68%
President Pro Tempore Siren (P) - 63%
Chief Justice Windjammer (L) - 41%
Game Moderator Harry S Truman (L) - 66%
Secretary of State Mr. Reactionary (F) - 51%
Secretary of Internal Affairs RFayette (F) - 50%
Secretary of Federal Elections Peebs (P) - 69%
National Archivist TimTurner (L) - 37%
Southern Governor dfwlibertylover (A) - 46%
Fremont First Minister Kamala (P) - 50%
Lincoln Governor Lok (L) - 41%

Note: low approval in some cases may be due to that person being less well known.


If you want full access to the spreadsheet, contact me.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

46% when I'm not even doing anything right now

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

there are 4 people with over 60% approval, 2 of which are peace party members. Interesting.

[Bidenworth2020]

feds are 50% of voters. this is hard to believe

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

feds are 50% of voters. this is hard to believe

Keep in mind the MoE is 17%

[thumb21]

feds are 50% of voters. this is hard to believe

The results are weighed by party affiliation to take this into consideration. I also took turnout into consideration which tips the scales in the Federalists' favour further.

Obviously though, there were some issues. The sample size was small. When election season comes up and people are more active, hopefully I can get more responses.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I'd like to request that Youguv makes an election poll for the southern election. Quite a lot of us running and it can be hard to gauge public opinion.

[thumb21]

I'd like to request that Youguv makes an election poll for the southern election. Quite a lot of us running and it can be hard to gauge public opinion.

Sure.

[TheSaint250]

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

[thumb21]

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

Ah ok, I didn't know he was doing it. I don't want to step on his feet but he better hurry up

Thanks for the list also.

[wxtransit]

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

Ah ok, I didn't know he was doing it. I don't want to step on his feet but he better hurry up

Thanks for the list also.

Lol, I forgot, I was just too busy. I'll be making it today

[TheSaint250]

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

Ah ok, I didn't know he was doing it. I don't want to step on his feet but he better hurry up

Thanks for the list also.

Lol, I forgot, I was just too busy. I'll be making it today

Lol it’s no problem

[thumb21]

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

Ah ok, I didn't know he was doing it. I don't want to step on his feet but he better hurry up

Thanks for the list also.

Lol, I forgot, I was just too busy. I'll be making it today

Cool

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

By the way, its just Diptherian and that Atlas Wokers party bloke running for governor, right?

[TheSaint250]

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

Ah ok, I didn't know he was doing it. I don't want to step on his feet but he better hurry up

Thanks for the list also.

Lol, I forgot, I was just too busy. I'll be making it today

Cool

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

By the way, its just Diptherian and that Atlas Wokers party bloke running for governor, right?

I believe so.

Lol "Atlas Wokers"

[thumb21]

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

Ah ok, I didn't know he was doing it. I don't want to step on his feet but he better hurry up

Thanks for the list also.

Lol, I forgot, I was just too busy. I'll be making it today

Cool

I believe wxtransit said he would do a poll on the Southern election, but if you would like to do one as well, here is the candidate list that we put together:

Running
-FairBol (Federalist)
-TimTurner (Labor)
-Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
-weatherboy1102 (Labor)
-Lechasseaur (Federalist)
-Bagel23 (Federalist)
-TheSaint250 (Federalist)
-CrypticParrot (Federalist)

Not Yet Announced:
-BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
-Carpetbagger (Federalist)
-IceAgeComing (Labor)

Not Running for Re-Election:
-Diptherian (Federalist)
-DTC (Federalist)

EDIT: DTC will be running with his new party. New list below:

Running:

Bagel23 (Federalist)
CrypticParrot (Federalist)
DTC (Progressive Union)
FairBol (Federalist)
Lechasseaur (Federalist)
Mr. Reactionary (Federalist)
TheSaint250 (Federalist)
TimTurner (Labor)
weatherboy1102 (Labor)


Not Yet Announced:

BlueDogDemocrat (Federalist)
Carpetbagger (Federalist)
IceAgeComing (Labor)


Not Running for Re-Election:

Diptherian (Federalist)

By the way, its just Diptherian and that Atlas Wokers party bloke running for governor, right?

I believe so.

Lol "Atlas Wokers"

Oops. Lol.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

feds are 50% of voters. this is hard to believe

The results are weighed by party affiliation to take this into consideration. I also took turnout into consideration which tips the scales in the Federalists' favour further.

