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December 11, 2019, 05:19:52 pm
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  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginia)
  CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
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Question: Yes or no?
#1
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Total Voters: 16

Author Topic: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?  (Read 922 times)
ERM64man
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« on: April 11, 2018, 12:02:08 pm »

CA-39's Democratic base is largely Hispanic and located in Hacienda Heights. Cisneros is the leading Democrat in the polls. Does he make the runoff?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2018, 12:02:34 pm »

I think so.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2018, 12:06:08 pm »

It would be odd to see him fail to make the runoff when he would likely have a base in Hacienda Heights, the district's key Democratic stronghold.
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2018, 12:28:07 pm »

Sure.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2018, 12:36:42 pm »

Cisneros has the establishment support. I would be surprised to see some other Democrat advance instead.
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Theodore
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« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2018, 12:42:08 pm »

Obviously
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2018, 12:43:08 pm »

espero que sí
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ERM64man
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« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2018, 12:46:28 pm »
« Edited: April 11, 2018, 12:49:33 pm by ERM64man »

It's not obvious. Democrats are running more candidates (mostly carpetbaggers). Republicans have two frontrunners who live in the district (two polls show Kim and Huff in the top two). Thorburn could also make the runoff instead of Cisneros despite running in a district with its Democratic base in largely Hispanic LA County communities.
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DINO Tom
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« Reply #8 on: April 11, 2018, 12:54:30 pm »

Yes and he'll win the GE
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ERM64man
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« Reply #9 on: April 11, 2018, 12:59:03 pm »

Will Cisneros beat Thorburn for the runoff spot?
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ERM64man
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« Reply #10 on: April 12, 2018, 01:59:10 pm »

Would Cisneros win a D vs. D runoff against Thorburn?
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ERM64man
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« Reply #11 on: April 12, 2018, 07:02:46 pm »

I will eat my hat if it's Thorburn or R vs. R.
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