CA-GOV: Newsom vs. ???

[I’m not Stu]

Newsom could lose to another Democrat.

[Coastal Elitist]

Ose dropped out.

Why did the strongest GOP candidate leave the race?

He was only polling at 4% and wasn't raising any money. Cox is the strongest because he's actually raising money.

[Coastal Elitist]

So, I know some people don't trust polls, because they aren't ever polled. I actually was yesterday. I was sent an online survey. It asked about approval for President, Governor, Senator and select gubernatorial candidates. It also played ads for Chiang, Villariagosa, Newsom and Cox and asked what I thought of each. It asked specific questions about Newsom and Villariagosa. It also asked who I would vote for in the primary and how enthusiastic I was about voting. It asked me four times throughout the survey who I would for and if the campaign ads I saw would make me change my mind.

The candidates to choose from were in order:
Lieutenant Governor/Businessman, Gavin Newsom (D)
Akinyemi Agdebe (D)
CEO/Educator/Artist, Klement Tinaj (D)
California State Treasurer, John Chiang (D)
Virtual Reality Manager, Shubham Goel (No party)
Retired Medical Doctor, J. Bribiesca (D)
COO, Department of Justice, Amanda Renteria (D)
Servant Leader, Jeffrey Edward Taylor (No party)
Environmental Organization Executive, Michael Schellenberger (D)
Blockchain Startup CEO, Jefferson Cares (D)
Bridget B. Duffy (G)
Businessman, Antonio Villariagosa (D)
Zoltan Istvan (L)
Retired Educator, Albert Caesar Mezzetti (No Party)
Business Owner/Truck Driver, Johnny Watenburg (R)
Businessman/Taxpayer Advocate, John H. Cox (R)
Policomedian, Peter Y Liu (R)
Assemblyman/Businessman, Travis Allen (R)
CEO/Business owner, Hakan Mikado (No Party)
Entrepreneur/Economist/Father, Robert Davidson Griffiths (D)
Education/Youth Advocate, Delaine Eastin (D)

Lastly there was a choice for Other options, undecided and would not vote. I thought I would share this and see if anyone else was surveyed.

[Coastal Elitist]

Another poll for March from Public Policy Institute of California has Newsom first and Cox surging into second. 24% of voters are still undecided and most are Republicans and Independents. This race is getting closer and close to D vs R, like I said from the beginning.

http://www.ppic.org/wp-content/uploads/s-318mbs.pdf

[Coastal Elitist]

The California Voter Information Guide is out and 27 candidates have been confirmed for Governor. The ones with an asterick have a statement in the guide. It's interesting that Newsom, Villariagosa and Chiang don't have statements.

Gavin Newsom Democratic
Robert C. Newman II*, Republican
Delaine Eastin*, Democratic
Klement Tinaj*, Democratic
Jeffrey Edward Taylor*, No Party Preference
Peter Y. Liu*, Republican
Gloria Estela La Riva*, Peace and Freedom
Yvonne Girard*, Republican
Robert Davidson Griffis*, Democratic
Shubham Goel*, No Party Preference
Thomas Jefferson Cares*, Democratic
Christopher N. Carlson*, Green
John Chiang, Democratic
John H. Cox*, Republican
Josh Jones*, Green
J. Bribiesca*, Democratic
Zoltan Istvan*, Libertarian
Amanda Renteria*, Democratic
Travis Allen*, Republican
Akinyemi Agbede*, Democratic
Desmond Silveira*, No Party Preference
Michael Shellenberger*, Democratic
Nickolas Wildstar*, Libertarian
Johnny Wattenburg*, No Party Preference
Antonio Villaraigosa, Democratic
Albert Caesar Mezetti*, No Party Preference
Hakan “Hawk” Mikado, No Party Preference

[Joey1996]

Wait so the main Republican in the race is running as a progressive? Wtf?

[TheSaint250]

Wait so the main Republican in the race is running as a progressive? Wtf?

Just because he is against donors controlling politicians?

[I’m not Stu]

There are far more confirmed Democrats than Republicans currently running. The latest poll seems to have a correlation.

[MAINEiac4434]

Wait so the main Republican in the race is running as a progressive? Wtf?

No. This is a thing Republicans in Maine do, too. Paul LePage was a publicly financed candidate for god’s sake.

[I’m not Stu]

Does Eastin win any counties in the primary or runoff (if she makes it)?

[Coastal Elitist]

Does Eastin win any counties in the primary or runoff (if she makes it)?

