PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 04:53:44 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 23 24 25 26 27 [28] 29 30 31 32 33 ... 103
Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 197710 times)
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,620
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #675 on: March 05, 2018, 05:11:53 PM »

I assume other than the primaries this will be our last electoral test until the midterms.


There is AZ-08 and the jungle primaries in California.
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #676 on: March 05, 2018, 05:15:07 PM »

I assume other than the primaries this will be our last electoral test until the midterms.


There is AZ-08 and the jungle primaries in California.

Also the Ohio race.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,249
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #677 on: March 05, 2018, 05:29:39 PM »

Solid, if you're going off of my phone banking then your prediction isn't accurate. Far more are saying Lamb, I'm just saying people are so nice and it's difficult when even the nicest say they are voting Saccone.

Well, I assume like most phone banks that you are targeting at least undecided to soft democratic voters, or possibly even just get out the vote for historically reliable Democrat votes. Even if it's the former, you should expect a significant lamb advantage, as not too many reliable let alone hardcore Republican voters are going to slip into your call list ( with inevitable exceptions of course).
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,933
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #678 on: March 05, 2018, 05:41:01 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2018, 05:49:08 PM by PittsburghSteel »

I'm not getting my hopes up. Still expect a small Saccone victory, especially if Trump's approval keeps edging up as it is now.

It's. Not. "Edging". UP.

Even when it improved to the mid 40s after the tax bill passed the Republicans still lost special elections, and saw significant swings against their candidates.

Limo, we all know you're a closet Republican and you're still questioning yourself, but this trolling is still really pathetic.
Logged
VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,682
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #679 on: March 05, 2018, 05:42:27 PM »

I'm not getting my hopes up. Still expect a small Saccone victory, especially if Trump's approval keeps edging up as it is now.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,933
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #680 on: March 05, 2018, 05:47:33 PM »

Solid, if you're going off of my phone banking then your prediction isn't accurate. Far more are saying Lamb, I'm just saying people are so nice and it's difficult when even the nicest say they are voting Saccone.

Well, I assume like most phone banks that you are targeting at least undecided to soft democratic voters, or possibly even just get out the vote for historically reliable Democrat votes. Even if it's the former, you should expect a significant lamb advantage, as not too many reliable let alone hardcore Republican voters are going to slip into your call list ( with inevitable exceptions of course).

It was a random HubDialer, so you're incorrect.
Logged
Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,201


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #681 on: March 05, 2018, 05:49:32 PM »

What exactly are you saying/asking on these calls?
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #682 on: March 05, 2018, 06:08:03 PM »

I'm phonebanking right now but nobody is answering.
Logged
King Lear
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 981
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #683 on: March 05, 2018, 07:33:05 PM »

In light of recent polling showing Lamb ahead, I've changed my rating for this race to Lean Republican. However, I still believe Saccone will pull it off in the end, albeit, by a much smaller margin then I originally thought.
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #684 on: March 05, 2018, 08:41:29 PM »

Guy on r/TheDonald says Saccone internals show Saccone +10: https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/comments/81q58w/pa18_going_back_in_the_right_direction_in_latest/dv8c005/
Therefore, race is Safe R now.
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,724


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #685 on: March 05, 2018, 08:46:01 PM »


You dropped this -> /s
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,933
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #686 on: March 05, 2018, 09:46:51 PM »


You suck at trolling.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,066


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #687 on: March 05, 2018, 09:47:37 PM »

Delete your account.
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,202
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #688 on: March 05, 2018, 09:48:41 PM »

Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #689 on: March 05, 2018, 09:50:11 PM »

I unenthusiastically want Lamb to win.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,933
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #690 on: March 05, 2018, 09:55:51 PM »

I honestly think Biden's rally is going to pretty much lock in Lamb's victory. Of course, that may be an exaggeration, but Joe is very smart to help out Conor here. It scores both of them a few points.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,249
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #691 on: March 05, 2018, 10:36:02 PM »

Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #692 on: March 05, 2018, 10:43:02 PM »

Sarcasm people. Sarcasm.
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,690
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #693 on: March 05, 2018, 11:02:46 PM »

Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,376
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #694 on: March 06, 2018, 03:17:51 AM »

Change my early prediction (Saccone by single digits) to pure tossup.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #695 on: March 06, 2018, 03:29:07 AM »

Well, I'd like to think that I've learned lessons from both GA-06 and AL-SEN. This race is legitimately looking like a Toss-Up, and if more polls show Lamb ahead, I probably will give him the edge. However, no one should be counting Saccone out, either. Watch this thread get derailed into pandemonium if the Gravis poll shows Saccone up by 1 or 2.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #696 on: March 06, 2018, 10:14:00 AM »

The momentum seems to be with Lamb... but this is a total Tossup. I’ll say Lamb+1, but I have little confidence in this prediction
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #697 on: March 06, 2018, 10:16:58 AM »

The momentum seems to be with Lamb... but this is a total Tossup. I’ll say Lamb+1, but I have little confidence in this prediction

By the way,
Am I the only one who doesn't really care about this special election? I mean, no matter the result Lamb will run in Rothfus' district.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #698 on: March 06, 2018, 10:21:08 AM »

The momentum seems to be with Lamb... but this is a total Tossup. I’ll say Lamb+1, but I have little confidence in this prediction

By the way,
Am I the only one who doesn't really care about this special election? I mean, no matter the result Lamb will run in Rothfus' district.

I imagine there would be a slight advantage for Lamb taking on Rothfus as a fellow incumbent. Plus it would probably help push some more Congressional Republicans to retirement.
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,976


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #699 on: March 06, 2018, 01:06:35 PM »

The momentum seems to be with Lamb... but this is a total Tossup. I’ll say Lamb+1, but I have little confidence in this prediction

By the way,
Am I the only one who doesn't really care about this special election? I mean, no matter the result Lamb will run in Rothfus' district.

I imagine there would be a slight advantage for Lamb taking on Rothfus as a fellow incumbent. Plus it would probably help push some more Congressional Republicans to retirement.

Something like this could have HUGE impacts on several other races like influencing Rick Scott on whether he should run.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 23 24 25 26 27 [28] 29 30 31 32 33 ... 103  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.056 seconds with 12 queries.