PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose

[Xing]

Wow the NRCC is really going for the jugular in this ad just devastating.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=41&v=FCiW-R5bY2k

This is a pretty damning indictment of the NRCC, if you ask me.

[Xing]

Well, I'd like to think that I've learned lessons from both GA-06 and AL-SEN. This race is legitimately looking like a Toss-Up, and if more polls show Lamb ahead, I probably will give him the edge. However, no one should be counting Saccone out, either. Watch this thread get derailed into pandemonium if the Gravis poll shows Saccone up by 1 or 2.

[Xing]

This *may* be the end for Lamb...ugh: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2018/03/11/pittsburgh-paper-backs-republican-in-house-race-warning-of-impeachment-distraction-if-democrats-win/

You mean like how newspaper endorsements were the end for Trump?

[Xing]

Republicans may be playing the expectations game to an extent, but even so, why do they feel like they need to, unless they are legitimately worried about Lamb winning, and want to make it seem like it won’t be that big of a deal?

[Xing]

Yeah, the value of this particular race is almost entirely symbolic.

That's the thing, though, it could suggest that something has changed in the electorate over the past year.

[Xing]

Looking at the numbers, I think Lamb probably ekes out a win. Unless the Washington/Westmoreland votes remaining are much more Saccone friendly than what we have so far, he's probably not going to get enough to off-set Allegheny.

[Xing]

I can't see Saccone netting more than 1,000 with the remaining Washington/Westmoreland votes, and there's still some Allegheny vote left to count. It probably goes to a recount, but Lamb should win, albeit in a squeaker.

[Xing]

I think Saccone has this. Remaining precincts in Allegheny are only slightly pro-Lamb.

I'm going to put this in my signature if Lambs pulls this out, which I think he will.

[Xing]

Saccone needs to win something like 65% of the remaining vote in Washington to pull ahead of Lamb. And that's not even factoring in the remaining vote in Allegheny. A real nail-biter, but I think I'm ready to say that Lamb has this. Congrats, PittsburghSteel!

[Xing]

Out of curiosity, was Saccone ever ahead in the count? Not that it matters that much, I'm just curious, since I wasn't here earlier on.

[Xing]

Republicans really do love moving the goalposts. Funny how Lamb was Nancy's little pet back, and now he's basically a Republican? First, they thought he didn't stand a chance, then they spend millions to try and beat him, and now it doesn't matter that he won?