She won't win any. On another note tonight at 6:30 PM is another governor debate. It's the first one on TV at least in Los Angeles it's on NBC4 at 7:00 PM and it's being streamed live on their Facebook page and website.

[tallguy23]

Newsom didn't show up to the debate tonight which was a very bad choice. Eastin actually was amazing and drew the most cheers and applause. She had the most personality and passion on stage.

Chiang and Villargosia were dull, Allen was well spoken but stuck to talking points, and Cox was trying to be Trump.

You can watch the debate here: http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-rivals-in-the-california-governor-s-race-1522123513-htmlstory.html

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Newsom is getting tired of the whole debating thing:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-front-runner-gavin-newsom-to-sit-out-1522266105-htmlstory.html

[_]

Oh this will end well for him, surely.

[MAINEiac4434]

Oh this will end well for him, surely.

He’s still gonna make the runoff. Most money, establishment support, etc.

[_]

Oh this will end well for him, surely.

He’s still gonna make the runoff. Most money, establishment support, etc.

Yeah but that doesn't mean this won't cost him some support

[tallguy23]

Oh this will end well for him, surely.

He’s still gonna make the runoff. Most money, establishment support, etc.

Yeah but that doesn't mean this won't cost him some support

I went from being a hardcore Newsom supporter to leaning towards Eastin now. I don't like that he's not showing up to debates. He's playing the Hillary card of "I have it in the bag" and no one likes that.

[King Cobra]

Ose dropped out.

Why did the strongest GOP candidate leave the race?

Because he wasn't the strongest GOP candidate?

He would've been in a general election

[MAINEiac4434]

Ose dropped out.

Why did the strongest GOP candidate leave the race?

Because he wasn't the strongest GOP candidate?

He would've been in a general election

The GOP candidate is not getting more than 40% of the vote. Unless you think that Allen or Cox will get significantly less than that (which I don’t, I think that’s the GOP’s floor and cieling).

[Canis]

Travis Allen and John Cox both made websites attacking each other for being RINOd
http://truthabouttravis.com
http://truthaboutjohncox.com/
Also a super pac backing jonn Chaing made a website attacking newsom and it's devastating I'm now backing Chiang
https://youdontknowgavin.com/

[MAINEiac4434]

Chiang running for Gov instead of LG seems like a tragic misstep...he had to have known that Newsom and Villaraigosa would run, and he should've known he lacked the money and name rec to take them on. He could've run for LG, and set himself up for 2026.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I was planning on Taking One For The Team so to speak by voting for someone as odious as Villaraigosa for the sole purpose of getting a second Democrat in the runoff, but the dude is just so beyond-the-pale awful that I'm resigned to voting for Eastin, the only Democrat committed to repealing Costa-Hawkins. It's a shame she (or Chiang, for that matter) didn't run for Lieutenant Governor seeing as how pathetically weak the field is.

What??? Newsom is the odious one. Besides, rent-control is always awful, and everybody knows it.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Travis Allen and John Cox both made websites attacking each other for being RINOd
http://truthabouttravis.com
http://truthaboutjohncox.com/
Also a super pac backing jonn Chaing made a website attacking newsom and it's devastating I'm now backing Chiang
https://youdontknowgavin.com/

The funny thing is that they are both implying that the other is pro-choice (which I wouldn't think they would do unless they were positioning themselves as pro-life).  Does anyone know either of their actual positions?

[Canis]

Travis Allen and John Cox both made websites attacking each other for being RINOd
http://truthabouttravis.com
http://truthaboutjohncox.com/
Also a super pac backing jonn Chaing made a website attacking newsom and it's devastating I'm now backing Chiang
https://youdontknowgavin.com/

The funny thing is that they are both implying that the other is pro-choice (which I wouldn't think they would do unless they were positioning themselves as pro-life).  Does anyone know either of their actual positions?

Cox seems to be the more pro life out of the two Allen has voted for pro-choice stuff in the assembly 
Plus all the pro-life groups are backing Cox

[dhalsim2]

The funny thing is that they are both implying that the other is pro-choice (which I wouldn't think they would do unless they were positioning themselves as pro-life).  Does anyone know either of their actual positions?

Cox seems to be the more pro life out of the two Allen has voted for pro-choice stuff in the assembly 
Plus all the pro-life groups are backing Cox

Allen isn't actually pro-life.  John Cox is indeed pro-life, but for the people that make the pro-life agenda their top priority, Cox isn't pro-life enough.  He isn't making it a campaign issue.  People are turning to Desmond Silveira to represent the pro-life camp.