Obviously though, there were some issues. The sample size was small. When election season comes up and people are more active, hopefully I can get more responses.

We often go through cycles in terms of whether the Federalist Party over polls or under polls.

Over - 2013-2014
Under   2014-2015
Over 2015-2016
Under 2016- 2017

[thumb21]

feds are 50% of voters. this is hard to believe

The results are weighed by party affiliation to take this into consideration. I also took turnout into consideration which tips the scales in the Federalists' favour further.

Obviously though, there were some issues. The sample size was small. When election season comes up and people are more active, hopefully I can get more responses.

We often go through cycles in terms of whether the Federalist Party over polls or under polls.

Over - 2013-2014
Under   2014-2015
Over 2015-2016
Under 2016- 2017

Interesting.

[thumb21]

YOUGUV POLLS RELEASE 06/02/2018 - 08/02/2018

Please read:
> The candidates shown on the survey were those registered at the time that the poll was launched, although some have decided to write in newly declared candidates.
> It is important to remember that this poll is weighed so the results are more representative of Atlasian voters.
> I am fairly confident about the accuracy of the presidential poll and federal approval ratings.
> However, the results of elections with a lot of options like the House election and the regional results are less likely to be accurate.
> If you want full access to the spreadsheet, contact me.

FEDERAL YOUGUV VOTING INTENTIONS POLL 06/02/2018 - 08/02/2018

Methodology:
This poll was conducted by collecting responses from as many Atlasians as possible and then weighing those results based on party affiliation and turnout. The turnout model is used on questions about elections but not on approval rating questions. The poll had 35 respondents and was conducted over a 3 day period. The margin of error is 14.9.
Results:

QUESTION: Which of the following presidential tickets will you vote for?

Fhtagn/PiT (Federalist): 53%
Pericles/Wells (Progressive Union/Peace): 31%
Spiral/Adam Griffin (Alliance/Labour): 16%

FED hold

QUESTION: In these potential match-ups, which presidential ticket would you vote for?         

Fhtagn/PiT (Federalist): 56%
Pericles/Wells (Progressive Union/Peace): 44%

Fhtagn/PiT (Federalist): 57%
Spiral/Adam Griffin (Alliance/Labour): 43%

Pericles/Wells (Progressive Union/Peace): 55%
Spiral/Adam Griffin (Alliance/Labour): 45%

QUESTION: Which of the following presidential tickets will win, in your opinion?                           
Fhtagn/PiT (Federalist): 72%
Pericles/Wells (Progressive Union/Peace): 17%
Don't know: 9%
Spiral/Adam Griffin (Alliance/Labour): 3%

QUESTION: Which of the following candidates will you be giving your first preference in the upcoming House of Representatives election?

Personal:
The Govanah Jake (Labour): 27%
Peebs (Peace): 22%
JGibson (Progressive Union): 12%
North Carolina Yankee (Federalist): 9%
ReaganClinton20XX (Federalist): 9%
Wxtransit (Alliance): 6%
RFayette (Federalist): 5%
Oakvale (Federalist): 5%
Politicalmasta73 (Federalist): 5%

Party:
Federalist: 33% - 5 seats (-1)
Labour: 27% - 1 seat (0)
Peace: 22% - 1 seat (0)
Progressive Union: 12% - 1 seat (+1)
Alliance: 6% - 1 seat (0)

FED majority

QUESTION: In your opinion, is Atlasia headed in the right direction?                        
No: 49%
Yes: 44%
Don't know: 7%

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the following parties?                        



QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the following representatives?                        



QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the following senators?                        



QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the work of the following non-legislative Office Holders?

FREMONT YOUGUV VOTING INTENTIONS POLL 06/02/2018 - 08/02/2018

Methodology:
This poll was conducted by collecting responses from as many Atlasians as possible and then weighing those results based on party affiliation and turnout. The turnout model is used on questions about elections but not on approval rating questions. The poll had 9 respondents and was conducted over a 3 day period. The margin of error is 29.88.
Results:

QUESTION: Which of the following Senate candidates will you vote for if Lumine gets the Alliance nomination?

