PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose

[Torrain]

If Lamb put PA-18 into play, then WI-01 has to be likely R at most. It would be incredible if Ryan could be Foley'd.

[Dr. Arch]

It looks like Lamb picked up another 10 votes from Greene absentees.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Watching Republicans trying to claim Lamb as their own is hilarious.

[Tintrlvr]

Basically, there'll be 200 absentee ballots from Greene that break 50-50, 200 provisional ballots counted that break 60-40 Lamb, and 200 military ballots counted that break 60-40 Saccone. The end result? Not a damn thing changes, neither in outcome nor in margin.

Even if 100% of those votes went to Saccone, he would still lose.

Didn't Doug Jones win the military ballots in Alabama? I would not assume they favor Saccone.

[Tintrlvr]

Interesting. The patterns are all very general, but it seems like Casey did best in super-Republican, ancestrally Republican areas, Wolf did best in ancestrally Democratic areas that have swung hard to the Republicans and Lamb did best in suburban areas that have swung towards the Democrats.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Lamb lead down to 627, still no way Saccone can take the win.

Ok, major networks, call the damn election.

[KingSweden]

Laura Ingraham is absolutely convinced that Lamb is a Republican at heart. Clearly, she knows none of his views.

https://twitter.com/IngrahamAngle/status/973900625581957120

This is like when Cory Gardner invited Doug Jones to join the GOP

[Gass3268]

Lamb lead down to 627, still no way Saccone can take the win.

Ok, major networks, call the damn election.

This was the Greene absentee votes.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Lamb lead down to 627, still no way Saccone can take the win.

Ok, major networks, call the damn election.

This was the Greene absentee votes.

I know. All the absentees are in now.

[Adam Griffin]

Apparently Greene's absentee votes were more GOP than the county as a whole...?

Lamb's margin dropped by exactly 50 votes and there were 200 absentees (approximately), meaning 125-75 Saccone (63% Saccone).

[McGovernForPrez]

114 GOP seats that are less Republican than this one. November just might be a bloodbath of epic proportions.

r

You really cannot believe all the GOP candidates in those districts will be as bad Saccone or all the Democrats as good as Lamb.

In comparing even Handel to Saccone, you can see how much better a candidate she was.  

Obviously they won't get 114, but the fact that up to 114 seats are in play means Dems are likely to pick up a ton of seats in less R leaning districts and net a few more reach districts too. Hell there are even more R leaning districts that could be in play like WV-03. If the trends we've seen hold true Democrats are gonna be picking up a whole of seats come midterms.

[junior chįmp]

Imagine being this cucked:

https://www.twitter.com/MEPFuller/status/973929635640741889

[DFL]

Imagine being this cucked:

https://www.twitter.com/MEPFuller/status/973929635640741889

“No other politician could’ve made this race as competitive as you did, Donald”

[Person Man]

Imagine being this cucked:

https://www.twitter.com/MEPFuller/status/973929635640741889

Poor guy.

[Kantakouzenos]

Are the absentee and military ballots going to be reported at the precinct level or the County level?

[john cage bubblegum]

Imagine being this cucked:

https://www.twitter.com/MEPFuller/status/973929635640741889

Damn, son.  There's debasing yourself, and then there's this.

[Oryxslayer]

NYT now has Westmoreland precinct data.

[Tintrlvr]

Are the absentee and military ballots going to be reported at the precinct level or the County level?

The absentees are all counted and were reported at the precinct level. Don't know about military ballots. There are also provisional ballots still to be counted. Not sure on PA law on the issue, but usually voters have a few days or weeks to verify their eligibility to vote to get their provisional ballot counted, so those will be counted over the next couple of weeks or so. Military ballots likewise have some time because they only have to be postmarked by election day, so those will be counted over the next couple of weeks also.

I doubt there are more provisionals+military ballots than Lamb's current 627-vote lead. Even if there are, provisionals will favor Lamb (while military may or may not favor Saccone; they tend to be more variable), so there's no chance of votes still outstanding changing the result. The only way the result could change at this point is if a serious tabulation error emerges. But there don't seem to be any precincts that might be prospects for such an error.

NYT now has Westmoreland precinct data.

I hate that you can't zoom in on their maps.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Although I didn't personally care who won this race, I have to say Conor is daddy af

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

When does Conor take office?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Can AP just call the damn election?

I'm actually getting really irritated. It is mathematically impossible for Saccone to take a lead.

[Tender Branson]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

So, it seems no more than 100 provisional/military ballots will be added in total over the next days.

All networks can call this race for Lamb now.

[OBD]

Can AP just call the damn election?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I think CNN just called the race for Lamb.

https://twitter.com/vplus/status/973958262159822849

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I think CNN just called the race for Lamb.

https://twitter.com/vplus/status/973958262159822849

When will Lamb take office?