PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 200430 times)
Torrain
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« Reply #1800 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:01 PM »
Lamb leading by one point with 91% of precincts reporting
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cvparty
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« Reply #1801 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:04 PM »
.4% lead with 6% left Confused
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Sestak
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« Reply #1802 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:13 PM »
Washington in 90%...
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1803 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:16 PM »
Looks like a little more Red Washington came in.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1804 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:21 PM »
DOWN TO 700 VOTES
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1805 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:21 PM »
Quote from: Badger on March 13, 2018, 08:47:12 PM
Lamb has a lead of barely 2500 votes overall. Still a lot to be counted. This is going to be close.

Oh wow.
Lamb now leading by only 700 votes.
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History505
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« Reply #1806 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:24 PM »
Lamb up by 0.4.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1807 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:26 PM »
Westmoreland wasn't enough to put Saccone over Lamb.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1808 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:28 PM »
and we are under 0.5% folks.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1809 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:46 PM »

But that's after a lot of Westmoreland...
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Pennsylvania Deplorable
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« Reply #1810 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:51 PM »
Within half of one percent. Good news for Lamb is that 7% of Allegheny is left.
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Badger
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« Reply #1811 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:59 PM »
Quote from: Pennsylvania Deplorable on March 13, 2018, 08:53:50 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 13, 2018, 08:52:02 PM
Quote from: Pennsylvania Deplorable on March 13, 2018, 08:51:27 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 13, 2018, 08:50:27 PM
Quote from: Pennsylvania Deplorable on March 13, 2018, 08:49:07 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 13, 2018, 08:43:30 PM
Quote from: Pennsylvania Deplorable on March 13, 2018, 08:38:02 PM
Well, I guess this saves the GOP the trouble of having to defend a weak candidate like Saccone in November. Lamb would go to the new 17th and probably win, although a competent republican candidate could hit Lamb hard over issues like amnesty rather than raving about Pelosi, and likely provide a tough challenge even in a much more D friendly district.
I think it's pretty clear immigration isn't going to be the major billy club that the GOP hopes it will be...

Saccone's website barely mentioned it. Immigration is why Trump won, in both the primaries and the general. If Saccone was running ads quoting Lamb as supporting amnesty and opposing a border wall, he'd win. Instead, he went around saying democrats hate God and America. The evangelical wing of the GOP is dying, and this district never fit that profile anyway.

A Lou Barletta style republican would win there easily.
Trump didn't win the popular vote.  In Congressional, Senatorial, and gubernatorial elections, candidates win by popular vote.

He did in Pennsylvania, including winning PA-18 by a huge margin. You know that's what I'm talking about here.
The demographics for this mid-term are going to be completely different than 2016.

I'm talking about how Saccone could have won this specific district and how the GOP can win other similar Trump districts. Of course the midterm will favor democrats. The party out of the White House almost always gains. But there's no reason why republicans should lose districts where Trump won by this much.

Unless, and I know this is just a crazy thought here, when people don't have a choice of someone is unpopular is Hillary Clinton, they're having more than a little bit of buyer's remorse about Trump. Couldn't think why though....
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1812 on: March 13, 2018, 08:55:06 PM »
Westmoreland almost done.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1813 on: March 13, 2018, 08:55:17 PM »
Allegheny now the biggest source of remaining votes by a lot...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1814 on: March 13, 2018, 08:55:23 PM »
7% left of Allegheny, 10% left of Washington.

Recount will happen, but Lamb should have the advantage.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #1815 on: March 13, 2018, 08:55:31 PM »
But it should be canceled out by Allegheny's larger 93%
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1816 on: March 13, 2018, 08:55:46 PM »
More Allegheny, pushes Lamb to around 1,000 and .5% lead...
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #1817 on: March 13, 2018, 08:55:57 PM »
This race is exactly why I think polls and models are junk
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #1818 on: March 13, 2018, 08:56:17 PM »
Jeez this is close.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1819 on: March 13, 2018, 08:56:24 PM »
Lamb now leading by about 1000 votes.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1820 on: March 13, 2018, 08:56:26 PM »
Monmouth isn't looking great tonight.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1821 on: March 13, 2018, 08:56:40 PM »
well f**k
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1822 on: March 13, 2018, 08:56:51 PM »
13 of the 30 remaining precincts are in Washington.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1823 on: March 13, 2018, 08:57:10 PM »
3% of Westmoreland
10% of washington
5% of allegheny

whats left
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1824 on: March 13, 2018, 08:57:20 PM »
12 precincts remaining in Allegheny. They're Lamb leaning.
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