Lumine (Alliance): 86%
WI: HenryWallaceVP (Labour): 14%

ALL gain

QUESTION: Which of the following Senate candidates will you vote for if Simfan34 gets the Alliance nomination?

Simfan34 (Alliance): 73%
WI: HenryWallaceVP (Labour): 27%

ALL gain

QUESTION: Which of the following First Minister candidates will you vote for?                     

DFL (Alliance): 100%

ALL hold

QUESTION: Which of the following Parliamentary candidates will you give first preference?                        

Personal:
YE (Independent): 32%
KoopaDaQuick (Federalist): 31%
Tedbessell (Progressive Union): 27%
Jk2020 (Mario): 9%
MB298 (Progressive Union): 0%
First Minister's seat (Alliance)

Party:
Alliance: 0% - 1 seat (-1)
Independent: 32% - 1 seat (0)
Federalist: 31% - 1 seat (-1)
Progressive Union: 27% - 1 seat (-1)
Mario: 9% - 1 seats (+1)

No plurality

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the work of the following Fremont politicians?                           

LINCOLN YOUGUV VOTING INTENTIONS POLL 06/02/2018 - 08/02/2018

Methodology:
This poll was conducted by collecting responses from as many Atlasians as possible and then weighing those results based on party affiliation and turnout. The turnout model is used on questions about elections but not on approval rating questions. The poll had 15 respondents and was conducted over a 3 day period. The margin of error is 22.32.
Results:

QUESTION: Which of the following Senate candidates will you vote for?                           

WI: Cinyc (Independent): 85%
WI: Alliance candidate (Alliance): 10%
WI: Oh na na na na na Havana ohh na na (Independent): 6%

IND hold

QUESTION: Which of the following Gubernatorial candidates will you vote for?                           

1184AZ (Federalist): 68%
Kingpoleon (Independent): 23%
WI: Alliance candidate (Alliance): 10%

FED gain

QUESTION: Which of the following Assembly candidates will you give first preference?                           

Personal:
Jimmy7812 (Federalist): 33%
Not_Madigan (Alliance): 21%
SWE (Peace): 18%
Ninja0428 (Progressive Union): 17%
Enduro (Federalist): 11%

Party:
Federalist: 44% - 2 seats (0)
Alliance: 21% - 1 seat (+1)
Peace: 18% - 1 seat (0)
Progressive Union: 17% - 1 seat (+1)

FED plurality

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the work of the following Lincoln politicians?                           

SOUTH YOUGUV VOTING INTENTIONS POLL 06/02/2018 - 08/02/2018

Methodology:
This poll was conducted by collecting responses from as many Atlasians as possible and then weighing those results based on party affiliation and turnout. The turnout model is used on questions about elections but not on approval rating questions. The poll had 11 respondents and was conducted over a 3 day period. The margin of error is 27.14.
Results:

QUESTION: Which of the following Senate candidates will you vote for?                           

New Tennessean Politician (Alliance): 29%
WI: TheShadowyAbyss (Liberal Democrats): 27%
WI: Diptheriadan (Fed): 23%
WI: Peebs (Peace): 8%
WI: Weatherboy1102 (Progressive Union): 7%
WI: Wxtransit (All): 5%

ALL hold

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the work of the following Southern politicians?                           

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

>Razze and the Peace Party both at 69% approval
Nice
Also nice is the sky-high approvals for me, but not as nice as Razze and Pax getting 69%.

[thumb21]

>Razze and the Peace Party both at 69% approval
Nice
Also nice is the sky-high approvals for me, but not as nice as Razze and Pax getting 69%.

[Bidenworth2020]

a lot of this doesn't add up to me, but overall freedom poll

[diptheriadan]

How many people voted in the Southern poll?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Lol, poll has me behind in my Senate race but I'm currently heading for landslide territory.

[thumb21]

a lot of this doesn't add up to me, but overall freedom poll

Thanks!

How many people voted in the Southern poll?

The poll had 11 respondents and was conducted over a 3 day period. The margin of error is 27.14.

Lol, poll has me behind in my Senate race but I'm currently heading for landslide territory.

> The candidates shown on the survey were those registered at the time that the poll was launched, although some have decided to write in newly declared candidates.

You weren't a declared candidate when the poll was launched. However, after you declared, some people wrote you in. Had you declared a bit earlier, the poll would have predicted the result more accurately because you would have been on the ballot.