PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 200333 times)
BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #2500 on: March 15, 2018, 01:07:51 PM »

Apologies if this has been posted already and I missed it, but PPP did "exit polls" of this race.

When asked "Did you vote for Conor Lamb or Rick Saccone?" 1% of the respondents said "Don't know." Let that sink in for a minute lol.

Obviously the Libertarian voters, with rounding.
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Doimper
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« Reply #2501 on: March 15, 2018, 01:18:12 PM »

Apologies if this has been posted already and I missed it, but PPP did "exit polls" of this race.

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lol
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2502 on: March 15, 2018, 01:50:59 PM »

A few months ago, when Murphy resigned and the special election was called, I remember Sean Trende tweeting that "here is another chance for the Democrats to lose another race by 5-6 points and claim moral victory afterwards".

I guess things went a little differently than he anticipated.

Sean Trende is a neutral political observer and I don't know why you'd imply otherwise.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2503 on: March 15, 2018, 01:53:17 PM »

A few months ago, when Murphy resigned and the special election was called, I remember Sean Trende tweeting that "here is another chance for the Democrats to lose another race by 5-6 points and claim moral victory afterwards".

I guess things went a little differently than he anticipated.

To be fair, at that time it looked like a long shot.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2504 on: March 15, 2018, 06:53:36 PM »





There's delusion, and then there's this pathetic thing.

It's especially adorable since the Republicans' main tactics against Lamb were to paint him as a "Nancy Pelosi liberal."
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Beet
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« Reply #2505 on: March 15, 2018, 07:03:31 PM »





There's delusion, and then there's this pathetic thing.

It's especially adorable since the Republicans' main tactics against Lamb were to paint him as a "Nancy Pelosi liberal."

If Trump loses to Sherrod Brown this'd be his excuse. "He's just like me. He beat me by being me!"
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Karpatsky
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« Reply #2506 on: March 15, 2018, 07:07:21 PM »


It's especially adorable since the Republicans' main tactics against Lamb were to paint him as a "Nancy Pelosi liberal."

If Trump loses to Sherrod Brown this'd be his excuse. "He's just like me. He beat me by being me!"

I really wish Sherrod Brown was what the average Republican looked like.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2507 on: March 16, 2018, 11:58:41 AM »

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2508 on: March 16, 2018, 12:43:06 PM »

A few months ago, when Murphy resigned and the special election was called, I remember Sean Trende tweeting that "here is another chance for the Democrats to lose another race by 5-6 points and claim moral victory afterwards".

I guess things went a little differently than he anticipated.

To be fair, at that time it looked like a long shot.

Alabama senate looked like a no shot last August.
Yet Bill effing Kristol predicted that Jones would win.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #2509 on: March 16, 2018, 12:48:53 PM »

A few months ago, when Murphy resigned and the special election was called, I remember Sean Trende tweeting that "here is another chance for the Democrats to lose another race by 5-6 points and claim moral victory afterwards".

I guess things went a little differently than he anticipated.

To be fair, at that time it looked like a long shot.

Alabama senate looked like a no shot last August.
Yet Bill effing Kristol predicted that Jones would win.
To be fair, that was the pattern at the time - Democrats failing to win special after special election.
One needs to keep in mind the context and circumstances.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #2510 on: March 16, 2018, 01:52:50 PM »

A few months ago, when Murphy resigned and the special election was called, I remember Sean Trende tweeting that "here is another chance for the Democrats to lose another race by 5-6 points and claim moral victory afterwards".

I guess things went a little differently than he anticipated.

To be fair, at that time it looked like a long shot.

Alabama senate looked like a no shot last August.
Yet Bill effing Kristol predicted that Jones would win.

And that was a moronic prediction in the context.

I really don't give a sh*t if someone made a prediction that made no sense at the time but turned out to be "right" just because of unforeseeable developments.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2511 on: March 16, 2018, 02:28:00 PM »

A few months ago, when Murphy resigned and the special election was called, I remember Sean Trende tweeting that "here is another chance for the Democrats to lose another race by 5-6 points and claim moral victory afterwards".

I guess things went a little differently than he anticipated.

To be fair, at that time it looked like a long shot.

Alabama senate looked like a no shot last August.
Yet Bill effing Kristol predicted that Jones would win.

And that was a moronic prediction in the context.

I really don't give a sh*t if someone made a prediction that made no sense at the time but turned out to be "right" just because of unforeseeable developments.

Um, no it was not because Roy Moore had emerged as the front-runner in the Republican primary.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2512 on: March 16, 2018, 06:28:45 PM »


Sounds like a sLambdunk!
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #2513 on: March 16, 2018, 06:38:46 PM »

Allegheny county started going through the provisionals and other ballots on Friday with lots of contention over the provisionals.  At the end of the day Lamb's margin grew by 16 votes.  There are still 24 provisionals going through the "process" and 99 overseas and military ballots that will be counted next week. 

http://triblive.com/local/allegheny/13426010-74/review-of-pennsylvanias-special-election-is-underway
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2514 on: March 16, 2018, 07:09:15 PM »


Miles, is that you? Surprise
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2515 on: March 16, 2018, 07:13:37 PM »


I have no idea who that is. I'm relatively new. Lurked here during the 2016 elections. I just like puns.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #2516 on: March 16, 2018, 07:52:29 PM »

Right where Jones was two months before the election. Cool

This post aged well it seems
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Virginiá
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« Reply #2517 on: March 16, 2018, 11:36:57 PM »

https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/16/politics/pennsylvania-special-election-gop-investigation/index.html

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Sestak
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« Reply #2518 on: March 16, 2018, 11:43:20 PM »


hahaha no
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #2519 on: March 16, 2018, 11:45:27 PM »


Whatever, same old story. Didn't help Roy Moore in Alabama and it won't help Saccone here.
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MichaelRbn
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« Reply #2520 on: March 17, 2018, 04:05:49 PM »

Not allowed to link (😞), but according to Talking Points Memo, a website is claiming that the “45th Federal Appeals Court of Westmoreland County” has declared the election results “tainted beyond reproach”.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2521 on: March 17, 2018, 04:12:14 PM »

Not allowed to link (😞), but according to Talking Points Memo, a website is claiming that the “45th Federal Appeals Court of Westmoreland County” has declared the election results “tainted beyond reproach”.

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/false-stories-voter-fraud-pennslyvania-house-race

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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2522 on: March 17, 2018, 07:35:33 PM »

This honestly doesn't seem worth the effort to contest the results so hard. A recount? Fine. But all this court nonsense is not worth a seat that is disappearing in less than a year. Saccone will have his chance at PA-14 in November anyway.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2523 on: March 18, 2018, 02:09:05 PM »

Another terrific map by Miles.

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #2524 on: March 18, 2018, 02:20:58 PM »

Note that the parts of new PA-14 not in the existing PA-18 are, under normal circumstances at least, considerably more D than the parts in the present PA-18. Worth seriously contesting for the Ds, no matter how badly Clinton bombed there.
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