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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 126496 times)
Jbrase
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« Reply #625 on: March 04, 2018, 03:25:39 pm »

Oh, I'm pissed with Lamb, pro tarriffs, really?! God darnit, I'm gonna take down his stupid a$$ sign. Too many straws on this camel. (Ik my opinion, endorsements, and actions don't matter, but it's just a thing I do, ok.)

So you'll support the torture guy who supports the tariffs 110%? Ditto with gun control?

No, definately not. Neither one. If forced, still Lamb, but otherwise, no.

There is always Drew Miller the Libertarian Tongue

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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #626 on: March 04, 2018, 04:07:39 pm »

Oh, I'm pissed with Lamb, pro tarriffs, really?! God darnit, I'm gonna take down his stupid a$$ sign. Too many straws on this camel. (Ik my opinion, endorsements, and actions don't matter, but it's just a thing I do, ok.)

So you'll support the torture guy who supports the tariffs 110%? Ditto with gun control?

No, definately not. Neither one. If forced, still Lamb, but otherwise, no.

There is always Drew Miller the Libertarian Tongue



He does not even live in the district, so no.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #627 on: March 04, 2018, 05:04:30 pm »

I swear to God he better not say anything remotely pro-Life.
He already took care of that issue for you.  He said he wouldn't have voted for the 20-week plus abortion ban.
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Cath
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« Reply #628 on: March 04, 2018, 09:35:59 pm »

I would rail Conor all night, like seriously look



Please don't be that profane here.

"Profane" refers to the violation of that which is sacred; saying the Lord's name in vain, for example. You mean "obscene". Interestingly enough, C.S. Lewis in The Screwtape Letters, I believe, noted that Protestants were more likely to use profanity, and Catholics obscenity.

Grammar nazis everywhere...

*Grammar nationalist.
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Arch
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« Reply #629 on: March 04, 2018, 09:44:56 pm »

I would rail Conor all night, like seriously look



Please don't be that profane here.

"Profane" refers to the violation of that which is sacred; saying the Lord's name in vain, for example. You mean "obscene". Interestingly enough, C.S. Lewis in The Screwtape Letters, I believe, noted that Protestants were more likely to use profanity, and Catholics obscenity.

Grammar nazis everywhere...

*Grammar nationalist.

Lmao
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Badger
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« Reply #630 on: March 05, 2018, 03:53:27 am »

https://twitter.com/hotlinejosh/status/970282763415941120?s=21

Goodbye "Trump tax cuts", hello "Lamb wants MS-13 to babysit your grandchildren."

"Here’s how tricky things have gotten for Republicans: GOP outside groups have dramatically scaled back their ads promoting the party’s tax cut, with the messaging barely moving the needle in the district’s working-class confines. The latest round of advertisements focus on law-and-order issues, like immigration and crime. A new spot from the Paul Ryan-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund super PAC slams Lamb for supporting “amnesty to illegal immigrants” because he “worked in the Obama administration.” A National Republican Congressional Committee ad portrays Lamb as soft on crime because he negotiated a plea deal with a notorious drug kingpin during his tenure as a federal prosecutor. These culture-war ads are reminiscent of those run by Ed Gillespie in his failed Virginia gubernatorial campaign, and they carry the whiff of desperation."
And on the flip side https://mobile.twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/970311872334454785

This ad will make krazey's head explode.

Oh, so there's two good things about it.

Makes me want to add it as a Sig in the hope it actually works.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #631 on: March 05, 2018, 04:47:38 am »

I would rail Conor all night, like seriously look



Please don't be that profane here.

"Profane" refers to the violation of that which is sacred; saying the Lord's name in vain, for example. You mean "obscene". Interestingly enough, C.S. Lewis in The Screwtape Letters, I believe, noted that Protestants were more likely to use profanity, and Catholics obscenity.

Grammar nazis everywhere...

*Grammar nationalist.

Omg... damn, that's good. If I was one to put forum quotes in my signature, that'd be a winner.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #632 on: March 05, 2018, 09:00:12 am »

Lol Salena Zito knows Lamb is gonna win and is already setting the new narrative:

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Malcolm X is Feeling the Bern
jdb
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« Reply #633 on: March 05, 2018, 09:46:54 am »

I wonder if anyone actually thinks Lamb would vote against Pelosi for speaker if it came down to his vote Tongue
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yoman82
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« Reply #634 on: March 05, 2018, 09:56:51 am »

Did nobody see the Emerson poll with Lamb +3?
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Arch
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« Reply #635 on: March 05, 2018, 09:57:24 am »

Did nobody see the Emerson poll with Lamb +3?

o.O?
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Arch
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« Reply #636 on: March 05, 2018, 09:58:23 am »

Emerson: PA-18 (474 LV)

Lamb (D): 48
Saccone (R): 45

D+3

Link: https://gallery.mailchimp.com/5d83bc45f4839ff4fb96bb8b8/files/4c844b0f-5529-417e-b125-3e880511a1e3/ECP_PA18_3.5.18_PR.pdf


Other tidbits:
-7% of LV undecided
-"It’s voter excitement that might put Lamb over the top. When asked about level of excitement among
voters about the election, 63% of Lamb voters reported being very excited compared to 53% of Saccone voters. Lamb voters also are paying more attention to the race, with 47% reported paying a lot of attention, compared to 42% of Saccone voters."
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YE
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« Reply #637 on: March 05, 2018, 10:01:05 am »

Tossup but Emerson isn't a good pollster.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #638 on: March 05, 2018, 10:01:51 am »

Is this the first Emerson poll out of this race? Emerson isn't great but if anything haven't they tended to lean R?
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Buckhead Kelly
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« Reply #639 on: March 05, 2018, 10:05:42 am »

Is there any other incoming polls for this district. The trend is definitely in Lamb favor if the election is 50/50 on election night then Lamb should squeak one out.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #640 on: March 05, 2018, 10:07:06 am »

Lamb surges into the lead on Predictit and now leads Saccone 57c - 43c.
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Arch
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« Reply #641 on: March 05, 2018, 10:11:30 am »

As I said a while ago, the longer this goes, the better for Lamb.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #642 on: March 05, 2018, 10:12:50 am »

Is there any other incoming polls for this district. The trend is definitely in Lamb favor if the election is 50/50 on election night then Lamb should squeak one out.

Gravis is supposed to release one tomorrow.
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PA is Lean D
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« Reply #643 on: March 05, 2018, 11:46:44 am »

Btw, if Conor wins (Which looks likelier by the day) he becomes the favorite to challenge Toomey in 2022.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #644 on: March 05, 2018, 12:04:08 pm »

Btw, if Conor wins (Which looks likelier by the day) he becomes the favorite to challenge Toomey in 2022.


Ehhh.... Post-2020/2022 redistricting one of (new) PA-07, PA-08, PA-17, and obviously PA-10 are going to become less friendly to the Dems due to a neighboring R seat getting chopped. Whoever finds themselves without a seat probably challenges Toomey 100% of the time. So perhaps it will be Lamb, but he may settle in and we see Cartwright take up the banner in 2022. Except for the PA-07 guy, they all seem like fine candidates.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #645 on: March 05, 2018, 12:05:03 pm »

Emerson College: Lamb +3.
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PA is Lean D
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #646 on: March 05, 2018, 12:05:50 pm »

Btw, if Conor wins (Which looks likelier by the day) he becomes the favorite to challenge Toomey in 2022.


Ehhh.... Post-2020/2022 redistricting one of (new) PA-07, PA-08, PA-17, and obviously PA-10 are going to become less friendly to the Dems due to a neighboring R seat getting chopped. Whoever finds themselves without a seat probably challenges Toomey 100% of the time. So perhaps it will be Lamb, but he may settle in and we see Cartwright take up the banner in 2022. Except for the PA-07 guy, they all seem like fine candidates.

I don't really understand what you are trying to say but PA-17 is a tossup. It also happens to be the district that Lamb now lives in so he's likely to win it. He's young and energetic and that's what the Democrats need and that's who they are going to put up against the Tumor.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #647 on: March 05, 2018, 12:15:37 pm »

Btw, if Conor wins (Which looks likelier by the day) he becomes the favorite to challenge Toomey in 2022.


Ehhh.... Post-2020/2022 redistricting one of (new) PA-07, PA-08, PA-17, and obviously PA-10 are going to become less friendly to the Dems due to a neighboring R seat getting chopped. Whoever finds themselves without a seat probably challenges Toomey 100% of the time. So perhaps it will be Lamb, but he may settle in and we see Cartwright take up the banner in 2022. Except for the PA-07 guy, they all seem like fine candidates.

I don't really understand what you are trying to say but PA-17 is a tossup. It also happens to be the district that Lamb now lives in so he's likely to win it. He's young and energetic and that's what the Democrats need and that's who they are going to put up against the Tumor.

Fetterman is a possibility too
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DemocraticKing
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« Reply #648 on: March 05, 2018, 12:25:37 pm »


Amazing news. It is Emerson, but it follows the trend we have been seeing.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #649 on: March 05, 2018, 12:29:31 pm »

Lamb's probably going to win, the trend is all towards his direction.
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